RC Lens 2-1 Paris FC: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. RC Lens 2-1 Paris FC.

90+6'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

90+6'

J. Kadile

Attempt saved. J. Kadile (RC Lens), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

90+2'

Otávio

Yellow card for Otávio (Paris FC) for off the ball foul.

90'

8 minutes of added time.

90'

Y. Cahuzac

Yellow card for Y. Cahuzac (RC Lens) for argument.

89'

M. Skóraś

Yellow card for M. Skóraś (RC Lens) for argument.

85'

F. Sotoca

Substitution, RC Lens: J. Kadile comes on for F. Sotoca.

85'

S. Abdulhamid

Substitution, RC Lens: M. Skóraś comes on for S. Abdulhamid.

83'

T. Hazard

Goal! RC Lens 2-1 Paris FC. T. Hazard (RC Lens) scores, assisted by F. Thauvin.

81'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

81'

R. Matondo

Substitution, Paris FC: T. De Smet comes on for R. Matondo.

81'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

79'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

76'

I. Kebbal

Substitution, Paris FC: Zabi comes on for I. Kebbal.

75'

Paris FC

Corner, Paris FC.

74'

S. Baidoo

Yellow card for S. Baidoo (RC Lens) for foul.

71'

A. Haidara

Substitution, RC Lens: Y. Titraoui comes on for A. Haidara.

68'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

67'

A. Camara

Substitution, Paris FC: M. Simon comes on for A. Camara.

67'

P. Pagis

Substitution, Paris FC: R. Matondo comes on for P. Pagis.

63'

F. Thauvin

Goal! RC Lens 1-1 Paris FC. F. Thauvin (RC Lens) scores, assisted by T. Hazard.

61'

J. Todibo

Substitution, RC Lens: K. Antonio comes on for J. Todibo.

61'

F. Ivanović

Substitution, RC Lens: T. Hazard comes on for F. Ivanović.

55'

P. Lees Melou

Attempt missed. P. Lees Melou (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

53'

I. Kebbal

Attempt missed. I. Kebbal (Paris FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.21.

51'

F. Thauvin

Yellow card for F. Thauvin (RC Lens) for foul.

51'

J. Todibo

VAR: red card for J. Todibo (RC Lens).

46'

L. Koleosho

Substitution, Paris FC: E. Mbemba comes on for L. Koleosho.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. RC Lens 0-1 Paris FC.

45+4'

F. Sotoca

Attempt missed. F. Sotoca (RC Lens), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

45+2'

L. Koleosho

Goal! RC Lens 0-1 Paris FC. L. Koleosho (Paris FC) scores, assisted by L. Sinayoko.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

33'

F. Sotoca

Attempt missed. F. Sotoca (RC Lens), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

31'

F. Thauvin

Attempt missed. F. Thauvin (RC Lens), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

31'

RC Lens

Corner, RC Lens.

29'

P. Lees Melou

Yellow card for P. Lees Melou (Paris FC) for handball.

28'

M. Mbow

Yellow card for M. Mbow (Paris FC) for foul.

26'

M. Cuisance

Attempt missed. M. Cuisance (RC Lens), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

26'

F. Sotoca

Attempt missed. F. Sotoca (RC Lens), header. xG 0.03.

19'

M. Udol

VAR: no penalty for RC Lens.

16'

F. Ivanović

Attempt missed. F. Ivanović (RC Lens), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

3'

I. Kebbal

Attempt blocked. I. Kebbal (Paris FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: RC Lens vs Paris FC.

Where the money is

1455484 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 1 hour ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 741677 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

44.2%

-53.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

38.6%

+38.5 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

17.3%

+15.3 vs price

Half time 478 EUR

Away 3.6 · implied 27.8%

50.5%

+22.7 vs price

Home 3.1 · implied 32.3%

27.2%

-5.1 vs price

Draw 2.5 · implied 40.0%

22.4%

-17.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 343426 EUR · live

Under 1.68 · implied 59.5%

51.0%

-8.5 vs price

Over 2.46 · implied 40.7%

49.0%

+8.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 27 EUR

Over 7.2 · implied 13.9%

82.4%

+68.5 vs price

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

17.6%

-67.1 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

19' VAR No penalty · M. Udol

28' M. Mbow · Foul

29' P. Lees Melou · Handball

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺² ⚽ L. Koleosho · assist L. Sinayoko0–1

46' 🔁 E. Mbemba ◂ L. Koleosho

51' F. Thauvin · Foul

51' VAR Red card check · J. Todibo

61' 🔁 T. Hazard ◂ F. Ivanović

61' 🔁 K. Antonio ◂ J. Todibo

63' ⚽ F. Thauvin · assist T. Hazard1–1

67' 🔁 R. Matondo ◂ P. Pagis

67' 🔁 M. Simon ◂ A. Camara

71' 🔁 Y. Titraoui ◂ A. Haidara

74' S. Baidoo · Foul

76' 🔁 Zabi ◂ I. Kebbal

81' 🔁 T. De Smet ◂ R. Matondo

83' ⚽ T. Hazard · assist F. Thauvin2–1

85' 🔁 M. Skóraś ◂ S. Abdulhamid

85' 🔁 J. Kadile ◂ F. Sotoca

89' M. Skóraś · Argument

Full-time · 2–1

90' Y. Cahuzac · Argument

90'⁺² Otávio · Off the ball foul

Coaches

Yannick Cahuzac

Liam Rosenior

Recent form

RC Lens

LAClub Brugge KV0-3

WATroyes3-1

LHSporting CP0-2

WHOlympique Lyonnais2-1

LAAS Monaco1-2

Paris FC

WHStade Rennais4-3

LALorient0-1

WHRC Strasbourg2-1

DHOlympique Lyonnais0-0

WAOlympique de Marseille3-2

About this match

**Lens look to bounce back on home turf against a Paris FC side finding its rhythm** — the hosts have won 8 of their last 13 h2h clashes, but they're limping in off three losses in five. 🔴

