Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain: Stats & xG – Oct 30, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain.

90+4'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

90+3'

R. Ndiaye

Attempt saved. R. Ndiaye (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.30.

90+2'

A. Samatta

Attempt missed. A. Samatta (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

87'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

87'

A. Samatta

Attempt saved. A. Samatta (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

86'

Q. Ndjantou

Attempt missed. Q. Ndjantou (Paris Saint-Germain), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

83'

S. Ebonog

Substitution, Le Havre: D. N. Mosengo comes on for S. Ebonog.

82'

Paris Saint-Germain

Corner, Paris Saint-Germain.

79'

R. Fofana

Substitution, Le Havre: H. Dongopandji comes on for R. Fofana.

78'

F. Torres

Attempt blocked. F. Torres (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

76'

Paris Saint-Germain

Offside, Paris Saint-Germain.

73'

A. Touba

Attempt saved. A. Touba (Le Havre), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

73'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

71'

M. Godts

Substitution, Paris Saint-Germain: Q. Ndjantou comes on for M. Godts.

71'

A. Hakimi

Substitution, Paris Saint-Germain: D. Boly comes on for A. Hakimi.

69'

A. Hakimi

Goal! Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain. A. Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain) scores.

69'

A. Hakimi

Attempt saved. A. Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain), left-footed shot. xG 0.23.

66'

A. Samatta

Attempt saved. A. Samatta (Le Havre), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

65'

S. Nakamura

Substitution, Le Havre: A. Samatta comes on for S. Nakamura.

65'

A. Richardson

Substitution, Le Havre: E. Koffi comes on for A. Richardson.

65'

M. N'Diaye

Substitution, Le Havre: R. Ndiaye comes on for M. N'Diaye.

64'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

63'

M. Akliouche

Substitution, Paris Saint-Germain: L. Beraldo comes on for M. Akliouche.

62'

J. Maja

Off the woodwork! J. Maja (Le Havre), header on the counter. xG 0.03.

62'

S. Mayulu

Goal! Le Havre 1-4 Paris Saint-Germain. S. Mayulu (Paris Saint-Germain) scores, assisted by A. Hakimi.

60'

M. Akliouche

Attempt blocked. M. Akliouche (Paris Saint-Germain), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

56'

A. Hakimi

Attempt saved. A. Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

55'

A. Hakimi

Goal! Le Havre 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain. A. Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain) scores.

50'

Le Havre

Offside, Le Havre.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Le Havre 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

M. N'Diaye

Attempt blocked. M. N'Diaye (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

43'

R. Fofana

Attempt blocked. R. Fofana (Le Havre), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

41'

D. Fernández

Attempt saved. D. Fernández (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

38'

W. Zaïre-Emery

Attempt blocked. W. Zaïre-Emery (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot. xG 0.29.

37'

Le Havre

Offside, Le Havre.

34'

D. Ouziad

Attempt blocked. D. Ouziad (Le Havre), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

28'

A. Hakimi

Goal! Le Havre 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain. A. Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain) scores, assisted by S. Mayulu.

28'

A. Hakimi

VAR: goal for Paris Saint-Germain ruled out.

27'

R. Fofana

Attempt missed. R. Fofana (Le Havre), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.09.

26'

M. Godts

Goal! Le Havre 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain. M. Godts (Paris Saint-Germain) scores, assisted by A. Hakimi.

24'

A. Hakimi

Attempt missed. A. Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

23'

Paris Saint-Germain

Corner, Paris Saint-Germain.

23'

F. Torres

Attempt saved. F. Torres (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

18'

J. Maja

Goal! Le Havre 1-0 Paris Saint-Germain. J. Maja (Le Havre) scores, assisted by R. Fofana.

17'

F. Torres

Attempt saved. F. Torres (Paris Saint-Germain), right-footed shot. xG 0.38.

16'

D. Ouziad

Attempt blocked. D. Ouziad (Le Havre), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

16'

A. Touba

Attempt missed. A. Touba (Le Havre), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

16'

A. Richardson

Attempt missed. A. Richardson (Le Havre), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

16'

Le Havre

Corner, Le Havre.

11'

Le Havre

Offside, Le Havre.

6'

Paris Saint-Germain

Corner, Paris Saint-Germain.

1'

Kick-off: Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain.

Where the money is

3242706 EUR matched · captured 3 days, 9 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2882683 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

94.7%

-4.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.7%

+2.6 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.6%

+2.5 vs price

Half time 14714 EUR

Away 1.76 · implied 56.8%

71.6%

+14.8 vs price

Home 8.0 · implied 12.5%

17.9%

+5.4 vs price

Draw 3.25 · implied 30.8%

10.5%

-20.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 79926 EUR · live

Over 1.05 · implied 95.2%

76.6%

-18.7 vs price

Under 21.0 · implied 4.8%

23.4%

+18.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 969 EUR

Under 1.24 · implied 80.6%

57.4%

-23.2 vs price

Over 4.9 · implied 20.4%

42.6%

+22.2 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

18' ⚽ J. Maja · assist R. Fofana1–0

26' ⚽ M. Godts · assist A. Hakimi1–1

28' ⚽ A. Hakimi · assist S. Mayulu1–2

28' VAR Goal check · A. Hakimi

Half-time · 1–2

55' ⚽ A. Hakimi1–3

62' ⚽ S. Mayulu · assist A. Hakimi1–4

63' 🔁 L. Beraldo ◂ M. Akliouche

65' 🔁 R. Ndiaye ◂ M. N'Diaye

65' 🔁 E. Koffi ◂ A. Richardson

65' 🔁 A. Samatta ◂ S. Nakamura

69' ⚽ A. Hakimi1–5

71' 🔁 D. Boly ◂ A. Hakimi

71' 🔁 Q. Ndjantou ◂ M. Godts

79' 🔁 H. Dongopandji ◂ R. Fofana

83' 🔁 D. N. Mosengo ◂ S. Ebonog

Full-time · 1–5

Coaches

Didier Digard

Luis Enrique

Recent form

Le Havre

LAOlympique de Marseille3-4

LHAJ Auxerre1-3

LALOSC Lille0-1

WHUS Boulogne Côte-d'Opale6-1

LAToulouse2-3

Paris Saint-Germain

WHOlympique Lyonnais2-0

WHFC Barcelona4-2

WARC Strasbourg3-1

WAManchester City4-2

WHLe Mans3-1

About this match

**PSG roll into Le Havre riding a five-game win streak, while the hosts are desperately searching for consistency.** This feels like a coronation waiting to happen 👑

