Olympique de Marseille 4-3 Le Havre: Stats & xG

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Ligue 1 ·Sun 25 Oct

Olympique de Marseille

4–3

HT 2–0

Full time

Le Havre

CEPAC Vélodrome, Marseille · Ref: Clement Turpin

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Olympique de Marseille 4-3 Le Havre.

90+13'

K. Mizuta

Attempt missed. K. Mizuta (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90+12'

S. Ebonog

Attempt missed. S. Ebonog (Le Havre), header. xG 0.12.

90+12'

N. Maupay

Yellow card for N. Maupay (Olympique de Marseille) for time wasting.

90+11'

A. Seko

Attempt missed. A. Seko (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+11'

M. N'Diaye

Yellow card for M. N'Diaye (Le Havre) for argument.

90+10'

A. Seko

Yellow card for A. Seko (Le Havre) for argument.

90+6'

K. Mizuta

VAR: no penalty for Le Havre.

90+5'

K. Mizuta

Attempt blocked. K. Mizuta (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+4'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

90+2'

I. Paixão

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: U. Garcia comes on for I. Paixão.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

89'

J. Maja

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 4-3 Le Havre. J. Maja (Le Havre) scores, assisted by K. Mizuta.

86'

M. N'Diaye

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 4-2 Le Havre. M. N'Diaye (Le Havre) scores.

86'

S. Nakamura

Attempt saved. S. Nakamura (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

84'

H. Abdelli

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: N. Kamissoko comes on for H. Abdelli.

84'

P. Højbjerg

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: A. Gomes comes on for P. Højbjerg.

84'

R. Fofana

Substitution, Le Havre: K. Mizuta comes on for R. Fofana.

83'

S. Ebonog

Yellow card for S. Ebonog (Le Havre) for simulation.

82'

M. N'Diaye

Attempt saved. M. N'Diaye (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

80'

R. Fofana

Attempt blocked. R. Fofana (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

A. Harit

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: K. Abdallah comes on for A. Harit.

78'

A. Gouiri

Substitution, Olympique de Marseille: N. Maupay comes on for A. Gouiri.

77'

J. Maja

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 4-1 Le Havre. J. Maja (Le Havre) converts the penalty.

77'

A. Richardson

Substitution, Le Havre: D. N. Mosengo comes on for A. Richardson.

77'

E. Koffi

Substitution, Le Havre: M. N'Diaye comes on for E. Koffi.

70'

S. Nakamura

Attempt missed. S. Nakamura (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

69'

S. Ebonog

Attempt missed. S. Ebonog (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

67'

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

63'

J. Maja

Cleared off the line! J. Maja (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.42.

61'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

61'

R. Ndiaye

Substitution, Le Havre: J. Maja comes on for R. Ndiaye.

61'

A. Samatta

Substitution, Le Havre: S. Nakamura comes on for A. Samatta.

60'

I. Paixão

Attempt saved. I. Paixão (Olympique de Marseille), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

H. Abdelli

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 4-0 Le Havre. H. Abdelli (Olympique de Marseille) scores.

54'

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

50'

I. Paixão

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 3-0 Le Havre. I. Paixão (Olympique de Marseille) scores, assisted by A. Gouiri.

47'

A. Seko

Attempt blocked. A. Seko (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

47'

Olympique de Marseille

Offside, Olympique de Marseille.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Olympique de Marseille 2-0 Le Havre.

45+2'

H. Abdelli

Attempt missed. H. Abdelli (Olympique de Marseille), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

41'

D. Ouziad

Attempt missed. D. Ouziad (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

38'

Olympique de Marseille

Offside, Olympique de Marseille.

37'

D. Ouziad

Attempt missed. D. Ouziad (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

33'

T. Weah

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 2-0 Le Havre. T. Weah (Olympique de Marseille) scores.

32'

R. Fofana

Attempt blocked. R. Fofana (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

28'

Le Havre

Offside, Le Havre.

23'

R. Fofana

Attempt saved. R. Fofana (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

22'

P. Højbjerg

Attempt missed. P. Højbjerg (Olympique de Marseille), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

21'

D. Ouziad

Attempt missed. D. Ouziad (Le Havre), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.15.

20'

P. Højbjerg

Attempt missed. P. Højbjerg (Olympique de Marseille), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

20'

H. Abdelli

Attempt missed. H. Abdelli (Olympique de Marseille), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

19'

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

19'

Emerson

Attempt blocked. Emerson (Olympique de Marseille), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

15'

A. Richardson

Attempt blocked. A. Richardson (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

12'

A. Samatta

Attempt missed. A. Samatta (Le Havre), header. xG 0.09.

E. Koffi

Attempt blocked. E. Koffi (Le Havre), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

N. Aguerd

Attempt blocked. N. Aguerd (Olympique de Marseille), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

C. Egan-Riley

Goal! Olympique de Marseille 1-0 Le Havre. C. Egan-Riley (Olympique de Marseille) scores, assisted by Emerson.

Olympique de Marseille

Corner, Olympique de Marseille.

Olympique de Marseille

Offside, Olympique de Marseille.

Kick-off: Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre.

