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Patrick Videira
Le Mans
RC Lens
Le Mans
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
RC Lens
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
723279 EUR · live
Away
16.0 · implied 6.2%
54.0%
+47.8 vs price
Home
27.0 · implied 3.7%
24.1%
+20.4 vs price
Draw
1.11 · implied 90.1%
21.9%
-68.2 vs price
Half time
5746 EUR · live
Away
2.48 · implied 40.3%
75.6%
+35.2 vs price
Home
5.4 · implied 18.5%
18.3%
-0.3 vs price
Draw
2.6 · implied 38.5%
6.1%
-32.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
35564 EUR · live
Over
1.15 · implied 87.0%
60.3%
-26.7 vs price
Under
7.6 · implied 13.2%
39.7%
+26.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9891 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
95.6%
+7.1 vs price
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
4.4%
-7.0 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
N. Boissé · Foul
20'
M. Cuisance · Foul
28'
J. Vercruysse · Foul
32'
⚽
A. Bourabaa1–0
38'
A. Bulatović · Foul
44'
⚽
L. Calodat · assist A. Bourabaa2–0
Half-time · 2–1
45'+2
⚽
A.Sima2–1
46'
🔁
M. Mesloub ◂ M. Skóraś
46'
🔁
F. Ivanović ◂ O. Édouard
46'
🔁
D. Sidibé ◂ N. Boissé
46'
🔁
A. Haidara ◂ M. Cuisance
51'
⚽
F. Ivanović · assist R. Aguilar2–2
53'
F. Thauvin · Foul
55'
🔁
J. Todibo ◂ J. Gradit
65'
🔁
H. Diallo ◂ D. Gueye
65'
🔁
D. Traore ◂ J. Vercruysse
65'
🔁
A. Lauray ◂ L. Bretelle
76'
🔁
T. Hazard ◂ A.Sima
77'
🔁
R. Torrente ◂ S. Yohou
78'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · T. Hazard
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Patrick VideiraDino Toppmoller 
Recent form
Le MansDANice1-1
LAStade Rennais2-3
DHStade Brestois2-2
LHLe Havre0-1
DAOlympique Saumur0-0
RC LensWASK Slavia Praha3-2
LHLorient0-1
LARC Strasbourg1-2
WHAuxerre5-2
WACrystal Palace3-0
About this match
**Le Mans are limping along with draws and losses, but Lens arrive with real momentum** — three wins in five and European pedigree to boot. This is a classic David vs Goliath moment, except Le Mans are genuinely competitive at home. 🔥
Le Mans are winless in five but have drawn twice at home, showing grit. Lens have won three of their last five but their injury list is a mess — five players out, including key defenders.
Key storylines:
- **RC Lens** bring pedigree and recent form, but their backline is depleted with **M. Udol**, **I. Ganiou**, and **R. Aguilar** stretched thin
- **Le Mans** will lean on their home crowd and defensive solidity; **R. Bamba** anchors a three-man backline looking to frustrate
- **A. Sima** and **O. Édouard** carry Lens' attacking load, but Le Mans' midfield press through **M. Cuisance** could disrupt rhythm
Expected lineups:
- **Le Mans**: E. Hatfout, Y. Larouci, N. Boissé, H. Yover, R. Bamba, A. Lauray, A. Bourabaa, J. Vercruysse, D. Gueye, L. Mafouta, L. Buades
- **RC Lens**: R. Risser, M. Udol, I. Ganiou, R. Aguilar, K. Antonio, M. Cuisance, A. Haidara, A. Bulatović, A. Sima, O. Édouard, M. Skóraś
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** leans most likely given Le Mans' home resilience and Lens' injury chaos. Could easily go either way. ⚽
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Stade Marie-Marvingt
City
Le Mans
Kickoff
13 Sep, 15:15 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
Le Mans
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
RC Lens
1
E. Hatfout
6.9
19
D. Sidibé
6.5
↑ 46'
16
R. Torrente
7.1
↑ 77'
5
H. Voyer
6.5
8
A. Lauray
6.8
↑ 65'
26
R. Bamba
7.3
11
A. Bourabaa
7.3
23
D. Traore
6.7
↑ 65'
22
L. Calodat
8.7
14
L. Mafouta
6.6
13
H. Diallo
7.1
↑ 65'
40
R. Risser
6.8
20
J. Todibo
6.5
↑ 55'
32
K. Antonio
7.0
14
M. Udol
6.5
2
R. Aguilar
7.2
21
A. Haidara
7.0
↑ 46'
5
A. Bulatović
7.0
38
M. Mesloub
6.4
↑ 46'
9
T. Hazard
6.8
↑ 76'
10
F. Thauvin
6.7
29
F. Ivanović
7.5
↑ 46'
Substitutes
98GN. Kocik
17DS. Yohou↓ 77'6.5
15DN. Boissé↓ 46'6.2
76DY. Larouci
29ML. Bretelle↓ 65'6.7
10MJ. Vercruysse↓ 65'6.2
25FD. Gueye↓ 65'6.8
7FB. Brahimi
9FA. Rabillard
Coach: Patrick Videira
Substitutes
16GM. Gorgelin
24DJ. Gradit↓ 55'6.0
4DN. Čelik
22MM. Skóraś↓ 46'6.3
27MM. Cuisance↓ 46'6.1
28MJ. Kadile
19FA.Sima↓ 76'7.4
11FO. Édouard↓ 46'6.6
7FF. Sotoca
Coach: Dino Toppmoller
Top stats
53%Possession47%
2.59Expected goals (xG)1.62
13Total shots16
5Shots on target6
4Big chances4
3Corners9
Shots
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box12
2Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed2
0.0Goals prevented-0.49
Attack
20Touches in box16
57Final third entries33
1Offsides3
11Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
484Passes432
409Accurate passes363
34/61 (56%)Long balls18/36 (50%)
5/20 (25%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
23Throw-ins18
Duels
51Duels49
36/67 (54%)Ground duels31/67 (46%)
8/19 (42%)Aerial duels11/19 (58%)
5/14 (36%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
1Dispossessed12
Defending
21Tackles10
57Tackles won60
10Interceptions13
18Clearances20
54Recoveries53
Discipline
17Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Lens to win 57% · 2.00 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.36 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 4.00 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.95 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 23% · 2.83 @ 1xBet
Who winsLe Mans to win (DNB) 56% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.75 @ Unibet
1X2Le Mans to win 20% · 4.80 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.75
Le Mans
4.10
Draw
1.66
RC Lens
Double Chanceconsensus
2.20
Le Mans or Draw
1.22
Le Mans or RC Lens
1.17
Draw or RC Lens
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.40
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
9.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50
1.48
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.80
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.50
Le Mans
1.26
RC Lens
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.73
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.76
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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