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Michal Gasparik
Górnik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Górnik Zabrze
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
11'
L. Sadílek · Foul
12'
⚽
Talisca (pen)0–1
28'
E. Janža · Argument
41'
J. Oosterwolde · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
45'+10
⚽
M. Sáček · assist E. Prekop1–1
46'
🔁
M. Greenwood ◂ İ. C. Kahveci
46'
🔁
İ. Yüksek ◂ M. Asensio
63'
🔁
S. Liseth ◂ E. Prekop
63'
🔁
M. Khlan ◂ M. Dietz
66'
R. Janicki · Argument
70'
🔁
A. Musaba ◂ K. Aktürkoğlu
70'
Josema · Foul
72'
🔁
P. González ◂ Y. I. Dimi
80'
🔁
O. Aydın ◂ Talisca
81'
🔁
B. Durdov ◂ L. Sadílek
86'
N. Semedo · Foul
88'
🔁
M. Müldür ◂ N. Semedo
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
M. Greenwood · Argument
90'+2
Fred · Argument
90'+3
M. Guendouzi · Time wasting
Coaches
Michal Gasparikİsmail Kartal 
Recent form
Górnik ZabrzeWHŚląsk Wrocław2-1
LAFenerbahçe0-1
WAFC Nordsjælland2-0
DAWSG Tirol0-0
LARed Bull Salzburg1-2
FenerbahçeWHGórnik Zabrze1-0
WALASK2-1
WHPogoń Szczecin4-0
WHAdmira Wacker5-0
DHEyüpspor3-3
Where to watch
Ictimai TV
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Polsat Sport 1Polsat Sport Premium 1
Sport TV1
S Sport+Tv100
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
City
Zabrze
Referee
Lothar D'hondt
Kickoff
29 Jul, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Górnik Zabrze
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
1
P. Schulze
6.6
61
M. Sáček
7.8
26
R. Janicki
6.5
20
Josema
7.2
64
E. Janža
7.2
33
M. Khlan
6.8
↑ 63'
19
P. González
6.6
↑ 72'
34
B. Durdov
6.5
↑ 81'
82
K. Urbański
6.7
88
T. Ismaheel
7.5
23
S. Liseth
6.5
↑ 63'
34
M. Günok
6.7
18
M. Müldür
↑ 88'
37
M. Škriniar
7.7
15
N. Aké
7.0
24
J. Oosterwolde
6.3
6
M. Guendouzi
6.8
7
Fred
6.1
5
İ. Yüksek
6.8
↑ 46'
11
M. Greenwood
6.6
↑ 46'
20
A. Musaba
6.7
↑ 70'
70
O. Aydın
6.5
↑ 80'
Substitutes
29GW. Kania
2DP. Warczak
4DP. Bochniewicz
66MM. Dietz↓ 63'6.3
18ML. Sadílek↓ 81'5.9
21MO. Zmrzlý
28MB. Donio
36MM. Rakoczy
11FE. Prekop↓ 63'6.5
7FY. I. Dimi↓ 72'6.5
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Top stats
48%Possession52%
0.72Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.69
15Total shots14
6Shots on target2
1Big chances4
9Corners7
Shots
4Shots off target7
5Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box10
10Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed3
Attack
30Touches in box25
58Final third entries50
1Offsides2
15Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
379Passes433
297Accurate passes373
30/60 (50%)Long balls17/40 (43%)
4/26 (15%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
20Throw-ins16
Duels
51Duels49
42/78 (54%)Ground duels36/78 (46%)
14/32 (44%)Aerial duels18/32 (56%)
7/20 (35%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
20Tackles24
70Tackles won58
9Interceptions20
16Clearances29
52Recoveries57
Discipline
8Fouls15
4Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
1Big saves3
9Goal kicks7
2Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 37 bookmakers
Who winsFenerbahçe to win (DNB) 79% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Fenerbahçe to win 62% · 1.65 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.72 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.82 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 22% · 4.35 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.48 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ 888Sport
1X2Górnik to win 16% · 5.50 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.77
Górnik Zabrze ▼
4.14
Draw ▲
1.59
Fenerbahçe ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.30
Górnik Zabrze or Draw ▼
1.20
Górnik Zabrze or Fenerbahçe ▼
1.15
Draw or Fenerbahçe ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes ▼
2.03
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▼
12.07
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50 ▲
4.15
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.69
Over 2.50 ▲
2.18
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.68
Over 3.50 ▲
1.46
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.75
Over 4.50 ▲
1.18
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
3.79
Górnik Zabrze ▼
1.21
Fenerbahçe ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
19.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50 ▼
11.67
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50 ▼
6.67
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50 ▲
3.80
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50 ▲
2.65
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50 ▲
2.00
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50 ▲
1.62
Under 10.50 ▼
1.5 – 1.7Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~11Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe to win (DNB)Who wins | 79% | 79% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| Fenerbahçe to win1X2 | 62% | 62% | 1.51 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 66% | 66% | 1.4 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 55% | 55% | 1.72 | Fair | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 76% | 1.22 | Overpriced | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 22% | 22% | 4.28 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 66% | 66% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 56% | 56% | 1.64 | Overpriced | low |
| Górnik to win1X2 | 16% | 16% | 5.82 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Górnik to win (DNB) — we say 42%, they say 21%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 81% | -4% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% | -3% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 36% | -2% | No |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 52% | -1% | No |
| Home win | 16% | 48% | -32% | No |
| Draw | 22% | 20% | +2% | Yes |
| Away win | 62% | 32% | +30% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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