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Bruno Genesio
Olympique de Marseille
RC Strasbourg
Olympique de Marseille
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
RC Strasbourg
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
847333 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.7%
-13.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.6%
+7.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.7%
+6.6 vs price
Half time
5388 EUR · live
Home
6.4 · implied 15.6%
56.8%
+41.1 vs price
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
30.6%
+21.1 vs price
Draw
1.29 · implied 77.5%
12.6%
-64.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
130680 EUR · live
Under
1.36 · implied 73.5%
63.6%
-9.9 vs price
Over
3.55 · implied 28.2%
36.4%
+8.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9297 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.8%
-6.2 vs price
Over
160.0 · implied 0.6%
7.2%
+6.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
⚽
A. Gouiri · assist A. Gomes1–0
48'
S. Amo-Ameyaw · Foul
58'
VAR
Card check · S. E. Mourabet
59'
S. E. Mourabet · Violent conduct
61'
S. Mara · Foul
65'
VAR
Penalty check · I. Paixão
68'
⚽
A. Gouiri (pen)2–0
69'
🔁
J. Ortega ◂ S. Mara
69'
🔁
G. Reyna ◂ S. Amo-Ameyaw
69'
🔁
P. Diop ◂ D. Lobao
75'
🔁
N. Aguerd ◂ C. Egan-Riley
79'
🔁
F. Baldé ◂ S. Nanasi
79'
🔁
M. D. Blanco ◂ G. Antwi
79'
N. Aguerd · Foul
83'
🔁
K. Abdallah ◂ A. Harit
83'
🔁
T. Nnadi ◂ H. Abdelli
83'
🔁
D. Cornelius ◂ G. Kondogbia
89'
⚽
K. Abdallah3–0
Full-time · 4–0
90'+1
🔁
N. Maupay ◂ A. Gomes
90'+6
⚽
P. Højbjerg4–0
Coaches
Hugo Oliveira 
Recent form
LHAtlético Madrid1-2
WHAthletic Club3-1
WHAl-Shahaniya3-0
WHNîmes Olympique2-1
LHNice0-3
DANewcastle United1-1
LASC Freiburg0-2
LHSV 07 Elversberg2-5
LHBlackburn Rovers0-2
LASporting CP0-7
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Match facts
Stadium
CEPAC Vélodrome
City
Marseille
Kickoff
21 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
12
J. De Lange
6.9
22
T. Weah
6.7
21
N. Aguerd
6.9
↑ 75'
13
D. Cornelius
6.7
↑ 83'
33
Emerson
7.1
6
T. Nnadi
6.9
↑ 83'
23
P. Højbjerg
8.2
48
K. Abdallah
7.9
↑ 83'
11
N. Maupay
↑ 90'
14
I. Paixão
7.0
9
A. Gouiri
8.0
1
F. Jørgensen
6.2
22
G. Doué
5.1
2
A. Omobamidele
6.4
24
L. Høgsberg
6.0
15
M. D. Blanco
5.9
↑ 79'
10
G. Reyna
6.6
↑ 69'
29
S. E. Mourabet
5.5
21
P. Diop
6.5
↑ 69'
19
F. Baldé
6.5
↑ 79'
80
G. Yassine
6.3
30
J. Ortega
6.6
↑ 69'
Substitutes
92GT. Vermot
4DC. Egan-Riley↓ 75'7.3
25DU. Garcia
74DK. Bezahaf
7MA. Gomes↓ 90'7.7
19MG. Kondogbia↓ 83'7.5
8MH. Abdelli↓ 83'7.4
77MA. Harit↓ 83'6.2
43FT. Mmadi
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Substitutes
12GM. Piekutowski
16DG. Antwi↓ 79'6.2
4DJ. Mitchell
11MS. Nanasi↓ 79'6.5
23MD. Lobao↓ 69'5.9
17MM. Amougou
7FS. Amo-Ameyaw↓ 69'6.3
14FS. Mara↓ 69'6.3
37FG. Kodia
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Top stats
67%Possession33%
1.86Expected goals (xG)0.18
14Total shots5
8Shots on target2
3Big chances0
3Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots0
9Shots inside box3
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.08Goals prevented-1.98
Attack
34Touches in box8
58Final third entries25
11Free kicks6
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
687Passes337
626Accurate passes286
16/34 (47%)Long balls18/41 (44%)
2/15 (13%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
19Throw-ins9
Duels
52Duels48
35/69 (51%)Ground duels34/69 (49%)
8/14 (57%)Aerial duels6/14 (43%)
7/11 (64%)Dribbles9/18 (50%)
15Dispossessed8
Defending
17Tackles19
65Tackles won68
8Interceptions8
11Clearances24
50Recoveries42
Discipline
6Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 79 bookmakers
Who winsMarseille to win (DNB) 71% · 1.43 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.40 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.78 @ 1xBet
1X2Marseille to win 49% · 2.08 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 23% · 3.00 @ tipico
1X2Strasbourg to win 28% · 4.20 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.09 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.73
Olympique de Marseille ▲
4.05
Draw ▼
4.31
RC Strasbourg ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Olympique de Marseille or Draw ▼
1.23
Olympique de Marseille or RC Strasbourg
2.07
Draw or RC Strasbourg ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.40
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.75
YES
1.10
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.38
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
16.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
5.04
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.52
Over 2.50 ▲
2.46
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.30
Over 3.50 ▲
1.59
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.90
Over 4.50
1.23
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.31
Olympique de Marseille ▼
3.23
RC Strasbourg ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.00
Over 3.50
15.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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