Troyes 1-3 RC Lens: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 17, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Troyes 1-3 RC Lens.

90+3'

M. Mesloub

Attempt blocked. M. Mesloub (RC Lens), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

84'

I. Ganiou

Substitution, RC Lens: ? comes on for I. Ganiou.

82'

A. Haidara

Yellow card for A. Haidara (RC Lens) for foul.

79'

M. Diop

Substitution, Troyes: J. Le Douaron comes on for M. Diop.

79'

L. Maronnier

Substitution, Troyes: I. Gomis comes on for L. Maronnier.

77'

S. Baidoo

Yellow card for S. Baidoo (RC Lens) for foul.

76'

M. Diaz

Yellow card for M. Diaz (Troyes) for foul.

76'

R. Ripart

Yellow card for R. Ripart (Troyes) for argument.

75'

L. Maronnier

Attempt blocked. L. Maronnier (Troyes), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

72'

R. Aguilar

Substitution, RC Lens: S. Abdulhamid comes on for R. Aguilar.

71'

A. Bulatović

Attempt saved. A. Bulatović (RC Lens), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

67'

F. Thauvin

Substitution, RC Lens: M. Mesloub comes on for F. Thauvin.

67'

O. Édouard

Substitution, RC Lens: F. Ivanović comes on for O. Édouard.

67'

Y. Titraoui

Substitution, RC Lens: A. Haidara comes on for Y. Titraoui.

64'

R. Aguilar

Attempt blocked. R. Aguilar (RC Lens), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

64'

P. Gozzi

Substitution, Troyes: N. Donkor comes on for P. Gozzi.

62'

RC Lens

Offside, RC Lens.

60'

J. Todibo

Substitution, RC Lens: S. Baidoo comes on for J. Todibo.

60'

T. Nkada

Substitution, Troyes: K. Diawara comes on for T. Nkada.

55'

R. Aguilar

Goal! Troyes 1-3 RC Lens. R. Aguilar (RC Lens) scores, assisted by F. Thauvin.

54'

R. Ripart

Attempt saved. R. Ripart (Troyes), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

54'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

53'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

51'

R. Ripart

Attempt missed. R. Ripart (Troyes), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

48'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

47'

K. Dermane

Attempt missed. K. Dermane (Troyes), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

46'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

46'

R. Ripart

Attempt blocked. R. Ripart (Troyes), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Troyes 1-2 RC Lens.

45+5'

T. Nkada

Attempt saved. T. Nkada (Troyes), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

45+4'

P. Gozzi

Attempt saved. P. Gozzi (Troyes), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

45+2'

O. Édouard

Goal! Troyes 1-2 RC Lens. O. Édouard (RC Lens) scores, assisted by F. Thauvin.

45+1'

T. Nkada

Attempt missed. T. Nkada (Troyes), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

44'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

43'

Troyes

Corner, Troyes.

40'

R. Aguilar

Attempt missed. R. Aguilar (RC Lens), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

40'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

39'

A. Bulatović

Off the woodwork! A. Bulatović (RC Lens), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

36'

O. Édouard

Attempt missed. O. Édouard (RC Lens), header. xG 0.11.

31'

M. Skóraś

Attempt blocked. M. Skóraś (RC Lens), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

31'

O. Édouard

Attempt missed. O. Édouard (RC Lens), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

31'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

26'

A. Mille

Attempt saved. A. Mille (Troyes), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

26'

T. Nkada

Goal! Troyes 1-1 RC Lens. T. Nkada (Troyes) scores.

18'

A. Bulatović

Attempt missed. A. Bulatović (RC Lens), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

13'

J. Todibo

Attempt missed. J. Todibo (RC Lens), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

13'

R. Aguilar

Attempt blocked. R. Aguilar (RC Lens), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

13'

A. Monfray

Goal! Troyes 0-1 RC Lens. Own goal by A. Monfray.

13'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

8'

T. Nkada

Attempt missed. T. Nkada (Troyes), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

K. Dermane

Attempt blocked. K. Dermane (Troyes), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Troyes vs RC Lens.

Where the money is

671580 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 400278 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

