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Masaki Hemmi
Lexington SC
Monterey Bay FC
Lexington SC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Monterey Bay FC
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
S. Lletget0–1
5'
X. Zengue · Foul
14'
R. Nakamura · Foul
26'
⚽
F. Barajas · assist S. Lletget0–2
29'
⚽
B. Rodrigues · assist A. Molloy1–2
42'
⚽
R. Nakamura2–2
Half-time · 2–2
45'+2
🔁
B. Joseph ◂ N. Ross
56'
🔁
T. Scott ◂ B. Rodrigues
72'
🔁
M. Tschantret ◂ B. Ferri
76'
🔁
D. Otoya ◂ A. Saidi
76'
🔁
W. Leggett ◂ F. Barajas
82'
🔁
S. Ritchie ◂ I. Paul
82'
⚽
T. Scott3–2
84'
🔁
Q. Elliot ◂ R. Nakamura
86'
Q. Elliot · Foul
88'
J. Garcia · Foul
Full-time · 3–2
-5'
M. Hemmi · Argument
Coaches
Masaki HemmiAlex Covelo 
Recent form
Lexington SCDAFC Tulsa0-0
WHOakland Roots SC2-0
LHNew Mexico United1-4
WAFC Tampa Bay Rowdies4-1
WHSan Antonio FC2-0
Monterey Bay FCLHOrange County SC1-2
LAPhoenix Rising FC2-3
DASan Antonio FC0-0
WHEl Paso Locomotive FC1-0
LAFC Tulsa0-2
Where to watch
ESPN App
Match facts
Stadium
LEXINGTON SC STADIUM
City
Lexington
Kickoff
01 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
Lexington SC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Monterey Bay FC
17
O. Semmle
6.5
12
X. Zengue
6.4
5
K. Burks
6.4
23
J. Brown
6.8
2
J. Greene
6.6
13
M. Tschantret
6.5
↑ 72'
6
A. Molloy
8.2
8
N. Firmino
7.4
19
T. Scott
6.9
↑ 56'
7
M. Epps
7.5
9
P. Goodrum
6.9
98
J. Jackson
6.4
22
J. Garcia
5.8
5
N. Gordon
5.4
32
Z. Farnsworth
6.1
17
O. Glasgow
5.8
18
B. Joseph
6.4
↑ 45'
47
Q. Elliot
6.5
↑ 84'
21
D. Otoya
6.6
↑ 76'
88
S. Lletget
7.9
3
S. Ritchie
6.6
↑ 82'
11
W. Leggett
6.6
↑ 76'
Substitutes
40GG. Addams
31GB. Thompson
14DA. Caborn
22DJ. Hafferty
4DA. Ordoñez
21DM. Muir
27MB. Rodrigues↓ 56'7.1
16MB. Ferri↓ 72'6.7
18FM. Henry-Scott
Coach: Masaki Hemmi
Substitutes
31GC. Dalton
25DK. Egwu
15MF. Barajas↓ 76'7.2
4MN. Ross↓ 45'6.7
14MR. Nakamura↓ 84'5.9
24FA. Saidi↓ 76'6.2
20FI. Paul↓ 82'6.1
Coach: Alex Covelo
Top stats
50%Possession50%
4.05Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.39
20Total shots13
6Shots on target4
5Big chances2
11Corners5
Shots
11Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
15Shots inside box5
5Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed0
Attack
36Touches in box15
69Final third entries42
2Offsides1
15Free kicks13
6Fouled in final third1
Passing
398Passes411
328Accurate passes333
22/45 (49%)Long balls15/53 (28%)
8/23 (35%)Crosses2/12 (17%)
13Throw-ins9
Duels
64Duels36
32/54 (59%)Ground duels22/55 (40%)
16/21 (76%)Aerial duels5/20 (25%)
6/11 (55%)Dribbles2/6 (33%)
2Dispossessed8
Defending
12Tackles7
33Tackles won57
15Interceptions12
18Clearances29
39Recoveries34
Discipline
13Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
3Goal kicks18
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 60 bookmakers
Who winsLexington SC to win (DNB) 79% · 1.20 @ Betano
1X2Lexington SC to win 63% · 1.52 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.29 @ Marathon
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.74 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.89 @ efbet.net
1X2Draw 21% · 4.90 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.81 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.48 @ efbet.net
1X2Monterey Bay to win 16% · 6.60 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.45
Lexington SC
4.24
Draw ▼
5.76
Monterey Bay FC ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Lexington SC or Draw
1.18
Lexington SC or Monterey Bay FC ▲
2.46
Draw or Monterey Bay FC ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes ▼
1.88
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▼
11.96
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▼
4.02
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.07
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.64
Over 3.50 ▼
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.75
Over 4.50 ▼
1.15
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
Lexington SC
4.39
Monterey Bay FC
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.19
Over 6.50
3.80
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50 ▲
2.55
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.78
Over 8.50 ▲
1.92
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.28
Over 9.50 ▲
1.54
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.04
Over 10.50
1.29
Under 10.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.59
Lexington SC
8.30
Draw
2.71
Monterey Bay FC
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.85
Over
1.84
E
1.7 – 1.0Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~8Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington SC to win (DNB)Who wins | 79% | 79% | 1.16 | Overpriced | high |
| Lexington SC to win1X2 | 63% | 63% | 1.45 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.54 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 70% | 70% | 1.29 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 55% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 77% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.8 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 21% | 21% | 4.24 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 66% | 65% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Monterey Bay to win1X2 | 16% | 16% | 5.76 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 74% | +3% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 50% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 32% | +2% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 55% | -4% | No |
| Home win | 63% | 44% | +19% | Yes |
| Draw | 21% | 29% | -8% | No |
| Away win | 16% | 27% | -11% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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