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Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
PSV Eindhoven
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
461275 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
93.0%
-5.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.2%
+4.1 vs price
Draw
50.0 · implied 2.0%
2.8%
+0.8 vs price
Half time
4276 EUR · live
Away
1.2 · implied 83.3%
87.7%
+4.3 vs price
Home
50.0 · implied 2.0%
10.6%
+8.6 vs price
Draw
6.8 · implied 14.7%
1.7%
-13.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
41959 EUR · live
Over
1.25 · implied 80.0%
57.3%
-22.7 vs price
Under
4.8 · implied 20.8%
42.7%
+21.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
10194 EUR · live
Under
1.21 · implied 82.6%
87.3%
+4.6 vs price
Over
6.2 · implied 16.1%
12.7%
-3.4 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
R. van Bommel0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
O. Turay ◂ I. S. Timas
46'
🔁
N. Martens ◂ A. Sliti
54'
⚽
C. Widell · assist I. Yegoian1–1
56'
⚽
R. Pepi · assist S. Dest1–2
63'
🔁
K. Sano ◂ P. Wanner
63'
🔁
A. Bouhamdi ◂ R. van Bommel
68'
🔁
N. Groen ◂ D. Garden
72'
🔁
D. Man ◂ I. Perišić
74'
🔁
A. Jahanbakhsh ◂ L. Hartjes
80'
🔁
Y. Finey ◂ D. v. Vianen
80'
🔁
M. Domínguez ◂ S. Janssen
84'
🔁
S. Mijnans ◂ R. Pepi
88'
J. Plug · Foul
89'
🔁
K. Sildillia ◂ S. Dest
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Ruben den UilPeter Bosz 
Recent form
ExcelsiorWASC Cambuur4-0
WADe Graafschap5-1
WAHeracles Almelo5-3
WANAC Breda3-1
WAFC Dordrecht2-0
PSV EindhovenDHFortuna Sittard2-2
WHFC Eindhoven3-0
LHVillarreal1-3
WHRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise7-3
DHRaków Częstochowa2-2
Where to watch
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Sportklub 9 Croatia
ESPN 2
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Woudestein
City
Rotterdam
Kickoff
15 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
Excelsior
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
PSV Eindhoven
1
S. van Gassel
7.2
3
R. Meissen
6.6
4
C. Widell
7.8
14
J. Plug
6.2
9
M. Domínguez
6.5
↑ 80'
8
I. Yegoian
7.6
30
A. Jahanbakhsh
6.5
↑ 74'
23
Y. Finey
6.6
↑ 80'
17
N. Martens
5.7
↑ 46'
28
N. Groen
6.1
↑ 68'
22
O. Turay
6.1
↑ 46'
32
M. Kovář
7.0
25
K. Sildillia
↑ 89'
6
R. Flamingo
6.8
4
A. Obispo
6.6
17
M. Júnior
6.2
20
G. Til
6.7
23
J. Veerman
8.0
37
A. Bouhamdi
7.4
↑ 63'
27
D. Man
6.4
↑ 72'
21
S. Mijnans
6.6
↑ 84'
24
K. Sano
6.6
↑ 63'
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.32Expected goals (xG)2.21
5Total shots20
2Shots on target8
1Big chances4
1Corners7
Shots
2Shots off target7
1Blocked shots5
3Shots inside box16
2Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
-0.22Goals prevented0.01
Attack
9Touches in box27
63Final third entries44
1Offsides1
3Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third5
Passing
427Passes607
339Accurate passes529
28/68 (41%)Long balls21/42 (50%)
2/12 (17%)Crosses7/24 (29%)
24Throw-ins29
Duels
43Duels57
20/55 (36%)Ground duels35/55 (64%)
15/27 (56%)Aerial duels12/27 (44%)
1/10 (10%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
16Tackles18
75Tackles won72
8Interceptions7
32Clearances17
55Recoveries61
Discipline
9Fouls3
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
6Saves1
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks5
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
Who winsPSV to win (DNB) 79% · 2.18 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.45 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.72 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.33 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 27% · 3.70 @ tipico
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ betinasia
1X2Excelsior to win 45% · 5.30 @ betsensation
1X2PSV to win 29% · 3.69 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.15 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
6.88
Excelsior ▲
5.00
Draw
3.10
PSV Eindhoven
Double Chanceconsensus
2.70
Excelsior or Draw
1.16
Excelsior or PSV Eindhoven
1.63
Draw or PSV Eindhoven
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.44
Yes ▲
2.59
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
21.74
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.06
Over 1.50
7.88
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.30
Over 2.50 ▲
3.38
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.78
Over 3.50 ▲
1.89
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.56
Excelsior
2.27
PSV Eindhoven
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.16
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.06
Over 6.50
6.40
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
4.16
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.91
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50 ▼
2.17
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.95
Over 10.50
1.72
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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