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Henry van der Vegt
PEC Zwolle
AFC Ajax
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
AFC Ajax
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
776831 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.0%
-10.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.7%
+5.6 vs price
Home
300.0 · implied 0.3%
5.3%
+5.0 vs price
Half time
7100 EUR · live
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
68.7%
+54.4 vs price
Draw
1.19 · implied 84.0%
26.6%
-57.5 vs price
Home
800.0 · implied 0.1%
4.7%
+4.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
112349 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
85.2%
-7.4 vs price
Over
13.0 · implied 7.7%
14.8%
+7.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1556 EUR
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
93.8%
+11.9 vs price
Over
5.5 · implied 18.2%
6.1%
-12.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
33'
A. Ouazane · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'
S. Floranus · Foul
60'
🔁
D. v. d. Haar ◂ I. Cissoko
61'
🔁
G. Reiziger ◂ D. Mbayo
61'
🔁
J. Mokio ◂ O. Gloukh
61'
🔁
J. Brandt ◂ S. Berghuis
61'
🔁
M. Godts ◂ Y. Regeer
67'
🔁
M. Leonardo ◂ K. Dolberg
73'
🔁
T. Arokodare ◂ A. Ouazane
74'
🔁
T. Velthuis ◂ T. Oosting
76'
⚽
J. Mokio · assist T. Arokodare0–1
85'
🔁
O. Velanas ◂ R. Thomas
85'
🔁
E. Sørensen ◂ T. Sommer
86'
D. Klaassen · Foul
88'
G. Reiziger · Argument
89'
K. Kostons · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'+5
⚽
J. Brandt · assist M. Godts0–2
Coaches
Michel 
Recent form
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LHFeyenoord0-2
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WHBurnley2-1
WAFK Vojvodina4-1
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Match facts
Stadium
Mac3Park Stadion
City
Zwolle
Kickoff
09 Aug, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
1
J. Schendelaar
7.9
3
O. Aertssen
6.7
28
S. Graves
7.0
24
N. Viergever
6.8
2
S. Floranus
6.2
9
E. Sørensen
6.4
↑ 85'
18
O. Velanas
6.9
↑ 85'
20
G. Reiziger
6.7
↑ 61'
4
T. Velthuis
5.9
↑ 74'
33
D. v. d. Haar
6.5
↑ 60'
10
K. Kostons
6.3
1
M. ter Stegen
7.5
2
L. Rosa
7.2
30
A. Bouwman
8.3
15
Y. Baas
7.9
12
C. Henrique
6.9
18
D. Klaassen
6.5
24
J. Mokio
7.8
↑ 61'
11
M. Godts
7.1
↑ 61'
8
J. Brandt
7.5
↑ 61'
38
M. Leonardo
6.3
↑ 67'
99
T. Arokodare
6.6
↑ 73'
Top stats
31%Possession69%
0.59Expected goals (xG)1.97
7Total shots26
2Shots on target6
1Big chances2
2Corners10
Shots
2Shots off target8
3Blocked shots12
4Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box13
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
0.21Goals prevented0.26
Attack
14Touches in box43
51Final third entries54
10Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
236Passes547
174Accurate passes481
28/61 (46%)Long balls15/34 (44%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses6/26 (23%)
22Throw-ins28
Duels
52Duels48
37/69 (54%)Ground duels32/69 (46%)
17/35 (49%)Aerial duels18/35 (51%)
6/17 (35%)Dribbles8/20 (40%)
2Dispossessed10
Defending
22Tackles13
45Tackles won69
8Interceptions4
32Clearances17
49Recoveries57
Discipline
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
2Big saves0
8Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 44 bookmakers
1X2Ajax to win 62% · 1.74 @ 1xBet
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 78% · 1.19 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 1.51 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.16 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.62 @ fonbet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 21% · 4.80 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
1X2PEC Zwolle to win 17% · 6.50 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.95
PEC Zwolle ▲
4.36
Draw ▼
1.49
AFC Ajax ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.62
PEC Zwolle or Draw
1.19
PEC Zwolle or AFC Ajax ▲
1.12
Draw or AFC Ajax ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.26
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.27
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.48
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.48
Over 2.50
2.61
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.16
Over 3.50
1.68
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.60
Over 4.50
1.28
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.30
PEC Zwolle ▲
1.18
AFC Ajax
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
21.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50 ▼
10.33
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
6.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▼
3.67
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.74
Over 9.50 ▼
1.96
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50 ▼
1.59
Under 10.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AFC Ajax to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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