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Simon Bird
Louisville City FC
San Antonio FC
Louisville City FC
5-4-1 · 5-4-1
San Antonio FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4436 EUR · live
Home
230.0 · implied 0.4%
48.0%
+47.6 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
43.9%
-50.5 vs price
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
9.5%
-0.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5266 EUR · live
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
58.1%
+47.5 vs price
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
42.0%
-48.9 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
M. Akale · assist R. Serrano1–0
30'
J. Hernandez · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
68'
🔁
S. Gleadle ◂ M. Perez
68'
🔁
Z. Duncan ◂ T. Davila
72'
🔁
M. Maldonado ◂ D. Hernandez
72'
🔁
E. Cuello ◂ N. Blanco
75'
A. Ward · Foul
78'
🔁
A. Dia ◂ J. Morris
78'
🔁
L. Haakenson ◂ D. Pacheco
78'
⚽
C. A. P. Rasguido · assist J. Hernandez1–1
82'
L. Berrón · Foul
87'
🔁
T. Showunmi ◂ C. Donovan
87'
🔁
Q. Huerman ◂ M. Akale
Full-time · 1–1
90'+3
🔁
C. Calov ◂ C. A. P. Rasguido
Coaches
Carlos Llamosa 
Recent form
LAFC Tampa Bay Rowdies4-5
WHBirmingham Legion FC2-1
WHTrinidad and Tobago1-0
LAPittsburgh Riverhounds1-3
WHHartford Athletic1-0
WHIndy Eleven3-1
WABrooklyn FC1-0
LHLas Vegas Lights1-2
DHMonterey Bay FC0-0
WAColorado Springs Switchbacks FC2-1
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Lynn Family Stadium
City
Louisville
Kickoff
09 Aug, 00:00 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
1
H. Fauroux
7.1
6
Z. Duncan
6.7
↑ 68'
2
A. McFadden
7.2
4
S. Totsch
6.5
32
K. Adams
6.7
13
A. Dia
6.8
↑ 78'
21
Q. Huerman
6.4
↑ 87'
27
E. Davila
7.0
23
S. Gleadle
6.4
↑ 68'
7
R. Serrano
6.7
14
T. Showunmi
6.4
↑ 87'
98
J. Batrouni
6.0
13
A. Ward
6.1
21
A. Crognale
7.0
43
Tiago
6.9
3
M. Taintor
7.4
22
E. Cuello
6.8
↑ 72'
6
C. Calov
↑ 90'
14
L. Berrón
6.8
15
M. Maldonado
6.7
↑ 72'
10
J. Hernandez
7.1
7
L. Haakenson
6.4
↑ 78'
Substitutes
12GD. Faundez
15DM. Perez↓ 68'6.8
3DJ. Morris↓ 78'6.5
8MT. Davila↓ 68'7.0
28MC. Duke
97MT. Weinrich
47FM. Akale↓ 87'8.3
9FC. Donovan↓ 87'6.1
99C. Conley
Coach: Simon Bird
Substitutes
1GR. Sánchez
4DN. Blanco↓ 72'6.4
17DD. Barbir
19MC. A. P. Rasguido↓ 90'7.2
8MD. Hernandez↓ 72'6.4
70FD. Pacheco↓ 78'6.2
99FC. Sorto
Coach: Carlos Llamosa
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.21Expected goals (xG)1.21
8Total shots9
2Shots on target3
1Big chances1
2Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots1
3Shots inside box6
5Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
12Touches in box13
50Final third entries63
4Offsides4
16Free kicks12
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
273Passes535
197Accurate passes464
17/45 (38%)Long balls35/70 (50%)
1/12 (8%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
13Throw-ins17
Duels
53Duels47
33/60 (55%)Ground duels27/60 (45%)
15/31 (48%)Aerial duels16/31 (52%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
2Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles9
79Tackles won56
6Interceptions12
24Clearances28
47Recoveries37
Discipline
12Fouls16
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
7Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsLouisville City to win (DNB) 80% · 1.20 @ Betway
1X2Louisville City to win 63% · 1.48 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 1.57 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.19 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 21% · 4.82 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ Betway
1X2San Antonio to win 16% · 6.40 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.44
Louisville City FC
4.41
Draw
5.77
San Antonio FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
Louisville City FC or Draw
1.17
Louisville City FC or San Antonio FC
2.57
Draw or San Antonio FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.03
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.99
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
4.59
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.35
Over 3.50
1.49
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.04
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
Louisville City FC
4.57
San Antonio FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.42
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.88
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.31
Over 10.50
1.53
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.08
Over 11.50
1.30
Under 11.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.40
Louisville City FC
9.40
Draw
3.36
San Antonio FC
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.86
Odd
1.85
Even
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Louisville City FC to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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