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Paulo Fonseca
Olympique Lyonnais
Le Havre
Olympique Lyonnais
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Le Havre
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
955315 EUR · live
Home
18.0 · implied 5.6%
73.1%
+67.5 vs price
Away
38.0 · implied 2.6%
16.7%
+14.1 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
11.1%
-80.6 vs price
Half time
5046 EUR · live
Home
7.0 · implied 14.3%
60.9%
+46.7 vs price
Draw
1.25 · implied 80.0%
26.1%
-53.9 vs price
Away
15.5 · implied 6.5%
12.9%
+6.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
154710 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
83.0%
-8.0 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
17.1%
+8.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4005 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.4%
-7.6 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
8.6%
+7.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
41'
A. Seko · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
61'
🔁
M. Fofana ◂ K. Boudache
62'
🔁
N. Nartey ◂ M. Bidstrup
65'
🔁
J. Maja ◂ K. Mizuta
65'
🔁
F. Doucouré ◂ D. Ouziad
67'
VAR
Goal not given after review · C. Tolisso
74'
⚽
A. Samatta · assist F. Doucouré0–1
76'
🔁
S. Nakamura ◂ S. Ebonog
76'
🔁
E. Koffi ◂ T. Pembele
80'
🔁
Abner Vinícius ◂ N. Tagliafico
80'
🔁
P. Šulc ◂ E. Nuamah
87'
⚽
L. Openda · assist Z. Athekame1–1
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
🔁
V. Sasso ◂ A. Samatta
90'+4
VAR
Goal not given after review · S. Nakamura
90'+6
F. Doucouré · Foul
Coaches
Didier Digard 
Recent form
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WAToulouse2-0
DAFenerbahçe1-1
WHAC Sparta Praha3-0
LAAC Sparta Praha1-2
LHAS Monaco0-1
WALe Mans1-0
LAReal Oviedo2-3
LAIpswich Town0-1
DHStade Lavallois1-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
City
Lyon
Kickoff
29 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
1
D. Greif
7.4
13
Z. Athekame
8.0
20
F. Bacher
6.9
19
M. Niakhaté
6.8
16
Abner Vinícius
6.9
↑ 80'
99
N. Nartey
6.4
↑ 62'
23
T. Morton
7.2
10
P. Šulc
6.6
↑ 80'
8
C. Tolisso
6.2
11
M. Fofana
6.7
↑ 61'
17
L. Openda
8.1
77
L. Mpasi Nzau
7.0
15
A. Seko
6.9
6
J. Mwanga
6.7
5
A. Touba
6.8
13
F. Doucouré
6.7
↑ 65'
27
E. Koffi
6.7
↑ 76'
7
A. Richardson
7.0
30
S. Nakamura
6.5
↑ 76'
14
R. Ndiaye
6.8
9
J. Maja
6.3
↑ 65'
23
V. Sasso
6.7
↑ 90'
Substitutes
40GR. Descamps
3DN. Tagliafico↓ 80'6.4
98DA. Maitland-Niles
22DC. Mata
2MM. Bidstrup↓ 62'6.5
18MK. Merah
6MT. Tessmann
7FE. Nuamah↓ 80'7.5
26FK. Boudache↓ 61'6.8
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Substitutes
93GG. Gallon
33DD. Ouziad↓ 65'6.9
32DT. Pembele↓ 76'6.7
12DE. Jelert
26MS. Ebonog↓ 76'7.2
17MK. Mizuta↓ 65'6.8
44MI. Bouneb
78MD. N. Mosengo
25FA. Samatta↓ 90'7.3
Coach: Didier Digard
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.75Expected goals (xG)0.69
15Total shots12
5Shots on target4
5Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
12Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
4Big chances missed1
0.43Goals prevented0.27
Attack
35Touches in box21
55Final third entries38
5Offsides3
16Free kicks7
5Fouled in final third0
Passing
459Passes344
388Accurate passes283
36/53 (68%)Long balls29/58 (50%)
10/33 (30%)Crosses5/21 (24%)
20Throw-ins8
Duels
47Duels53
28/60 (47%)Ground duels32/60 (53%)
12/25 (48%)Aerial duels13/25 (52%)
7/20 (35%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
6Dispossessed2
Defending
9Tackles19
22Tackles won37
5Interceptions18
15Clearances27
48Recoveries59
Discipline
7Fouls16
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Lyon to win 64% · 1.91 @ William Hill
Who winsLyon to win (DNB) 81% · 1.18 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.05 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.60 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 21% · 2.95 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Le Havre to win 14% · 5.85 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.47
Olympique Lyonnais
4.50
Draw
6.55
Le Havre
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
Olympique Lyonnais or Draw
1.17
Olympique Lyonnais or Le Havre
2.70
Draw or Le Havre
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.87
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.10
YES
1.67
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
6.25
YES
1.09
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.45
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
11.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.78
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
Olympique Lyonnais
4.80
Le Havre
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.61
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.97
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Olympique Lyonnais to win or draw
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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