Troyes 0-2 Olympique de Marseille: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Troyes 0-2 Olympique de Marseille.

90+8'

H. Abdelli

Goal! Troyes 0-2 Olympique de Marseille. H. Abdelli (Olympique de Marseille) converts the penalty.

90+6'

P. Beach

Yellow card for P. Beach (Troyes) for foul.

90+5'

F. P. Moumbagna

Attempt blocked. F. P. Moumbagna (Olympique de Marseille), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.09.

90+2'

C. Batola

Attempt missed. C. Batola (Troyes), header. xG 0.19.

90+1'

R. Ripart

Off the woodwork! R. Ripart (Troyes), right-footed shot. xG 0.44.

90+1'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

89'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

88'

A. Mille

Yellow card for A. Mille (Troyes) for foul.

87'

A. Gomes

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: G. Kondogbia comes on for A. Gomes.

87'

I. Paixão

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: F. P. Moumbagna comes on for I. Paixão.

84'

T. Nkada

Attempt saved. T. Nkada (Troyes), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

81'

T. Nkada

Attempt missed. T. Nkada (Troyes), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

80'

C. Batola

Attempt missed. C. Batola (Troyes), header. xG 0.02.

78'

K. Dermane

Substitution, Troyes: C. Batola comes on for K. Dermane.

78'

M. Diop

Substitution, Troyes: T. Nkada comes on for M. Diop.

77'

J. Le Douaron

Substitution, Troyes: A. Phliponeau comes on for J. Le Douaron.

76'

R. Ripart

Attempt blocked. R. Ripart (Troyes), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

73'

N. Kamissoko

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: T. Nnadi comes on for N. Kamissoko.

72'

R. Ripart

Attempt saved. R. Ripart (Troyes), header. xG 0.05.

69'

K. Diawara

Substitution, Troyes: H. Picard comes on for K. Diawara.

66'

Olympique de Marseille

Offside, Olympique de Marseille.

63'

A. Gouiri

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: N. Maupay comes on for A. Gouiri.

63'

A. Harit

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: K. Abdallah comes on for A. Harit.

61'

J. Le Douaron

Attempt saved. J. Le Douaron (Troyes), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

61'

I. Gomis

Substitution, Troyes: R. Ripart comes on for I. Gomis.

60'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

58'

K. Dermane

Yellow card for K. Dermane (Troyes) for foul.

56'

K. Dermane

Attempt blocked. K. Dermane (Troyes), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

55'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

52'

A. Mille

Attempt missed. A. Mille (Troyes), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

50'

A. Harit

Goal! Troyes 0-1 Olympique de Marseille. A. Harit (Olympique de Marseille) scores, assisted by Emerson.

48'

I. Paixão

Attempt blocked. I. Paixão (Olympique de Marseille), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Troyes 0-0 Olympique de Marseille.

45'

0 minutes of added time.

45'

A. Gomes

Yellow card for A. Gomes (Olympique de Marseille) for foul.

44'

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

42'

J. Le Douaron

Attempt missed. J. Le Douaron (Troyes), header. xG 0.05.

37'

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

37'

H. Abdelli

Attempt blocked. H. Abdelli (Olympique de Marseille), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.

36'

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

23'

J. Le Douaron

Attempt missed. J. Le Douaron (Troyes), header. xG 0.05.

22'

L. Maronnier

Yellow card for L. Maronnier (Troyes) for foul.

16'

Troyes

Offside, Troyes.

16'

A. Monfray

Attempt blocked. A. Monfray (Troyes), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

16'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

14'

Olympique de Marseille

Offside, Olympique de Marseille.

13'

Troyes

Offside, Troyes.

5'

A. Monfray

Off the woodwork! A. Monfray (Troyes), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

5'

A. Monfray

Attempt blocked. A. Monfray (Troyes), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

5'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

1'

Kick-off: Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille.

Where the money is

1041126 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 578887 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.0%

-17.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

9.5%

+9.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

8.6%

+8.5 vs price

Half time 4371 EUR · live

Draw 1.22 · implied 82.0%

65.4%

-16.6 vs price

Home 9.8 · implied 10.2%

27.8%

+17.6 vs price

Away 8.4 · implied 11.9%

6.8%

-5.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 107855 EUR · live

Under 1.52 · implied 65.8%

73.2%

+7.4 vs price

Over 2.92 · implied 34.2%

26.8%

-7.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6857 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

