Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
14'
🔁
E. Thervilus ◂ G. Lescot
16'
⚽
L. Baal · assist J. Haabo0–1
34'
🔁
J. Quijano ◂ H. Niño
34'
🔁
B. Bonilla ◂ A. Arauz
34'
🔁
J. Montes ◂ H. Medina
41'
J. L. Pérez
45'
⚽
0–1
45'
⚽
45'+4
J. Haabo
46'
🔁
T. Nemouthe ◂ L. Baal
54'
⚽
J. Moreno · assist J. Quijano1–1
62'
⚽
J. Haabo · assist T. Nemouthe1–2
64'
Z. Charlec
68'
Z. Charlec
68'
🔁
E. Castillo ◂ M. B. Moldskred
73'
🔁
R. Besini ◂ Y. Nozile
73'
🔁
A. Panelle ◂ J. Haabo
79'
⚽
J. Barrera · assist Ó. Acevedo2–2
84'
⚽
M. Fletes · assist B. Bonilla3–2
85'
🔁
R. Palacios ◂ J. Moreno
85'
🔁
U. P. Souza ◂ T. Vancaeyezeele
87'
E. Castillo
89'
M. Fletes
90'
⚽
3–2
90'
Ó. Acevedo
90'
⚽
90'+3
E. Thervilus
-5'
Unknown
-5'
Unknown
Coaches
Juan Cruz RealStéphane D'Urbano 
Recent form
NicaraguaLNicaragua0-2Jamaica
DCuba1-1Nicaragua
WFrench Guiana0-1Nicaragua
WBelize0-4Nicaragua
WNicaragua4-1Montserrat
French GuianaLFrench Guiana2-3Honduras
DTrinidad and Tobago0-0French Guiana
LFrench Guiana0-1Nicaragua
Match facts
Stadium
Nicaragua National Football Stadium
City
Managua
Kickoff
15 Oct, 01:00 UTC
Competition
CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua
3-5-2 · 4-5-1
French Guiana
1
M. Rodríguez
6.8
4
M. Fletes
7.7
6
H. Niño
6.7
19
J. L. Pérez
7.0
18
A. Arauz
6.5
10
H. Medina
6.3
14
J. Coronel
6.5
17
M. B. Moldskred
6.5
3
Ó. Acevedo
7.1
9
J. Moreno
7.0
11
J. Barrera
7.5
1
F. Faham
5.6
13
M. Colino
6.6
18
Y. Letard
6.9
14
G. Lescot
6.7
4
A. Menard
6.3
19
Y. Nozile
7.0
21
L. Baal
7.4
8
Z. Charlec
5.8
17
T. Vancaeyezeele
6.5
10
L. Baal
7.4
7
J. Haabo
8.1
Substitutes
2J. Quijano7.38J. Montes6.815B. Bonilla7.313E. Castillo6.721R. Palacios6.512A. López23J. Vega22A. Velásquez7M. Hernández5J. Cano20W. Talavera16J. Arteaga
Coach: Juan Cruz Real
Substitutes
5E. Thervilus6.46T. Nemouthe7.115R. Besini6.522A. Panelle6.72U. P. Souza6.716S. Roman20R. Galas11J. Sarrucco12A. Kwasiba
Coach: Stéphane D'Urbano
67%Possession33%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.03
15Total shots11
4Shots on target6
1Big chances1
6Corners3
12Fouls7
4Yellow cards4