Where the money is

478345 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 349985 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.2%

-9.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.2%

+6.1 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

4.7%

+2.7 vs price

Half time 51 EUR

Home 2.02 · implied 49.5%

86.8%

+37.3 vs price

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

12.2%

-4.4 vs price

Draw 2.82 · implied 35.5%

1.0%

-34.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 21322 EUR · live

Over 1.18 · implied 84.7%

69.1%

-15.6 vs price

Under 6.2 · implied 16.1%

31.1%

+14.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 36 EUR

Over 5.8 · implied 17.2%

73.1%

+55.9 vs price

Under 1.21 · implied 82.6%

26.9%

-55.7 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

5' ⚽ C. Egan-Riley · assist Emerson1–0

33' ⚽ T. Weah2–0

Half-time · 2–0

50' ⚽ I. Paixão · assist A. Gouiri3–0

55' ⚽ H. Abdelli4–0

61' 🔁 S. Nakamura ◂ A. Samatta

61' 🔁 J. Maja ◂ R. Ndiaye

77' ⚽ J. Maja (pen)4–1

77' 🔁 M. N'Diaye ◂ E. Koffi

77' 🔁 D. N. Mosengo ◂ A. Richardson

78' 🔁 N. Maupay ◂ A. Gouiri

78' 🔁 K. Abdallah ◂ A. Harit

83' S. Ebonog · Simulation

84' 🔁 K. Mizuta ◂ R. Fofana

84' 🔁 A. Gomes ◂ P. Højbjerg

84' 🔁 N. Kamissoko ◂ H. Abdelli

86' ⚽ M. N'Diaye4–2

89' ⚽ J. Maja · assist K. Mizuta4–3

Full-time · 4–3

90'⁺² 🔁 U. Garcia ◂ I. Paixão

90'⁺⁶ VAR No penalty · K. Mizuta

90'⁺¹⁰ A. Seko · Argument

90'⁺¹¹ M. N'Diaye · Argument

90'⁺¹² N. Maupay · Time wasting

Coaches

Bruno Genesio

Didier Digard

Recent form

Olympique de Marseille

LASK Sturm Graz0-1

WAAngers5-2

LHOlympiacos FC0-1

WATroyes2-0

LHParis Saint-Germain1-2

Le Havre

LHAJ Auxerre1-3

LALOSC Lille0-1

WHUS Boulogne Côte-d'Opale6-1

LAToulouse2-3

DHAngers0-0

About this match

**Marseille's dominance over Le Havre is basically folklore** — the home side has won 20 of their last 31 meetings and shows no sign of letting up. 🔵

Marseille are streaky: they've dropped three of their last five but bounced back with a **5-2 away hammering of Angers**. Le Havre, meanwhile, are battling injuries and consistency issues, with just one win in five and a defensive fragility on display in recent outings.

Key storylines:

- **Marseille's midfield depth tested** — without Højbjerg (thigh) and Cornelius (hip), the attack's flow depends on whether Abdelli and Meïté can control tempo against Le Havre's press
- **Le Havre's injury crisis** — Jelert, Mambimbi, and Mpasi Nzau all out; expect a stretched back line that could struggle with Maupay and Moumbagna's movement
- **The Vélodrome factor** — Marseille's home record against this opponent is ruthless; expect them to capitalize early and often

Expected lineups:

- **Olympique de Marseille**: De Lange, Egan-Riley, Emerson, Aguerd, Harit, Weah, Gouiri, Maupay
- **Le Havre**: Gallon, Ouziad, Touba, Richardson, Maja, Samatta, Nakamura

Prediction:

**Marseille 3–0 Le Havre** — A comfortable home win. Marseille's pedigree and Le Havre's injury toll tilt this decisively. ⚪

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)Disney+ Premium Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

CEPAC Vélodrome

City

Marseille

Referee

Clement Turpin

3.39 yellows/match · 74 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 16:15 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.55Expected goals (xG)3.14

11Total shots22

5Shots on target7

3Big chances4

4Corners3

Shots

4Shots off target9

2Blocked shots6

7Shots inside box14

4Shots outside box8

3Big chances scored3

0Big chances missed1

-0.87Goals prevented-1.5

Attack

29Touches in box30

56Final third entries48

3Offsides1

11Free kicks14

5Fouled in final third4

Passing

483Passes411

420Accurate passes338

22/45 (49%)Long balls27/44 (61%)

4/12 (33%)Crosses4/27 (15%)

21Throw-ins22

Duels

45Duels55

38/79 (48%)Ground duels41/79 (52%)

9/26 (35%)Aerial duels17/26 (65%)

9/21 (43%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)

6Dispossessed13

Defending

19Tackles17

53Tackles won53

14Interceptions5

36Clearances23

45Recoveries42

Discipline

15Fouls11

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

0Big saves1

10Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Marseille 64%

20%

Le Havre 16%

1X2Marseille to win 64% · 1.85 @ William Hill

Who winsMarseille to win (DNB) 79% · 1.20 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.30 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.75 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 2.90 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.94 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 20% · 3.08 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.70 @ 1xBet

1X2Le Havre to win 16% · 5.25 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.47

Olympique de Marseille

4.75

Draw

5.80

Le Havre

Double Chanceconsensus

1.13

Olympique de Marseille or Draw

1.17

Olympique de Marseille or Le Havre

2.60

Draw or Le Havre

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.62

Yes

2.20

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

11.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

14.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

5.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.49

Over 2.50

2.61

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.24

Over 3.50

1.65

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.86

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.18

Olympique de Marseille

4.40

Le Havre

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.12

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.47

Over 8.50

2.46

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.84

Over 9.50

1.94

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.29

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.83

Over 11.50

1.32

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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