Lens are stuttering (2W-3L lately), while Paris FC have hit form with three wins in their past five. The Parisian outfit rolled over Rennes 4-3 and beat Strasbourg 2-1, so they've got serious attacking juice right now.

Key storylines:

- **Lens's injury crisis** is brutal with five out, including defenders Gradit and Nawrocki — they'll lean hard on F. Thauvin and M. Cuisance to control play
- **Paris FC's attack is clicking** — L. Sinayoko and L. Koleosho have been clinical; they'll test a backline that's already stretched
- **Home fortress factor** — Lens historically own this fixture (8 wins in 13), but form says otherwise heading into Saturday

Expected lineups:

- **RC Lens**: R. Risser, M. Udol, F. Thauvin, S. Sagnan, K. Antonio, Y. Titraoui, M. Cuisance, A. Haidara, J. Kadile, F. Ivanović, M. Skóraś
- **Paris FC**: K. Trapp, T. De Smet, D. Coppola, S. S. Chergui, H. Traoré, P. Lees Melou, M. López, L. Koleosho, I. Kebbal, P. Pagis, L. Sinayoko

Prediction:

**1-2 to Paris FC** — Lens's form + defensive depth issues give the visitors a slight edge. 📍

Where to watch

TV5Monde Europe

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

City

Lens

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

4.62 yellows/match · 32 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

RC Lens 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Paris FC

40 R. Risser 6.6 2 R. Aguilar 7.0 6 S. Baidoo 6.8 32 K. Antonio 6.8 ↑ 61' 28 J. Kadile 6.5 ↑ 85' 27 M. Cuisance 6.4 8 Y. Titraoui 7.0 ↑ 71' 14 M. Udol 6.9 10 F. Thauvin 8.9 22 M. Skóraś 6.4 ↑ 85' 9 T. Hazard 7.8 ↑ 61' 16 O. Nkambadio 5.9 23 R. Matondo 6.5 ↑ 67' 5 M. Mbow 6.3 42 D. Coppola 6.7 6 Otávio 6.4 20 M. López 7.0 33 P. Lees Melou 7.0 8 Zabi 6.3 ↑ 76' 27 M. Simon 6.3 ↑ 67' 3 E. Mbemba 6.3 ↑ 46' 9 L. Sinayoko 6.6

Substitutes

16GM. Gorgelin 20DJ. Todibo↓ 61'6.6 4DN. Čelik 23MS. Abdulhamid↓ 85'7.2 21MA. Haidara↓ 71'6.3 5MA. Bulatović 38MM. Mesloub 29FF. Ivanović↓ 61'6.2 7FF. Sotoca↓ 85'6.2

Coach: Yannick Cahuzac

Substitutes

50GI. Meïté 28DT. De Smet↑ 81'6.2 25DY. Koré 10MI. Kebbal↓ 76'6.5 17MA. Camara↓ 67'6.3 15FL. Koleosho↓ 46'7.6 7FP. Pagis↓ 67'6.7 11FJ. Krasso 18FO. Sissoko

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Top stats

56%Possession44%

1.06Expected goals (xG)0.42

9Total shots4

3Shots on target1

1Big chances1

6Corners1

Shots

6Shots off target2

1Blocked shots1

6Shots inside box4

3Shots outside box0

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed1

-0.38Goals prevented-0.61

Attack

21Touches in box11

69Final third entries37

0Offsides1

17Free kicks17

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

555Passes457

478Accurate passes371

26/41 (63%)Long balls14/52 (27%)

6/31 (19%)Crosses0/4 (0%)

17Throw-ins18

Duels

49Duels51

38/77 (49%)Ground duels39/77 (51%)

7/14 (50%)Aerial duels7/14 (50%)

8/17 (47%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)

10Dispossessed5

Defending

14Tackles19

43Tackles won47

13Interceptions9

14Clearances39

58Recoveries49

Discipline

17Fouls17

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

0Big saves1

1Goal kicks8

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Lens 37%

26%

Paris 37%

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.75 @ William Hill

Who winsLens to win (DNB) 68% · 1.85 @ Betway

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.60 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

1X2Paris to win 37% · 3.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.85 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.71 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

1X2Lens to win 37% · 2.84 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.60

RC Lens

3.60

Draw

2.60

Paris FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.46

RC Lens or Draw

1.27

RC Lens or Paris FC

1.48

Draw or Paris FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.51

Yes

2.45

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.19

Over 1.50

4.53

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.62

Over 2.50

2.30

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.57

Over 3.50

1.51

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.20

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.80

RC Lens

1.91

Paris FC

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.24

Over 7.50

3.02

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.51

Over 8.50

2.36

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.86

Over 9.50

1.88

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.34

Over 10.50

1.51

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.83

Over 11.50

1.28

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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