Toulouse vs Lille — live & stats

Where the money is

2125900 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1331390 EUR · live

Away 1.06 · implied 94.3%

70.8%

-23.5 vs price

Draw 17.5 · implied 5.7%

15.4%

+9.7 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

13.8%

+13.7 vs price

Half time 5326 EUR · live

Draw 1.32 · implied 75.8%

43.9%

-31.9 vs price

Away 8.4 · implied 11.9%

36.5%

+24.6 vs price

Home 8.4 · implied 11.9%

19.6%

+7.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 177660 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

77.6%

-21.4 vs price

Over 300.0 · implied 0.3%

22.4%

+22.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 14048 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

92.5%

-6.5 vs price

Over 75.0 · implied 1.3%

7.5%

+6.2 vs price

17 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

20' S. Hidalgo · Foul

34' VAR No penalty · T. Jørgensen

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 R. Perraud ◂ C. Verdonk

46' 🔁 D. Bakwa ◂ O. Sahraoui

57' 🔁 N. Mukau ◂ E. Mbappé

57' 🔁 A. Ueda ◂ O. Giroud

57' 🔁 J. Vignolo ◂ S. Hidalgo

65' 🔁 C. Tengstedt ◂ J. Russell Rowe

66' 🔁 I. Diallo ◂ R. Messali

71' 🔁 M. Niflore ◂ G. Restes

71' 🔁 B. Önal ◂ N. Bentaleb

72' 🔁 N. Schmidt ◂ A. Vossah

73' ⚽ A. Ueda0–1

Full-time · 0–1

Coaches

Jens Askou

Davide Ancelotti

Recent form

Toulouse

DAStade Brestois2-2

LHOlympique Lyonnais0-2

LHHamburger SV1-2

LAElche0-3

WAAl-Ain1-0

Lille

DHParis Saint-Germain2-2

WAAngers2-0

DAEverton1-1

DAHamburger SV2-2

WAOud-Heverlee Leuven6-3

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

Stadium de Toulouse

City

Toulouse

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

4.33 yellows/match · 24 matches

Kickoff

03 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Toulouse 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Lille

60 M. Niflore 7.5 ↑ 71' 94 I. Diallo 6.4 ↑ 66' 3 M. McKenzie 6.7 2 R. Nicolaisen 6.8 12 C. Tapé 6.6 23 C. Cásseres Jr. 8.9 31 N. Schmidt 6.8 ↑ 72' 7 J. Vignolo 6.7 ↑ 57' 8 T. Jørgensen 7.0 37 I. Azizi 6.1 20 C. Tengstedt 6.2 ↑ 65' 1 B. Özer 10.0 22 T. Santos 7.4 3 N. Ngoy 8.0 4 A. Ribeiro 8.2 15 R. Perraud 7.0 ↑ 46' 21 B. André 7.3 19 B. Önal 6.6 ↑ 71' 17 N. Mukau 6.6 ↑ 57' 10 H. Haraldsson 6.6 7 D. Bakwa 6.7 ↑ 46' 18 A. Ueda 7.0 ↑ 57'

Substitutes

16GG. Restes↓ 71'8.5 5DS. Koumbassa 14DN. Sigur 22MR. Messali↓ 66'7.0 6MA. Vossah↓ 72'6.7 11MS. Oppong 18MM. Amougou 9FS. Hidalgo↓ 57'6.5 13FJ. Russell Rowe↓ 65'6.5

Coach: Jens Askou

Substitutes

12GO. Gill 24DC. Verdonk↓ 46'6.7 26DI. Cossier 11MO. Sahraoui↓ 46'6.9 8ME. Mbappé↓ 57'6.8 6MN. Bentaleb↓ 71'6.5 14MM. Kjaergaard 28MG. Perrin 9FO. Giroud↓ 57'6.6

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Top stats

54%Possession46%

3.46Expected goals (xG)1.21

24Total shots10

10Shots on target6

5Big chances1

6Corners2

Shots

11Shots off target2

3Blocked shots2

14Shots inside box6

10Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored1

5Big chances missed0

1.6Goals prevented1.8

Attack

39Touches in box12

63Final third entries51

3Offsides0

9Free kicks16

2Fouled in final third0

Passing

516Passes462

451Accurate passes395

29/42 (69%)Long balls15/46 (33%)

6/28 (21%)Crosses1/6 (17%)

13Throw-ins10

Duels

41Duels59

29/70 (41%)Ground duels41/70 (59%)

7/17 (41%)Aerial duels10/17 (59%)

8/14 (57%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)

12Dispossessed7

Defending

12Tackles18

67Tackles won67

13Interceptions8

11Clearances36

66Recoveries48

Discipline

16Fouls9

1Yellow cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves9

0Big saves4

4Goal kicks14

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

Toulouse 26%

28%

Lille 46%

1X2Lille to win 46% · 2.25 @ 10bet

Who winsLille to win (DNB) 55% · 1.42 @ Novibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.21 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 28% · 2.60 @ Unibet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.39 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.92 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.15 @ William Hill

1X2Toulouse to win 26% · 4.05 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.08

Toulouse

3.60

Draw

1.88

Lille

Double Chanceconsensus

1.85

Toulouse or Draw

1.27

Toulouse or Lille

1.25

Draw or Lille

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.05

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

4.33

YES

1.18

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.65

YES

1.42

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.62

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.60

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.27

Over 1.50

3.60

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.89

Over 2.50

1.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.25

Over 3.50

1.34

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.38

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.10

Toulouse

1.36

Lille

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.18

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.49

Over 8.50

2.39

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.91

Over 9.50

1.87

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue