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Hugo Oliveira
RC Strasbourg
RC Lens
RC Strasbourg
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
RC Lens
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
591560 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
50.6%
+50.5 vs price
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
30.8%
-64.4 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
18.5%
+14.0 vs price
Half time
311 EUR · live
Away
2.82 · implied 35.5%
48.3%
+12.8 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
32.8%
+9.0 vs price
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
18.3%
-23.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
140899 EUR · live
Over
2.6 · implied 38.5%
58.1%
+19.7 vs price
Under
1.59 · implied 62.9%
41.9%
-21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
699 EUR · live
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
50.8%
+41.7 vs price
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
49.1%
-42.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
36'
J. Mitchell · Foul
38'
⚽
F. Thauvin (pen)0–1
Half-time · 0–1
48'
⚽
G. Yassine · assist S. Nanasi1–1
56'
VAR
Goal not given after review · J. Ortega
62'
🔁
R. Aguilar ◂ M. Nawrocki
69'
F. Ivanović · Foul
72'
🔁
A. Bulatović ◂ M. Cuisance
73'
🔁
T. Hazard ◂ F. Ivanović
76'
🔁
S. Amo-Ameyaw ◂ G. Reyna
80'
R. Aguilar · Foul
83'
🔁
S. Mara ◂ J. Ortega
83'
🔁
K. Coulibaly ◂ L. Høgsberg
84'
G. Yassine · Simulation
85'
⚽
G. Yassine · assist S. Nanasi2–1
89'
🔁
M. Mesloub ◂ M. Skóraś
89'
🔁
F. Sotoca ◂ A.Sima
Full-time · 2–1
90'
🔁
F. Baldé ◂ G. Yassine
90'
🔁
M. D. Blanco ◂ S. Nanasi
Coaches
Hugo OliveiraDino Toppmoller 
Recent form
RC StrasbourgLAOlympique de Marseille0-4
DANewcastle United1-1
LASC Freiburg0-2
LHSV 07 Elversberg2-5
LHBlackburn Rovers0-2
RC LensWHAuxerre5-2
WACrystal Palace3-0
DHRC Sporting Charleroi2-2
WHUS Boulogne Côte-d'Opale4-1
WHNice3-1
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 4 Sur
DAZN Belgium
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
DAZN
Canal+ Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
DAZN
Viaplay
Ligue1+
Viaplay
Arena Sport 4 HR
TV2 PlayViaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Sport TV4
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
City
Strasbourg
Kickoff
29 Aug, 15:15 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
RC Strasbourg
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
RC Lens
1
F. Jørgensen
8.3
16
G. Antwi
6.6
4
J. Mitchell
5.9
2
A. Omobamidele
6.3
31
K. Coulibaly
7.0
↑ 83'
23
D. Lobao
6.2
21
P. Diop
7.2
7
S. Amo-Ameyaw
6.5
↑ 76'
15
M. D. Blanco
6.9
↑ 90'
14
S. Mara
6.8
↑ 83'
19
F. Baldé
6.5
↑ 90'
40
R. Risser
7.2
2
R. Aguilar
6.2
↑ 62'
25
I. Ganiou
6.6
31
S. Sagnan
6.5
38
M. Mesloub
6.6
↑ 89'
8
Y. Titraoui
7.1
5
A. Bulatović
6.7
↑ 72'
14
M. Udol
6.8
10
F. Thauvin
7.7
9
T. Hazard
6.4
↑ 73'
7
F. Sotoca
6.6
↑ 89'
Substitutes
12GM. Piekutowski
24DL. Høgsberg↓ 83'6.7
80MG. Yassine↓ 90'9.7
11MS. Nanasi↓ 90'7.9
10MG. Reyna↓ 76'7.3
45MB. Brantlind
28MT. Noubissie
17MM. Amougou
30FJ. Ortega↓ 83'6.9
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Substitutes
16GM. Gorgelin
3DM. Nawrocki↓ 62'6.6
4DN. Čelik
22MM. Skóraś↓ 89'6.8
27MM. Cuisance↓ 72'6.4
21MA. Haidara
29FF. Ivanović↓ 73'6.5
19FA.Sima↓ 89'6.4
18FR. Fofana
Coach: Dino Toppmoller
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.83Expected goals (xG)2.91
16Total shots17
7Shots on target7
4Big chances5
3Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
12Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed4
0.74Goals prevented0.64
Attack
35Touches in box34
50Final third entries45
3Offsides3
11Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
444Passes415
384Accurate passes354
13/39 (33%)Long balls18/40 (45%)
8/19 (42%)Crosses10/19 (53%)
27Throw-ins14
Duels
48Duels52
33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)
11/21 (52%)Aerial duels10/21 (48%)
10/20 (50%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
10Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles20
77Tackles won75
1Interceptions12
25Clearances24
47Recoveries40
Discipline
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves5
2Big saves2
5Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Lens to win 47% · 2.37 @ Bet365
Who winsLens to win (DNB) 53% · 1.44 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.58 @ Unibet
1X2Strasbourg to win 27% · 3.60 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.50
RC Strasbourg
3.60
Draw
2.02
RC Lens
Double Chanceconsensus
1.77
RC Strasbourg or Draw
1.25
RC Strasbourg or RC Lens
1.29
Draw or RC Lens
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.38
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.25
YES
1.30
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
11.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.56
Over 3.50
1.48
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.80
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.70
RC Strasbourg
1.42
RC Lens
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.16
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.34
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.88
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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