Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
N. Walters
17'
⚽H. Holligan
assist C. Hinkson
assist C. Hinkson
42'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
C. Rodríguez
45'+1
⚽N. Reid-Stephen (pen)
45'+2
⚽N. Reid-Stephen
assist N. Butcher
assist N. Butcher
47'
🔁K. Pérez ◂ J. Browne
52'
🔁J. Brown ◂ G. Catone-Highfield
53'
🔁H. Edgar ◂ D. Barbour
58'
🔁D. King ◂ N. Walters
63'
🔁O. Leacock ◂ H. Holligan
63'
⚽N. Reid-Stephen
65'
🔁D. Berry ◂ N. Henry
69'
🔁D. Ramos ◂ W. Joseph
69'
🔁J. Gilkes ◂ S. Hoyte
77'
🔁K. Lucas ◂ N. Butcher
77'
🔁R. Morris ◂ N. Brathwaite
77'
C. Rodríguez
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽O. Leacock
90'+2
Form
US Virgin Islands
DDDL
Barbados
LLWW
Match facts
Kickoff
10 Oct, 00:00 UTC
US Virgin Islands
4-3-3
18
W. Joseph
6.7
2
J. Blaschka
6.1
4
C. Rodríguez
6.0
15
D. Barbour
6.3
7
Z. Harris
5.9
13
J. Browne
6.4
10
J. S. Louis
6.3
11
M. Roth
6.9
9
R. Joseph
7.0
8
G. Catone-Highfield
6.5
20
N. Henry
6.6
Substitutes
5
K. Pérez
6.3
6
J. Brown
6.2
22
H. Edgar
6.8
1
D. Ramos
7.2
17
D. Berry
6.5
23
T. Jones
12
R. Abdallah
14
A. Atemazem
Barbados
4-5-1
18
K. Primus
7.5
20
N. Brathwaite
7.3
4
M. Williams
7.6
12
C. Hinkson
8.6
3
A. Applewhaite
7.6
7
A. Applewhaite
7.6
10
N. Reid-Stephen
⚽3
10.0
8
H. Holligan
⚽1
7.8
6
S. Hoyte
6.9
11
N. Butcher
8.8
5
N. Walters
6.7
Substitutes
9
O. Leacock
7.7
19
D. King
7.2
2
R. Morris
6.9
14
J. Gilkes
6.9
16
K. Lucas
7.1
1
J. Malcolm
21
C. Bridgeman
15
K. Cox
13
K. Vanderpool-Nurse
17
D. Boyce
23
J. Oughterson
22
J. Jaunai
Coach: Terrence Jones
Coach: Kent Hall
29%Possession71%
0.59Expected goals (xG)4.64
8Total shots35
4Shots on target16
0Big chances2
2Corners14
9Fouls13
2Yellow cards1