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Alexandre Dujeux
Lorient
Troyes
Lorient
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Troyes
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
206680 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
49.5%
-46.7 vs price
Draw
24.0 · implied 4.2%
28.0%
+23.8 vs price
Home
190.0 · implied 0.5%
22.5%
+22.0 vs price
Half time
2971 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
43.2%
-53.0 vs price
Home
55.0 · implied 1.8%
29.8%
+27.9 vs price
Draw
5.3 · implied 18.9%
27.0%
+8.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29329 EUR · live
Under
3.95 · implied 25.3%
73.4%
+48.0 vs price
Over
1.34 · implied 74.6%
26.6%
-48.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5600 EUR · live
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
91.8%
+8.4 vs price
Over
5.8 · implied 17.2%
8.2%
-9.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
26'
VAR
Penalty check · A. Mille
29'
⚽
R. Ripart (pen)0–1
38'
⚽
L. Maronnier · assist A. Mille0–2
Half-time · 0–2
51'
⚽
J. Makengo1–2
66'
🔁
I. S. Jensen ◂ G. Bernardeau
66'
🔁
A. Tosin ◂ M. Koné
67'
🔁
K. Diawara ◂ H. Picard
73'
🔁
S. Faye ◂ T. L. Bris
73'
🔁
P. Katseris ◂ J. Makengo
78'
🔁
K. Dermane ◂ A. Mille
84'
🔁
N. Mbamba ◂ N. Cadiou
85'
🔁
A. Phliponeau ◂ I. Gomis
86'
🔁
N. Donkor ◂ L. Maronnier
86'
🔁
Y. Koné ◂ R. Ripart
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Alexandre DujeuxStephane Dumont 
Recent form
LorientDANice0-0
LASV 07 Elversberg1-4
LAAngers1-2
WHUNFP Selection5-1
WAGuingamp2-0
TroyesDHParis FC0-0
DHGFS Panetolikos1-1
DAAuxerre1-1
WHGOAL FC5-2
WHGrenoble Foot 383-0
Where to watch
DAZN Belgium
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
Viaplay
V Sport Football
Viaplay
Arena Sport 8 HR
TV2 PlayViaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
V Sport FootballViaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
City
Lorient
Kickoff
29 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
Lorient
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Troyes
38
Y. Mvogo
5.9
20
D. Sylla
6.8
3
M. Talbi
7.2
32
N. Adjei
7.0
77
P. Katseris
6.9
↑ 73'
62
A. A. Ebong
7.7
72
N. Mbamba
6.5
↑ 84'
43
A. Kouassi
6.8
10
I. S. Jensen
6.8
↑ 66'
19
S. Faye
6.5
↑ 73'
15
A. Tosin
6.6
↑ 66'
33
P. Beach
8.4
31
N. Donkor
↑ 86'
6
A. Monfray
7.6
4
M. Diaz
6.6
3
A. Ouzenadji
7.0
29
K. Dermane
6.6
↑ 78'
8
M. Diop
6.6
10
M. Ifnaoui
6.6
7
K. Diawara
6.6
↑ 67'
26
A. Phliponeau
6.7
↑ 85'
39
Y. Koné
↑ 86'
Substitutes
21GB. Kamara
55DN. E. Obaretin
95DS. I. Touré
2DA. Georgen
8MN. Cadiou↓ 84'7.6
33MG. Bernardeau↓ 66'6.6
11MT. L. Bris↓ 73'6.5
17FJ. Makengo↓ 73'7.7
42FM. Koné↓ 66'7.0
Coach: Alexandre Dujeux
Substitutes
40GH. Konaté
2DL. Maronnier↓ 86'7.5
5DP. Gozzi
17MA. Mille↓ 78'6.7
11MI. Gomis↓ 85'6.6
22MH. Picard↓ 67'6.5
36MI. Soukouna
20FR. Ripart↓ 86'7.3
37FC. Batola
Coach: Stephane Dumont
Top stats
67%Possession33%
1.15Expected goals (xG)2.12
15Total shots11
6Shots on target2
2Big chances3
2Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed1
-0.22Goals prevented1.46
Attack
27Touches in box19
78Final third entries53
0Offsides3
11Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
677Passes318
595Accurate passes237
30/52 (58%)Long balls32/68 (47%)
2/21 (10%)Crosses5/15 (33%)
29Throw-ins16
Duels
55Duels45
43/75 (57%)Ground duels32/75 (43%)
17/35 (49%)Aerial duels18/35 (51%)
11/24 (46%)Dribbles2/14 (14%)
10Dispossessed9
Defending
21Tackles23
57Tackles won57
11Interceptions8
20Clearances32
36Recoveries40
Discipline
9Fouls11
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
0Big saves1
2Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Lorient to win 51% · 2.20 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.16 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.36 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.26 @ 1xBet
Who winsLorient to win (DNB) 54% · 1.38 @ Betsson
1X2Troyes to win 22% · 4.40 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Lorient
3.52
Draw
4.23
Troyes
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Lorient or Draw
1.25
Lorient or Troyes
1.91
Draw or Troyes
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes
1.83
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.40
YES
1.50
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.20
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.45
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.36
Lorient
3.00
Troyes
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.41
Over 7.50
2.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.71
Over 8.50
2.01
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.20
Over 9.50
1.59
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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