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Henk Brugge
SC Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
SC Telstar
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
266974 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
78.0%
-18.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.3%
+16.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.9%
+5.8 vs price
Half time
537 EUR · live
Away
1.34 · implied 74.6%
51.6%
-23.1 vs price
Home
17.5 · implied 5.7%
27.2%
+21.5 vs price
Draw
4.0 · implied 25.0%
21.0%
-4.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
172446 EUR · live
Under
1.34 · implied 74.6%
86.5%
+11.8 vs price
Over
3.95 · implied 25.3%
13.5%
-11.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1940 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
67.0%
-19.9 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
32.9%
+19.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
M. Young · assist N. Þórisson0–1
Half-time · 0–1
53'
⚽
N. Þórisson · assist S. Mito0–2
55'
A. Soualhia · Foul
56'
L. E. Martes · Foul
57'
🔁
R. Oudsten ◂ G. Caschili
57'
🔁
E. Demircan ◂ R. Mendes
62'
🔁
M. Van Bergen ◂ C. Terho
64'
🔁
N. Shenkman ◂ J. Seedorf
64'
🔁
P. Aning ◂ J. Hardeveld
76'
🔁
R. van Cruijsen ◂ J. Toornstra
76'
🔁
A. Roaldsøy ◂ S. Mito
85'
🔁
M. Zonneveld ◂ N. Þórisson
85'
🔁
T. Q. León ◂ J. Baas
Full-time · 1–3
90'+1
⚽
A. Soualhia1–2
90'+7
⚽
R. van Cruijsen · assist B. Kuipers1–3
Coaches
Rogier Meijer 
Recent form
WANEC Nijmegen2-1
LAVfL Wolfsburg1-3
WADe Graafschap6-3
LASparta Rotterdam0-1
LAAlmere City FC1-2
LHFeyenoord0-1
DHMSV Duisburg0-0
DHAsteras Aktor1-1
LASV Zulte Waregem2-3
LHSV Meppen2-3
Where to watch
ESPN 2
Match facts
Stadium
BUKO Stadion
City
Velsen
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
1
R. Koeman Jr
9.0
28
R. Oudsten
6.4
↑ 57'
4
A. Soualhia
7.9
43
M. Peersman
7.1
5
P. Aning
7.1
↑ 64'
17
N. Rossen
6.8
10
T. Owusu
6.4
8
E. Demircan
6.1
↑ 57'
27
P. Brouwer
6.9
11
S. Hetli
6.4
23
N. Shenkman
6.6
↑ 64'
1
F. Bednarek
6.2
2
L. E. Martes
7.6
3
M. Young
8.8
4
N. Verschuren
6.4
5
B. Kuipers
6.7
13
T. Q. León
6.5
↑ 85'
18
R. van Cruijsen
6.3
↑ 76'
17
M. Van Bergen
6.5
↑ 62'
16
A. Roaldsøy
6.4
↑ 76'
11
A. Santos
7.0
19
M. Zonneveld
6.3
↑ 85'
Top stats
61%Possession39%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.54
7Total shots16
1Shots on target9
1Big chances6
7Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed3
1.19Goals prevented-0.01
Attack
25Touches in box30
69Final third entries50
1Offsides0
17Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
509Passes327
424Accurate passes256
34/63 (54%)Long balls33/78 (42%)
3/25 (12%)Crosses7/17 (41%)
18Throw-ins13
Duels
50Duels50
41/82 (50%)Ground duels41/82 (50%)
11/23 (48%)Aerial duels12/23 (52%)
13/27 (48%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
13Tackles23
69Tackles won43
8Interceptions4
19Clearances56
45Recoveries45
Discipline
13Fouls17
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves0
1Big saves0
4Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.35 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 1.54 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 5.25 @ fanatics
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.19 @ betfair
Who winsTelstar to win (DNB) 61% · 1.72 @ merkurxtip
1X2Telstar to win 46% · 2.52 @ betsensation
1X2Draw 25% · 2.93 @ efbet.net
1X2Sparta to win 29% · 3.45 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.03 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
SC Telstar
3.69
Draw
3.11
Sparta Rotterdam
Double Chanceconsensus
1.34
SC Telstar or Draw
1.26
SC Telstar or Sparta Rotterdam
1.68
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.48
Yes
2.45
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.58
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.17
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.38
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.25
Over 3.50
1.56
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.05
Over 4.50 ▼
1.23
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.56
SC Telstar
2.22
Sparta Rotterdam
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
8.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.91
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.24
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.51
Over 9.50
2.38
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.80
Over 10.50
1.84
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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