Le Havre's 1W–4L over their last five matches tells you everything — they're leaky and unreliable. PSG, meanwhile, have won every game since the start of October, including that bonkers 4-2 demolition of Barcelona. The head-to-head record is brutal for the hosts too: PSG dominate 20-4 in 34 meetings.

Key storylines:

- **PSG's attacking depth** shines even without Kvaratskhelia — F. Torres, D. Doué, and M. Godts form a dangerous front three against a stretched Le Havre backline
- **Le Havre's injury crisis** keeps mounting (Jelert, Mambimbi, Mpasi Nzau, Pembele all out), leaving them thin on depth everywhere
- **Vitinha's midfield control** should dictate tempo; PSG's engine rarely stalls even on the road

Expected lineups:

- **Le Havre**: G. Gallon, A. Touba, A. Seko, D. Ouziad, M. N'Diaye, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, J. Maja
- **Paris Saint-Germain**: M. Safonov, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, L. Hernández, Vitinha, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, M. Godts

Prediction:

**PSG 3–0 Le Havre**. The visitors are heavy favorites — Le Havre just don't have the bodies or form to compete 🔴⚪

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Oceane

City

Le Havre

Referee

François Letexier

3.97 yellows/match · 61 matches

Kickoff

30 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Le Havre 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3 Paris Saint-Germain

16 A. Bodart 5.9 15 A. Seko 5.7 6 J. Mwanga 6.1 5 A. Touba 5.7 20 D. Ouziad 7.2 78 D. N. Mosengo 6.7 ↑ 83' 14 R. Ndiaye 6.9 ↑ 65' 27 E. Koffi 6.5 ↑ 65' 33 H. Dongopandji 6.8 ↑ 79' 25 A. Samatta 6.5 ↑ 65' 9 J. Maja 7.3 39 M. Safonov 7.8 42 D. Boly 6.8 ↑ 71' 6 I. Zabarnyi 7.0 21 L. Hernández 7.9 12 L. Digne 6.9 33 W. Zaïre-Emery 7.4 4 L. Beraldo 7.0 ↑ 63' 27 D. Fernández 6.6 9 F. Torres 6.6 24 S. Mayulu 8.1 47 Q. Ndjantou 6.5 ↑ 71'

Substitutes

93GG. Gallon 97DM. N'Diaye↓ 65'6.5 23DV. Sasso 7MA. Richardson↓ 65'6.1 26MS. Ebonog↓ 83'6.1 24MG. Zohouri 17MK. Mizuta 38FR. Fofana↓ 79'7.6 30FS. Nakamura↓ 65'6.9

Coach: Didier Digard

Substitutes

30GL. Chevalier 2DA. Hakimi↓ 71'10.0 51DW. Pacho 11MM. Akliouche↓ 63'7.1 87MJ. Neves 17MVitinha 8MF. Ruiz 22FM. Godts↓ 71'8.5 14FD. Doué

Coach: Luis Enrique

Top stats

29%Possession71%

2.01Expected goals (xG)3.97

14Total shots15

5Shots on target10

3Big chances6

5Corners3

Shots

5Shots off target2

4Blocked shots3

10Shots inside box11

4Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored3

2Big chances missed3

-0.21Goals prevented0.93

Attack

24Touches in box31

35Final third entries68

3Offsides1

11Free kicks14

2Fouled in final third4

Passing

302Passes777

242Accurate passes710

11/35 (31%)Long balls34/48 (71%)

5/19 (26%)Crosses0/10 (0%)

13Throw-ins16

Duels

53Duels47

46/87 (53%)Ground duels41/87 (47%)

8/15 (53%)Aerial duels7/15 (47%)

9/19 (47%)Dribbles14/27 (52%)

5Dispossessed14

Defending

27Tackles15

63Tackles won40

18Interceptions8

10Clearances17

48Recoveries49

Discipline

14Fouls11

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

1Big saves1

5Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Le Havre 10%

15%

PSG 76%

1X2PSG to win 76% · 1.62 @ William Hill

Who winsPSG to win (DNB) 82% · 1.11 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 70% · 3.10 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.67 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.00 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.94 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 15% · 3.44 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 2.00 @ Bet365

1X2Le Havre to win 10% · 6.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

8.20

Le Havre

5.75

Draw

1.30

Paris Saint-Germain

Double Chanceconsensus

3.41

Le Havre or Draw

1.11

Le Havre or Paris Saint-Germain

1.06

Draw or Paris Saint-Germain

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.72

Yes

2.05

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

17.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

17.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

6.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.39

Over 2.50

2.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.97

Over 3.50

1.88

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.10

Over 4.50

1.36

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

6.38

Le Havre

1.10

Paris Saint-Germain

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.12

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.49

Over 8.50

2.40

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50

1.91

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.26

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.85

Over 11.50

1.32

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Paris Saint-Germain to win or draw

✓

90% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

87% confidence

Paris Saint-Germain to avoid defeat

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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