Stade Brestois vs Toulouse — live & stats

Where the money is

424256 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 206358 EUR · live

Away 50.0 · implied 2.0%

59.3%

+57.3 vs price

Home 830.0 · implied 0.1%

23.2%

+23.0 vs price

Draw 1.01 · implied 99.0%

17.5%

-81.5 vs price

Half time 2189 EUR · live

Draw 1.28 · implied 78.1%

74.2%

-3.9 vs price

Away 10.0 · implied 10.0%

17.4%

+7.4 vs price

Home 9.8 · implied 10.2%

8.4%

-1.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 38065 EUR · live

Under 2.84 · implied 35.2%

66.0%

+30.7 vs price

Over 1.53 · implied 65.4%

34.0%

-31.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5892 EUR · live

Under 1.21 · implied 82.6%

66.9%

-15.8 vs price

Over 5.7 · implied 17.5%

33.1%

+15.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

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Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

9' ⚽ J. Russell Rowe · assist Y. Gboho0–1

18' ⚽ K. Doumbia · assist M. Diambou1–1

31' B. Locko · Foul

44' P. Mboup · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺³ C. Cásseres Jr. · Foul

46' 🔁 R. Messali ◂ I. Diallo

60' 🔁 N. Schmidt ◂ A. Vossah

62' ⚽ C. Tapé · assist C. Cásseres Jr.1–2

67' 🔁 M. Baldé ◂ R. Del Castillo

67' 🔁 S. Oppong ◂ J. Vignolo

75' 🔁 H. Magnetti ◂ M. Diambou

75' 🔁 J. Nonge ◂ K. Doumbia

78' 🔁 S. Koumbassa ◂ T. Jørgensen

78' 🔁 S. Hidalgo ◂ J. Russell Rowe

83' 🔁 L. Tousart ◂ G. Lloris

83' 🔁 M. Lainé ◂ P. Mboup

89' N. Schmidt · Handball

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺⁴ R. Nicolaisen · Time wasting

90'⁺⁵ ⚽ L. Ajorque · assist H. Magnetti2–2

Coaches

Julien Lachuer

Jens Askou

Recent form

Stade Brestois

DALe Mans2-2

LANottingham Forest0-2

DHVenezia2-2

WAStade Briochin2-1

DHGuingamp3-3

Toulouse

LHOlympique Lyonnais0-2

LHHamburger SV1-2

LAElche0-3

WAAl-Ain1-0

WHReal Sociedad2-1

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Francis-Le Ble

City

Brest

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

4.17 yellows/match · 29 matches

Kickoff

29 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

Stade Brestois 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Toulouse

1 E. Selvik 6.2 70 K. Lala 6.9 71 R. L. Guen 6.7 29 L. Tousart 6.5 ↑ 83' 2 B. Locko 6.9 13 J. Chotard 8.5 7 J. Nonge 6.7 ↑ 75' 17 M. Baldé 6.5 ↑ 67' 8 H. Magnetti 7.2 ↑ 75' 32 M. Lainé 6.7 ↑ 83' 19 L. Ajorque 7.9 16 G. Restes 7.9 22 R. Messali 6.4 ↑ 46' 3 M. McKenzie 7.0 2 R. Nicolaisen 7.4 12 C. Tapé 7.6 31 N. Schmidt 6.7 ↑ 60' 23 C. Cásseres Jr. 8.7 11 S. Oppong 6.7 ↑ 67' 5 S. Koumbassa 6.3 ↑ 78' 10 Y. Gboho 6.9 9 S. Hidalgo 6.6 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

30GM. Patouillet 4DG. Lloris↓ 83'6.4 20DL. Zogbé 34DE. Mailly 6MM. Diambou↓ 75'7.1 23MK. Doumbia↓ 75'6.8 10MR. Del Castillo↓ 67'6.1 9MP. Mboup↓ 83'5.9 11MA. Camblan

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Substitutes

60GM. Niflore 94DI. Diallo↓ 46'6.5 19DD. Odogu 6MA. Vossah↓ 60'6.6 8MT. Jørgensen↓ 78'6.1 49MA. Amaaouch 13FJ. Russell Rowe↓ 78'7.1 7FJ. Vignolo↓ 67'6.5 37FI. Azizi

Coach: Jens Askou

Top stats

51%Possession49%

3.04Expected goals (xG)1.14

27Total shots6

7Shots on target2

6Big chances3

7Corners2

Shots

12Shots off target3

8Blocked shots1

16Shots inside box4

11Shots outside box2

3Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored2

4Big chances missed1

-0.39Goals prevented1.31

Attack

29Touches in box15

53Final third entries43

5Offsides0

18Free kicks19

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

432Passes445

357Accurate passes366

38/71 (54%)Long balls17/44 (39%)

10/37 (27%)Crosses2/10 (20%)

26Throw-ins17

Duels

46Duels54

43/90 (48%)Ground duels47/90 (52%)

18/42 (43%)Aerial duels24/42 (57%)

6/14 (43%)Dribbles10/19 (53%)

11Dispossessed12

Defending

21Tackles19

76Tackles won58

14Interceptions11

20Clearances55

56Recoveries58

Discipline

19Fouls18

2Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

4Goal kicks10

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Brest 36%

28%

Toulouse 36%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

1X2Toulouse to win 36% · 2.93 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ 10bet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.19 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Unibet

Who winsBrest to win (DNB) 54% · 1.90 @ Betsson

1X2Brest to win 36% · 3.10 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.63

Stade Brestois

3.30

Draw

2.63

Toulouse

Double Chanceconsensus

1.44

Stade Brestois or Draw

1.30

Stade Brestois or Toulouse

1.44

Draw or Toulouse

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.05

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.20

YES

1.30

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.20

YES

1.30

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.45

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.55

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.35

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.83

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.42

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.85

Stade Brestois

1.85

Toulouse

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.05

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.30

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.93

Over 9.50

1.81

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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