94.1%

-4.9 vs price

Over 110.0 · implied 0.9%

5.9%

+5.0 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

22' L. Maronnier · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

45' A. Gomes · Foul

50' ⚽ A. Harit · assist Emerson0–1

58' K. Dermane · Foul

61' 🔁 R. Ripart ◂ I. Gomis

63' 🔁 K. Abdallah ◂ A. Harit

63' 🔁 N. Maupay ◂ A. Gouiri

69' 🔁 H. Picard ◂ K. Diawara

73' 🔁 T. Nnadi ◂ N. Kamissoko

77' 🔁 A. Phliponeau ◂ J. Le Douaron

78' 🔁 T. Nkada ◂ M. Diop

78' 🔁 C. Batola ◂ K. Dermane

87' 🔁 F. P. Moumbagna ◂ I. Paixão

87' 🔁 G. Kondogbia ◂ A. Gomes

88' A. Mille · Foul

Full-time · 0–2

90'⁺⁶ P. Beach · Foul

90'⁺⁸ ⚽ H. Abdelli (pen)0–2

Coaches

Stephane Dumont

Bruno Genesio

Recent form

Troyes

DADijon2-2

LAAngers0-2

LALOSC Lille0-2

LHRC Strasbourg2-6

WALorient2-1

Olympique de Marseille

LHParis Saint-Germain1-2

LABeşiktaş JK1-4

LAStade Rennais0-1

LHParis FC2-3

LAAS Monaco0-2

About this match

**Troyes hosting a Marseille side in total freefall** — this is a chance for the hosts to feast on a wounded giant. 🔪

Troyes are scrapy and mixing results (1W 1D 3L), but Marseille are absolutely hemorrhaging form with five straight losses. The H2H lean slightly OM's way historically, but form trumps history every single time.

Key storylines:

- **Marseille's crisis deepens** — five losses on the bounce and missing key midfield/attack options (Gouiri, Højbjerg, Weah) makes this a minefield fixture
- **Troyes looking to capitalize at home** — recent draws and a win show they can stay compact and hit on the counter
- **Abdellah's creative burden** — with OM so thin up top, **H. Abdelli** and **A. Gomes** will need to do heavy lifting in midfield just to keep Troyes' press at bay

Expected lineups:

- **Troyes**: P. Beach, A. Ouzenadji, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, L. Maronnier, M. Diop, A. Mille, J. Le Douaron, K. Dermane, K. Diawara, R. Ripart
- **Olympique de Marseille**: J. De Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, N. Aguerd, G. Kondogbia, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, T. Mmadi, A. Harit, K. Abdallah, N. Maupay

Prediction:

**Troyes 2–1 Marseille**

Lean Troyes — OM's injury list and scoreline drought make them ripe for an upset at the Aube.

Where to watch

TOD

Match facts

Stadium

Stade de l'Aube

City

Troyes

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

4.00 yellows/match · 39 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

Troyes 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Olympique de Marseille

33 P. Beach 5.1 2 L. Maronnier 6.7 6 A. Monfray 6.7 4 M. Diaz 6.4 5 P. Gozzi 6.2 23 T. Nkada 6.4 ↑ 78' 37 C. Batola 6.5 ↑ 78' 17 A. Mille 7.0 20 R. Ripart 6.9 ↑ 61' 22 H. Picard 6.7 ↑ 69' 26 A. Phliponeau 6.7 ↑ 77' 1 J. De Lange 7.4 74 K. Bezahaf 7.2 4 C. Egan-Riley 7.3 21 N. Aguerd 7.6 33 Emerson 6.6 8 H. Abdelli 7.3 6 T. Nnadi 6.8 ↑ 73' 48 K. Abdallah 6.6 ↑ 63' 19 G. Kondogbia 6.8 ↑ 87' 29 F. P. Moumbagna 6.8 ↑ 87' 11 N. Maupay 6.7 ↑ 63'

Substitutes

40GH. Konaté 31DN. Donkor 34DL. Simakha 8MM. Diop↓ 78'7.0 11MI. Gomis↓ 61'6.6 7MK. Diawara↓ 69'6.6 10MM. Ifnaoui 29FK. Dermane↓ 78'6.8 9FJ. Le Douaron↓ 77'6.6

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Substitutes

92GT. Vermot 25DU. Garcia 46DA. Koum 18DB. Meïté 77MA. Harit↓ 63'7.4 42MN. Kamissoko↓ 73'7.1 14MI. Paixão↓ 87'7.0 7MA. Gomes↓ 87'6.5 9FA. Gouiri↓ 63'6.3

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Top stats

37%Possession63%

1.06Expected goals (xG)1.3

15Total shots5

3Shots on target2

2Big chances2

6Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target0

4Blocked shots3

13Shots inside box5

2Shots outside box0

2Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed0

-0.99Goals prevented0.16

Attack

21Touches in box20

48Final third entries58

2Offsides2

15Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third5

Passing

350Passes644

281Accurate passes573

15/40 (38%)Long balls13/40 (33%)

11/27 (41%)Crosses2/13 (15%)

15Throw-ins16

Duels

56Duels44

34/66 (52%)Ground duels32/66 (48%)

21/33 (64%)Aerial duels12/33 (36%)

5/12 (42%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)

7Dispossessed10

Defending

17Tackles14

47Tackles won79

9Interceptions8

15Clearances30

53Recoveries53

Discipline

14Fouls15

4Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

1Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Troyes 28%

26%

Marseille 46%

1X2Marseille to win 46% · 2.40 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.88 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.85 @ William Hill

Who winsTroyes to win (DNB) 62% · 2.50 @ 888Sport

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.91 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.57 @ Bet365

1X2Troyes to win 28% · 3.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.40

Troyes

3.65

Draw

2.05

Olympique de Marseille

Double Chanceconsensus

1.81

Troyes or Draw

1.25

Troyes or Olympique de Marseille

1.29

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.51

Yes

2.40

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.61

Over 2.50

2.33

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.39

Over 3.50

1.52

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.42

Over 4.50

1.19

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.41

Troyes

1.50

Olympique de Marseille

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.43

Over 7.50

2.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.74

Over 8.50

2.07

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.12

Over 9.50

1.67

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.62

Over 10.50

1.37

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.32

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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