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LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois
Davide Ancelotti
LOSC Lille
Stade Brestois
LOSC Lille
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Stade Brestois
Commentary
90'
Full-time. LOSC Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
89'
Attempt saved. I. Y. Kante (Stade Brestois), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.
88'
LOSC Lille
Corner, LOSC Lille.
87'
LOSC Lille
Corner, LOSC Lille.
84'
LOSC Lille
Corner, LOSC Lille.
83'
LOSC Lille
Offside, LOSC Lille.
82'
LOSC Lille
Offside, LOSC Lille.
72'
Attempt saved. N. Bentaleb (LOSC Lille), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
68'
LOSC Lille
Offside, LOSC Lille.
51'
LOSC Lille
Corner, LOSC Lille.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. LOSC Lille 0-1 Stade Brestois.
45'
1 minute of added time.
16'
LOSC Lille
Corner, LOSC Lille.
12'
Stade Brestois
Corner, Stade Brestois.
6'
Goal! LOSC Lille 0-1 Stade Brestois. M. Baldé (Stade Brestois) scores, assisted by G. Lloris.
5'
Stade Brestois
Corner, Stade Brestois.
1'
Kick-off: LOSC Lille vs Stade Brestois.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1181828 EUR · live
Away
270.0 · implied 0.4%
35.6%
+35.2 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
35.3%
+30.3 vs price
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
29.1%
-63.5 vs price
Half time
10593 EUR · live
Away
1.15 · implied 87.0%
68.1%
-18.9 vs price
Home
75.0 · implied 1.3%
22.4%
+21.0 vs price
Draw
7.8 · implied 12.8%
9.5%
-3.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
203489 EUR · live
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
57.7%
+50.6 vs price
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
42.3%
-44.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5314 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
86.0%
-12.1 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
14.0%
+11.2 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
M. Baldé · assist G. Lloris0–1
13'
K. Doumbia · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Nonge ◂ M. Baldé
54'
🔁
C. Verdonk ◂ R. Perraud
58'
B. Locko · Foul
64'
⚽
O. Giroud (pen)1–1
65'
🔁
N. Bentaleb ◂ B. André
65'
🔁
S. Diaoune ◂ D. Bakwa
77'
🔁
M. Kjaergaard ◂ N. Mukau
77'
🔁
I. Y. Kante ◂ P. Mboup
82'
🔁
M. Diambou ◂ K. Doumbia
Full-time · 1–1
90'
C. Verdonk · Foul
Coaches
Davide AncelottiJulien Lachuer 
Recent form
LOSC LilleLAArsenal0-3
WHLe Havre1-0
WHSV Zulte Waregem2-1
LAOGC Nice1-2
WHTroyes2-0
Stade BrestoisWHAngers5-1
DHMonza2-2
LAAJ Auxerre1-2
LHParis Saint-Germain0-1
WALe Havre2-1
About this match
**Lille's missing firepower vs Brestois' hot streak — this one's got tension written all over it.** The hosts are reeling from that Arsenal thrashing, but Brestois just lit up Angers 5-1 at home. Both teams need the bounce-back energy.
Lille have the head-to-head edge historically (18 wins to Brestois' 8), but they're running on fumes with **E. Mbappé**, **H. Igamane**, and **T. Santos** all sidelined. Brestois are missing pieces too, but **L. Ajorque** and crew showed real teeth in attack last time out. This is classic "form vs familiarity" stuff.
Key storylines:
- **O. Giroud** has to shoulder the load up front for Lille with their wing depth compromised by injuries
- **L. Ajorque** forms a dangerous front line for Brestois — expect them to press hard and look for set-pieces
- Lille's midfield of **N. Bentaleb** and **M. Goffi** needs to dominate possession to control Brestois' counter-punch threat
Expected lineups:
- **Lille**: B. Özer, A. Ribeiro, N. Ngoy, R. Perraud, M. Goffi, N. Bentaleb, H. Haraldsson, A. Ueda, B. André, O. Giroud, S. Diaoune
- **Stade Brestois**: E. Selvik, B. Locko, J. Chotard, G. Lloris, K. Lala, H. Magnetti, L. Tousart, P. Mboup, K. Doumbia, N. Edjouma, L. Ajorque
Prediction:
**Lille 2–1 Stade Brestois.** Home advantage + historical edge tilts it their way, but Brestois will make them sweat. 🔥
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Match facts
Stadium
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
City
Lille
Kickoff
17 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
LOSC Lille
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Stade Brestois
12
O. Gill
6.7
38
M. Goffi
7.2
3
N. Ngoy
7.3
23
T. Nianzou
6.6
24
C. Verdonk
7.0
↑ 54'
6
N. Bentaleb
7.5
↑ 65'
14
M. Kjaergaard
6.6
↑ 77'
8
E. Mbappé
7.8
10
H. Haraldsson
7.1
35
S. Diaoune
7.1
↑ 65'
9
O. Giroud
6.9
1
E. Selvik
8.5
70
K. Lala
6.9
29
L. Tousart
7.7
4
G. Lloris
6.4
2
B. Locko
6.2
13
J. Chotard
6.8
8
H. Magnetti
6.6
7
J. Nonge
6.6
↑ 46'
6
M. Diambou
6.5
↑ 82'
21
I. Y. Kante
6.4
↑ 77'
19
L. Ajorque
6.3
Substitutes
40GZ. Lanssade
15DR. Perraud↓ 54'6.6
26DI. Cossier
17MN. Mukau↓ 77'7.2
7MD. Bakwa↓ 65'7.1
21MB. André↓ 65'6.6
28MG. Perrin
19MB. Önal
33FM. Yondjio
Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Substitutes
30GM. Patouillet
18DJ. Bourgault
20DL. Zogbé
23MK. Doumbia↓ 82'6.9
9MP. Mboup↓ 77'6.6
17FM. Baldé↓ 46'7.0
33FE. Monchatre
39FD. N'Guessan
Coach: Julien Lachuer
Top stats
67%Possession33%
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.78
17Total shots8
5Shots on target2
3Big chances1
5Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed1
-0.13Goals prevented1.2
Attack
44Touches in box12
70Final third entries27
3Offsides0
19Free kicks12
6Fouled in final third1
Passing
645Passes320
584Accurate passes248
21/34 (62%)Long balls26/54 (48%)
7/30 (23%)Crosses2/3 (67%)
24Throw-ins16
Duels
59Duels41
54/91 (59%)Ground duels37/91 (41%)
9/16 (56%)Aerial duels7/16 (44%)
13/25 (52%)Dribbles6/16 (38%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
23Tackles19
48Tackles won58
9Interceptions7
8Clearances39
46Recoveries50
Discipline
12Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
1Big saves1
4Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsLille to win (DNB) 71% · 1.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Lille to win 48% · 2.30 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ Bet365
1X2Brest to win 26% · 3.70 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
LOSC Lille
3.70
Draw
3.60
Stade Brestois
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
LOSC Lille or Draw
1.23
LOSC Lille or Stade Brestois
1.88
Draw or Stade Brestois
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.18
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.21
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50
2.16
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.70
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
LOSC Lille
2.51
Stade Brestois
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
2.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.62
Over 8.50
2.19
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.97
Over 9.50
1.71
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.46
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.15
Over 11.50
1.22
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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