Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Davide Ancelotti
Lille
Troyes**Lille's looking to steady the ship after a wild week** — they've dropped points to both PSG and a Spanish cup side, but the home crowd at Pierre Mauroy should give them the edge over a Troyes team still hunting for consistency. 🔴
Lille are 2W-2D-1L in their last stretch and have the quality to put a struggling visitor away. Troyes have won just once in five and got absolutely hammered 2-6 at home by Strasbourg, so their defensive frailties are real. The H2H is dead even (10-10 over 27 meetings), but context matters — Lille at home, Troyes short-handed.
Key storylines:
- **O. Giroud** leading the line against a Troyes backline missing three players to injury — classic poacher opportunity
- **N. Bentaleb** controlling the midfield tempo; Troyes can't afford to sit passive with their injuries piling up
- Lille need a confidence win after dropping points to PSG; Troyes need literally anything but another blowout
Expected lineups:
- **Lille**: B. Özer, R. Perraud, N. Ngoy, A. Ribeiro, T. Santos, B. André, N. Bentaleb, F. Correia, H. Haraldsson, G. Perrin, O. Giroud
- **Troyes**: P. Beach, A. Ouzenadji, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, L. Maronnier, A. Mille, M. Diop, H. Picard, M. Ifnaoui, K. Diawara, R. Ripart
Prediction:
**Lille 2-0 Troyes**. Home advantage, injury list for Troyes, and Lille's need to bounce back — the hosts should cruise here. 📊
Lille
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Troyes
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.