**Toulouse are heavy favorites at home** — this is a mismatch on paper, and the stats back it up. 🔴

Toulouse are riding two wins and sitting pretty with 9 H2H victories over Troyes historically. Meanwhile, **Troyes are sliding hard**, winless in five with four losses. Home advantage + form = a pretty clean narrative here.

Key storylines:

- **Toulouse's attack** has been clinical recently (3-0 away vs Le Mans), and they'll face a Troyes defense missing key pieces with A. Ouzenadji and Y. Titi sidelined
- **Troyes' defensive frailty** — conceding 3 to Lens and 2 to Marseille at home shows they're vulnerable on their own pitch
- **Home fortress mentality** — Toulouse have won 2 of their last 3 at Stadium de Toulouse; this is the moment to capitalize

Expected lineups:

- **Toulouse**: G. Restes, C. Tapé, M. McKenzie, R. Nicolaisen, N. Sigur, C. Cásseres Jr., T. Jørgensen, S. Oppong, A. Vossah, S. Hidalgo, J. Russell Rowe
- **Troyes**: P. Beach, H. Picard, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, L. Maronnier, M. Diop, A. Mille, J. Le Douaron, M. Ifnaoui, K. Diawara, R. Ripart

Prediction:

**Toulouse 2–0 Troyes**. Troyes' injury woes and form collapse makes this one-way traffic. Lean Toulouse.