84.3%

-14.8 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

10.3%

+10.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.7%

+5.6 vs price

Half time 3699 EUR · live

Away 5.3 · implied 18.9%

73.6%

+54.7 vs price

Draw 1.32 · implied 75.8%

19.7%

-56.1 vs price

Home 8.6 · implied 11.6%

6.7%

-4.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 37126 EUR · live

Over 1.2 · implied 83.3%

71.1%

-12.2 vs price

Under 5.9 · implied 16.9%

28.9%

+12.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5216 EUR · live

Under 1.26 · implied 79.4%

82.5%

+3.2 vs price

Over 4.7 · implied 21.3%

17.5%

-3.8 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

13' ⚽ A. Monfray0–1

26' ⚽ T. Nkada1–1

Half-time · 1–2

45'⁺² ⚽ O. Édouard · assist F. Thauvin1–2

55' ⚽ R. Aguilar · assist F. Thauvin1–3

60' 🔁 K. Diawara ◂ T. Nkada

60' 🔁 S. Baidoo ◂ J. Todibo

64' 🔁 N. Donkor ◂ P. Gozzi

67' 🔁 A. Haidara ◂ Y. Titraoui

67' 🔁 F. Ivanović ◂ O. Édouard

67' 🔁 M. Mesloub ◂ F. Thauvin

72' 🔁 S. Abdulhamid ◂ R. Aguilar

76' R. Ripart · Argument

76' M. Diaz · Foul

77' S. Baidoo · Foul

79' 🔁 I. Gomis ◂ L. Maronnier

79' 🔁 J. Le Douaron ◂ M. Diop

82' A. Haidara · Foul

84' 🔁 ◂ I. Ganiou

Full-time · 1–3

Coaches

Stephane Dumont

Yannick Cahuzac

Recent form

Troyes

LHOlympique de Marseille0-2

DADijon2-2

LAAngers0-2

LALille0-2

LHRC Strasbourg2-6

RC Lens

LHSporting CP0-2

WHOlympique Lyonnais2-1

LAAS Monaco1-2

DALe Mans2-2

WASK Slavia Praha3-2

About this match

**Troyes are in freefall and Lens smell blood** — the hosts haven't won in five and are limping into a clash with a team that's figured out how to turn on the style at home. 🔴

Troyes are spiraling (0W-1D-4L), while Lens just took down Lyon at the Bollaert and showed real bite. The away side's missing some key defenders, but their attack has teeth — and that's all they need against a side leaking goals.

Key storylines:

- **RC Lens** thriving on home form and away, especially after dismantling Lyon; **Troyes** desperately need a result to avoid the basement
- **K. Diawara** and **R. Ripart** need to create magic up top for the hosts, but the midfield is stretched thin
- **F. Thauvin** back in the fold for Lens and hungry to keep the momentum rolling 📍

Expected lineups:

- **Troyes**: P. Beach, H. Picard, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, L. Maronnier, M. Diop, A. Mille, J. Le Douaron, K. Dermane, K. Diawara, R. Ripart
- **RC Lens**: R. Risser, I. Ganiou, K. Antonio, S. Sagnan, S. Baidoo, M. Cuisance, R. Aguilar, A. Haidara, F. Thauvin, F. Ivanović, O. Édouard

Prediction:

**Lens 2-0 Troyes**. The visitors have the form, the firepower, and Troyes are too broken right now to fight back.

Where to watch

TOD

Match facts

Stadium

Stade de l'Aube

City

Troyes

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

4.04 yellows/match · 25 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

Troyes 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1 RC Lens

33 P. Beach 5.8 11 I. Gomis 6.7 ↑ 79' 6 A. Monfray 6.6 4 M. Diaz 6.8 31 N. Donkor 6.6 ↑ 64' 17 A. Mille 6.4 29 K. Dermane 7.5 9 J. Le Douaron 6.5 ↑ 79' 10 M. Ifnaoui 7.0 20 R. Ripart 6.1 7 K. Diawara 7.0 ↑ 60' 40 R. Risser 7.2 32 K. Antonio 6.7 25 I. Ganiou 7.1 6 S. Baidoo 6.8 ↑ 60' 23 S. Abdulhamid 6.8 ↑ 72' 21 A. Haidara 6.9 ↑ 67' 5 A. Bulatović 6.8 22 M. Skóraś 6.4 38 M. Mesloub 6.8 ↑ 67' 7 F. Sotoca 6.7 29 F. Ivanović 6.2 ↑ 67'

Substitutes

40GH. Konaté 5DP. Gozzi↓ 64'6.2 2DL. Maronnier↓ 79'6.0 34DL. Simakha 8MM. Diop↓ 79'6.6 22MH. Picard 26MA. Phliponeau 23FT. Nkada↓ 60'7.5 37FC. Batola

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Substitutes

16GM. Gorgelin 20DJ. Todibo↓ 60'6.7 2MR. Aguilar↓ 72'7.6 8MY. Titraoui↓ 67'6.9 27MM. Cuisance 28MJ. Kadile 9MT. Hazard 10FF. Thauvin↓ 67'9.0 11FO. Édouard↓ 67'6.7

Coach: Yannick Cahuzac

Top stats

41%Possession59%

1.24Expected goals (xG)1.43

12Total shots13

5Shots on target3

3Big chances2

6Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target6

3Blocked shots4

7Shots inside box9

5Shots outside box4

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed0

-1.88Goals prevented0.11

Attack

31Touches in box20

53Final third entries46

0Offsides1

11Free kicks13

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

372Passes540

306Accurate passes451

34/49 (69%)Long balls24/56 (43%)

5/25 (20%)Crosses8/19 (42%)

16Throw-ins14

Duels

47Duels53

29/62 (47%)Ground duels33/62 (53%)

7/14 (50%)Aerial duels7/14 (50%)

5/13 (38%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)

8Dispossessed6

Defending

13Tackles16

62Tackles won50

13Interceptions8

24Clearances14

52Recoveries57

Discipline

13Fouls11

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

1Big saves1

7Goal kicks11

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Troyes 25%

25%

Lens 50%

1X2Lens to win 50% · 2.20 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.88 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.90 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 2.00 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.91 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

Who winsTroyes to win (DNB) 53% · 2.90 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.57 @ Bet365

1X2Troyes to win 25% · 3.82 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.83

Troyes

3.80

Draw

1.88

RC Lens

Double Chanceconsensus

1.92

Troyes or Draw

1.23

Troyes or RC Lens

1.24

Draw or RC Lens

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.58

Yes

2.25

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

8.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.70

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.66

Over 2.50

2.29

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.46

Over 3.50

1.52

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.47

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.80

Troyes

1.40

RC Lens

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

2.93

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.31

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.94

Over 9.50

1.84

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.38

Over 10.50

1.50

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.90

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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