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Johan Plat
SC Cambuur
Excelsior
SC Cambuur
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Excelsior
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
127934 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
72.8%
-26.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.7%
+21.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.6%
+5.5 vs price
Half time
457 EUR · live
Away
1.31 · implied 76.3%
68.1%
-8.2 vs price
Home
25.0 · implied 4.0%
26.1%
+22.1 vs price
Draw
4.5 · implied 22.2%
5.5%
-16.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
17579 EUR · live
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
64.3%
-21.2 vs price
Under
7.0 · implied 14.3%
35.7%
+21.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2763 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
91.5%
+5.3 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
8.5%
-5.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
I. Yegoian · assist G. d. Regt0–1
31'
⚽
N. Naujoks · assist I. Yegoian0–2
42'
⚽
D. Garden · assist S. Janssen0–3
Half-time · 0–3
46'
🔁
M. Costarelli ◂ R. Mulders
46'
🔁
S. Bouhoudane ◂ R. v. d. Pavert
66'
🔁
E. Apkakou ◂ L. Jetten
69'
⚽
N. Naujoks · assist S. Janssen0–4
74'
🔁
C. Widell ◂ N. Martens
74'
🔁
N. Groen ◂ D. Garden
75'
🔁
A. Sliti ◂ I. Yegoian
81'
🔁
W. v. d. Goot ◂ S. Vink
81'
🔁
O. Turay ◂ S. Janssen
85'
🔁
I. S. Timas ◂ G. d. Regt
Full-time · 0–4
90'+4
VAR
Goal not given after review · I. S. Timas
Coaches
Johan PlatRuben den Uil 
Recent form
SC CambuurLABologna1-3
LHNPS Volos1-2
LHFC Utrecht0-1
WHFC Utrecht1-0
WHRoda JC Kerkrade2-1
ExcelsiorWADe Graafschap5-1
WAHeracles Almelo5-3
WANAC Breda3-1
WAFC Dordrecht2-0
WHSC Cambuur3-2
Match facts
Stadium
Kooi Stadion
City
Leeuwarden
Referee
Allard Lindhout
Kickoff
07 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
SC Cambuur
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Excelsior
1
T. Jansen
7.9
28
M. Costarelli
6.5
↑ 46'
4
I. Baouf
6.6
6
J. Amofa
6.6
17
E. Apkakou
6.3
↑ 66'
7
S. Bouhoudane
6.4
↑ 46'
10
R. E. Arguioui
6.4
8
N. Souren
6.8
29
I. Henstra
7.4
40
W. v. d. Goot
6.3
↑ 81'
11
I. Hamache
7.1
1
S. van Gassel
7.8
4
C. Widell
6.6
↑ 74'
3
R. Meissen
7.1
14
J. Plug
7.0
22
O. Turay
6.6
↑ 81'
6
D. v. Vianen
7.0
10
N. Naujoks
8.4
20
L. Hartjes
7.7
7
A. Sliti
6.9
↑ 75'
28
N. Groen
6.3
↑ 74'
21
I. S. Timas
6.5
↑ 85'
Top stats
46%Possession54%
0.7Expected goals (xG)3.35
11Total shots18
2Shots on target9
1Big chances7
5Corners8
Shots
6Shots off target4
3Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box14
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored4
1Big chances missed3
0.89Goals prevented0.16
Attack
14Touches in box27
36Final third entries72
1Offsides1
11Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
377Passes430
316Accurate passes354
16/38 (42%)Long balls37/70 (53%)
0/11 (0%)Crosses8/20 (40%)
15Throw-ins15
Duels
56Duels44
47/79 (59%)Ground duels32/78 (41%)
12/27 (44%)Aerial duels15/27 (56%)
17/28 (61%)Dribbles8/13 (62%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
19Tackles18
74Tackles won72
8Interceptions9
24Clearances15
47Recoveries51
Discipline
6Fouls11
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
3Big saves0
5Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 44 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.62 @ fonbet
1X2Excelsior to win 35% · 2.80 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 3.50 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.27 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.86 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Cambuur to win 37% · 2.65 @ Betano
Who winsCambuur to win (DNB) 51% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.55
SC Cambuur ▲
3.41
Draw ▼
2.66
Excelsior ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
SC Cambuur or Draw ▼
1.30
SC Cambuur or Excelsior ▲
1.50
Draw or Excelsior ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes ▲
2.27
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▼
11.06
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▲
4.03
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.74
Over 2.50 ▼
2.06
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.78
Over 3.50 ▲
1.42
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.13
Over 4.50 ▼
1.16
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.83
SC Cambuur ▲
1.90
Excelsior ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▲
5.21
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50 ▲
3.27
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50 ▲
2.32
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50 ▼
1.80
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.43
Over 10.50 ▲
1.49
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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