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Davide Ancelotti
Lille
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Paris Saint-Germain
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1522346 EUR · live
Home
120.0 · implied 0.8%
52.3%
+51.5 vs price
Away
550.0 · implied 0.2%
35.5%
+35.3 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
12.2%
-86.8 vs price
Half time
3616 EUR · live
Home
1.48 · implied 67.6%
37.2%
-30.4 vs price
Away
16.0 · implied 6.2%
36.8%
+30.5 vs price
Draw
3.9 · implied 25.6%
26.0%
+0.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
332464 EUR · live
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
63.7%
-19.6 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
36.3%
+19.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4663 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
89.9%
+2.9 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
10.1%
-3.0 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
21'
⚽
H. Haraldsson · assist O. Giroud1–0
39'
F. Ruiz · Argument
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
K. Kvaratskhelia ◂ D. Doué
52'
B. André · Foul
61'
🔁
G. Perrin ◂ F. Correia
61'
🔁
N. Mukau ◂ B. André
63'
🔁
M. Godts ◂ L. Beraldo
68'
🔁
D. Bakwa ◂ E. Mbappé
72'
🔁
L. Digne ◂ F. Ruiz
72'
🔁
S. Mayulu ◂ F. Torres
78'
🔁
D. Fernández ◂ M. Akliouche
80'
🔁
C. Verdonk ◂ H. Haraldsson
84'
⚽
D. Bakwa · assist O. Giroud2–0
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
⚽
Vitinha · assist M. Godts2–1
90'+4
R. Perraud · Time wasting
90'+5
⚽
Marquinhos · assist Vitinha2–2
Coaches
Davide AncelottiLuis Enrique 
Recent form
LilleWAAngers2-0
DAEverton1-1
DAHamburger SV2-2
WAOud-Heverlee Leuven6-3
LARoyale Union Saint-Gilloise1-2
Paris Saint-GermainDAStade Rennais2-2
WHAston Villa2-1
DHManchester United1-1
LAMallorca0-3
DHArsenal1-1
Where to watch
Prime Video
Prime Video
Nova Sport
Disney+ Premium Chile
Prime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
Cablenet Sports 2
DAZN
Viaplay
DAZNPrime Video
Ligue 1+Ligue1+
Viaplay
Arena Sport 3 HR
Arena 4 Premium
Arena 4 Premium
Viaplay Netherlands
TV2 PlayViaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 3 HD
Sport TV3
Arena 4 Premium
Viaplay
beIN Sports 4
MEGOGO Football 1
Prime VideobeIN SportsbeIN Sports en EspañolfuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
City
Lille
Kickoff
28 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Lille
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Paris Saint-Germain
1
B. Özer
6.6
22
T. Santos
6.7
3
N. Ngoy
6.5
4
A. Ribeiro
6.2
15
R. Perraud
6.2
17
N. Mukau
6.6
↑ 61'
6
N. Bentaleb
7.2
18
D. Bakwa
7.5
↑ 68'
24
C. Verdonk
6.1
↑ 80'
28
G. Perrin
6.6
↑ 61'
9
O. Giroud
7.2
39
M. Safonov
7.1
2
A. Hakimi
6.4
5
Marquinhos
7.9
51
W. Pacho
6.2
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
6.1
17
Vitinha
8.8
22
M. Godts
6.8
↑ 63'
12
L. Digne
6.4
↑ 72'
27
D. Fernández
6.8
↑ 78'
24
S. Mayulu
6.2
↑ 72'
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
6.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
16GA. Bodart
26DI. Cossier
10MH. Haraldsson↓ 80'7.5
8ME. Mbappé↓ 68'7.4
21MB. André↓ 61'6.7
27MF. Correia↓ 61'6.7
19MB. Önal
11MO. Sahraoui
35FS. Diaoune
Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Substitutes
16GA. Longoni
30GL. Chevalier
4DL. Beraldo↓ 63'6.8
21DL. Hernández
6DI. Zabarnyi
8MF. Ruiz↓ 72'6.9
11MM. Akliouche↓ 78'6.3
14FD. Doué↓ 46'6.8
9FF. Torres↓ 72'6.6
Coach: Luis Enrique
Top stats
27%Possession73%
1.27Expected goals (xG)1.44
9Total shots18
4Shots on target4
2Big chances5
0Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target13
1Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box11
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed4
-0.27Goals prevented-0.13
Attack
13Touches in box22
40Final third entries88
5Offsides0
7Free kicks11
0Fouled in final third4
Passing
298Passes808
250Accurate passes735
25/47 (53%)Long balls45/67 (67%)
2/7 (29%)Crosses0/18 (0%)
15Throw-ins21
Duels
50Duels50
27/55 (49%)Ground duels28/55 (51%)
10/19 (53%)Aerial duels9/19 (47%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
4Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles13
79Tackles won77
9Interceptions7
29Clearances3
47Recoveries51
Discipline
11Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
13Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2PSG to win 55% · 2.05 @ Bet365
Who winsPSG to win (DNB) 61% · 1.27 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.20 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 2.00 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 24% · 2.75 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
1X2Lille to win 21% · 4.80 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.95
Lille
4.00
Draw
1.67
Paris Saint-Germain
Double Chanceconsensus
2.20
Lille or Draw
1.20
Lille or Paris Saint-Germain
1.17
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.69
Yes
2.07
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
8.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.99
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.84
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.70
Lille
1.25
Paris Saint-Germain
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
2.99
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.28
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.90
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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