Le Havre vs Stade Brestois — live & stats

Where the money is

418561 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 179980 EUR · live

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

67.0%

-30.1 vs price

Draw 36.0 · implied 2.8%

21.3%

+18.5 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

12.5%

+12.4 vs price

Half time 1324 EUR · live

Away 1.16 · implied 86.2%

51.7%

-34.5 vs price

Draw 8.6 · implied 11.6%

43.7%

+32.1 vs price

Home 75.0 · implied 1.3%

4.4%

+3.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 55086 EUR · live

Under 2.02 · implied 49.5%

55.5%

+6.0 vs price

Over 1.96 · implied 51.0%

44.5%

-6.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 4186 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

88.3%

-9.8 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

11.7%

+7.9 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

10' L. Mpasi Nzau · Foul

12' ⚽ K. Doumbia (pen)0–1

22' 🔁 L. Zogbé ◂ K. Lala

38' D. Digard · Argument

39' K. Doumbia · Handball

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺² J. Mwanga · Professional foul last man

46' 🔁 S. Nakamura ◂ R. Ndiaye

51' ⚽ K. Doumbia · assist M. Baldé0–2

62' 🔁 E. Koffi ◂ T. Pembele

62' 🔁 R. Fofana ◂ J. Maja

67' 🔁 N. Edjouma ◂ M. Baldé

75' 🔁 J. Nonge ◂ H. Magnetti

75' 🔁 G. Versini ◂ P. Mboup

75' 🔁 L. Tousart ◂ K. Doumbia

79' 🔁 D. Ouziad ◂ E. Jelert

79' ⚽ R. Fofana (pen)1–2

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 G. Gallon ◂ L. Mpasi Nzau

Coaches

Didier Digard

Julien Lachuer

Recent form

Le Havre

DAOlympique Lyonnais1-1

LHAS Monaco0-1

WALe Mans1-0

LAReal Oviedo2-3

LAIpswich Town0-1

Stade Brestois

DHToulouse2-2

DALe Mans2-2

LANottingham Forest0-2

DHVenezia2-2

WAStade Briochin2-1

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Oceane

City

Le Havre

Referee

Marc Bollengier

4.62 yellows/match · 21 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

Le Havre 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Stade Brestois

93 G. Gallon ↑ 90' 15 A. Seko 7.0 6 J. Mwanga 5.3 5 A. Touba 7.7 20 D. Ouziad 7.0 ↑ 79' 26 S. Ebonog 6.7 7 A. Richardson 7.4 27 E. Koffi 7.6 ↑ 62' 30 S. Nakamura 6.3 ↑ 46' 25 A. Samatta 6.1 38 R. Fofana 6.9 ↑ 62' 1 E. Selvik 6.9 20 L. Zogbé 6.1 ↑ 22' 71 R. L. Guen 7.5 4 G. Lloris 6.9 2 B. Locko 7.0 13 J. Chotard 7.0 10 G. Versini 6.5 ↑ 75' 11 N. Edjouma 6.6 ↑ 67' 29 L. Tousart 6.4 ↑ 75' 7 J. Nonge 6.3 ↑ 75' 19 L. Ajorque 7.0

Substitutes

77GL. Mpasi Nzau↓ 90'7.5 32DT. Pembele↓ 62'6.6 12DE. Jelert↓ 79'6.5 23DV. Sasso 14MR. Ndiaye↓ 46'7.0 78MD. N. Mosengo 44MI. Bouneb 17MK. Mizuta 9FJ. Maja↓ 62'6.2

Coach: Didier Digard

Substitutes

30GM. Patouillet 70DK. Lala↓ 22'6.6 18DJ. Bourgault 23MK. Doumbia↓ 75'8.2 8MH. Magnetti↓ 75'7.0 9MP. Mboup↓ 75'6.9 32MM. Lainé 17FM. Baldé↓ 67'7.2 39FD. N'Guessan

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Top stats

56%Possession44%

2.02Expected goals (xG)2.37

18Total shots19

4Shots on target9

1Big chances5

5Corners5

Shots

10Shots off target8

4Blocked shots2

13Shots inside box12

5Shots outside box7

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed3

0.84Goals prevented0.23

Attack

33Touches in box22

48Final third entries51

1Offsides0

17Free kicks14

6Fouled in final third3

Passing

455Passes370

376Accurate passes287

30/49 (61%)Long balls28/68 (41%)

10/32 (31%)Crosses4/15 (27%)

18Throw-ins18

Duels

51Duels49

42/82 (51%)Ground duels40/82 (49%)

18/35 (51%)Aerial duels17/35 (49%)

9/26 (35%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)

6Dispossessed12

Defending

19Tackles23

58Tackles won48

14Interceptions14

26Clearances31

49Recoveries50

Discipline

15Fouls18

1Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

8Saves3

1Big saves0

10Goal kicks8

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Le Havre 36%

29%

Brest 35%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.60 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.17 @ William Hill

1X2Brest to win 35% · 3.20 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 29% · 2.48 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.85 @ 1xBet

Who winsLe Havre to win (DNB) 53% · 1.92 @ Betsson

1X2Le Havre to win 36% · 2.90 @ 10bet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.62

Le Havre

3.27

Draw

2.70

Stade Brestois

Double Chanceconsensus

1.44

Le Havre or Draw

1.32

Le Havre or Stade Brestois

1.44

Draw or Stade Brestois

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.74

Yes

2.00

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.00

YES

1.33

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.00

YES

1.33

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.37

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.46

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.20

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.09

Over 2.50

1.73

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.62

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.50

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.88

Le Havre

1.85

Stade Brestois

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.30

Over 7.50

2.92

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.58

Over 8.50

2.27

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.96

Over 9.50

1.80

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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