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Jens Askou
Toulouse
Olympique Lyonnais
Toulouse
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Olympique Lyonnais
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
374593 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
50.6%
+50.5 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
40.3%
-58.7 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
10.7%
+9.7 vs price
Half time
6593 EUR · live
Away
12.0 · implied 8.3%
52.3%
+44.0 vs price
Home
6.8 · implied 14.7%
35.3%
+20.6 vs price
Draw
1.21 · implied 82.6%
12.3%
-70.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
96606 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
89.3%
-6.9 vs price
Over
17.5 · implied 5.7%
10.7%
+5.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3923 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.6%
-3.4 vs price
Over
95.0 · implied 1.1%
4.4%
+3.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
31'
N. Schmidt · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'
N. Nartey · Foul
63'
🔁
P. Šulc ◂ R. Himbert
63'
🔁
M. Fofana ◂ J. Duranville
68'
⚽
N. Nartey · assist P. Šulc0–1
69'
🔁
T. Morton ◂ N. Nartey
69'
🔁
C. Tolisso ◂ M. d. Carvalho
71'
🔁
J. Russell Rowe ◂ S. Hidalgo
71'
🔁
R. Messali ◂ I. Diallo
71'
🔁
I. Azizi ◂ J. Vignolo
80'
🔁
S. Oppong ◂ Y. Gboho
80'
🔁
T. Tessmann ◂ M. Bidstrup
85'
⚽
M. Fofana · assist C. Tolisso0–2
86'
🔁
M. Saka ◂ N. Schmidt
Full-time · 0–2
90'+4
T. Tessmann · Foul
Coaches
Paulo Fonseca 
Recent form
LHHamburger SV1-2
LAElche0-3
WAAl-Ain1-0
WHReal Sociedad2-1
DHRodez AF1-1
DAFenerbahçe1-1
WHAC Sparta Praha3-0
LAAC Sparta Praha1-2
LAReal Betis0-4
WAVfL Wolfsburg2-0
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse
City
Toulouse
Kickoff
22 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
16
G. Restes
6.7
22
R. Messali
6.5
↑ 71'
3
M. McKenzie
6.9
2
R. Nicolaisen
6.9
12
C. Tapé
5.8
23
C. Cásseres Jr.
7.4
28
M. Saka
6.5
↑ 86'
13
J. Russell Rowe
6.5
↑ 71'
8
T. Jørgensen
7.0
11
S. Oppong
6.8
↑ 80'
37
I. Azizi
6.6
↑ 71'
40
R. Descamps
7.3
13
Z. Athekame
7.0
20
F. Bacher
7.1
22
C. Mata
7.8
76
M. Ouédraogo
7.1
6
T. Tessmann
6.5
↑ 80'
23
T. Morton
6.8
↑ 69'
8
C. Tolisso
6.9
↑ 69'
26
K. Boudache
6.9
11
M. Fofana
7.9
↑ 63'
10
P. Šulc
6.6
↑ 63'
Substitutes
60GM. Niflore
94DI. Diallo↓ 71'6.4
19DD. Odogu
5DS. Koumbassa
31MN. Schmidt↓ 86'7.1
77MM. Sauer
7FJ. Vignolo↓ 71'6.8
10FY. Gboho↓ 80'6.5
9FS. Hidalgo↓ 71'6.3
Coach: Jens Askou
Substitutes
1GD. Greif
3DN. Tagliafico
99MN. Nartey↓ 69'7.6
39MM. d. Carvalho↓ 69'6.8
2MM. Bidstrup↓ 80'6.8
24FJ. Duranville↓ 63'6.6
45FR. Himbert↓ 63'6.0
7FE. Nuamah
17FL. Openda
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Top stats
48%Possession52%
2.59Expected goals (xG)0.67
17Total shots11
2Shots on target3
4Big chances0
6Corners5
Shots
12Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
12Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
4Big chances missed0
-0.77Goals prevented0.34
Attack
31Touches in box24
46Final third entries34
2Offsides0
15Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
433Passes475
371Accurate passes415
29/50 (58%)Long balls25/51 (49%)
4/18 (22%)Crosses1/14 (7%)
19Throw-ins16
Duels
53Duels47
37/75 (49%)Ground duels38/75 (51%)
11/15 (73%)Aerial duels4/15 (27%)
9/19 (47%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles15
47Tackles won60
7Interceptions13
18Clearances20
44Recoveries42
Discipline
15Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
10Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 78 bookmakers
Who winsLyon to win (DNB) 57% · 1.70 @ forbet
1X2Lyon to win 42% · 2.95 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Betway
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.55 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 2.13 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.70 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.44 @ forbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Toulouse to win 33% · 3.30 @ Interwetten
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.87
Toulouse ▼
3.51
Draw ▼
2.33
Olympique Lyonnais ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.58
Toulouse or Draw ▲
1.29
Toulouse or Olympique Lyonnais
1.40
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.23
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.95
YES
1.20
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.40
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.72
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.67
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50 ▲
3.96
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.74
Over 2.50 ▲
2.05
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.79
Over 3.50 ▲
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.15
Toulouse
1.65
Olympique Lyonnais
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.30
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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