Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Lorient's sitting pretty at home, and Brest are wobbling — this is a chance for the Moustoir faithful to feast on a vulnerable visitor.** 🔥
Lorient's on a solid run (2W-2D in their last five), while Brest just got hammered 2-1 by Nice and are mixing blowouts with draws. The head-to-head is toss-up territory (10 wins each), but form is everything right now.
Key storylines:
- **Lorient's attacking thrust** through Koné and Sylla needs to capitalize on Brest's shaky backline, especially with both sides dealing with injury headaches
- **Magnetti and Tousart** hold the midfield battle — if Lorient's Makengo and Cadiou can control the tempo, they'll create space in the final third
- **Home advantage rules** — Lorient unbeaten in their last three at Le Moustoir, while Brest are limping between results
Expected lineups:
- **Lorient**: Mvogo, Kouassi, Talbi, Adjei, Georgen, Cadiou, Makengo, Ebong, Bernardeau, Koné, Sylla
- **Stade Brestois**: Selvik, Locko, Chotard, Lloris, Lala, Magnetti, Tousart, Mboup, Doumbia, Edjouma, Ajorque
Prediction:
**Lorient 2-0 Stade Brestois**
Slight favorite to the hosts — form, home turf, and Brest's defensive wobbles tip it.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.