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Danny Buijs
Fortuna Sittard
SC Cambuur
Fortuna Sittard
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
SC Cambuur
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
87509 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.1%
-10.9 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
6.7%
+5.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.8%
+5.7 vs price
Half time
1352 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
98.1%
+1.0 vs price
Away
5.6 · implied 17.9%
1.8%
-16.1 vs price
Draw
2.72 · implied 36.8%
0.1%
-36.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5027 EUR · live
Over
1.04 · implied 96.2%
60.5%
-35.7 vs price
Under
100.0 · implied 1.0%
39.5%
+38.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4743 EUR · live
Over
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.1%
-14.9 vs price
Under
2.66 · implied 37.6%
15.9%
-21.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
P. Brittijn · assist M. Ihattaren1–0
15'
⚽
L. Zeefuik · assist J. Dahlhaus2–0
22'
⚽
R. E. Arguioui · assist N. Souren2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
W. Kooistra ◂ M. Costarelli
46'
🔁
É. Michut ◂ S. Wylin
50'
L. Jetten · Foul
64'
N. Souren · Foul
72'
🔁
A. Descotte ◂ O. Romeny
72'
🔁
N. d. Groot ◂ J. Dahlhaus
72'
🔁
S. '. Zand ◂ M. Ihattaren
76'
🔁
N. Binder ◂ S. Vink
76'
🔁
F. Kvam ◂ I. Henstra
82'
🔁
W. v. d. Goot ◂ J. Amofa
88'
🔁
R. Mulders ◂ I. Hamache
Full-time · 3–1
90'
🔁
M. Gbemou ◂ L. Zeefuik
90'+6
⚽
S. '. Zand · assist I. Pinto3–1
Coaches
Danny BuijsJohan Plat 
Recent form
Fortuna SittardDAPSV Eindhoven2-2
WHAPOEL Nicosia2-1
LAMetz1-3
LAOlympiacos FC1-3
WHKRC Genk2-1
SC CambuurLHExcelsior0-4
LABologna1-3
LHNPS Volos1-2
LHFC Utrecht0-1
WHFC Utrecht1-0
Where to watch
ESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
City
Sittard-Geleen
Kickoff
15 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
SC Cambuur
31
M. Branderhorst
9.0
12
I. Pinto
7.1
6
S. Van Ottele
7.2
28
J. Hubner
6.5
20
É. Michut
7.1
↑ 46'
23
P. Brittijn
7.6
5
Y. Oukili
7.2
15
N. d. Groot
7.0
↑ 72'
22
S. '. Zand
7.6
↑ 72'
9
A. Descotte
6.5
↑ 72'
38
M. Gbemou
↑ 90'
1
T. Jansen
6.7
27
W. Kooistra
6.8
↑ 46'
4
I. Baouf
7.7
40
W. v. d. Goot
6.3
↑ 82'
23
L. Jetten
6.8
10
R. E. Arguioui
8.2
15
F. Kvam
6.5
↑ 76'
8
N. Souren
7.5
13
N. Binder
6.4
↑ 76'
7
S. Bouhoudane
6.0
16
R. Mulders
6.2
↑ 88'
Top stats
36%Possession64%
1.59Expected goals (xG)2.53
17Total shots19
7Shots on target7
1Big chances4
6Corners7
Shots
4Shots off target7
6Blocked shots5
11Shots inside box16
6Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed3
2.01Goals prevented-0.67
Attack
24Touches in box32
56Final third entries67
3Offsides1
9Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
291Passes514
205Accurate passes443
19/60 (32%)Long balls19/42 (45%)
8/16 (50%)Crosses9/30 (30%)
20Throw-ins11
Duels
48Duels52
30/66 (45%)Ground duels36/66 (55%)
18/33 (55%)Aerial duels15/33 (45%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles7/15 (47%)
10Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles20
60Tackles won65
10Interceptions12
32Clearances19
48Recoveries54
Discipline
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
2Big saves1
13Goal kicks5
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsFortuna to win (DNB) 73% · 1.37 @ merkurxtip
1X2Fortuna to win 58% · 2.00 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.73 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.30 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.45 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.61 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.18 @ betfair
1X2Draw 22% · 3.10 @ betcity
1X2Cambuur to win 20% · 4.60 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.04 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.58
Fortuna Sittard
4.19
Draw
4.89
SC Cambuur
Double Chanceconsensus
1.16
Fortuna Sittard or Draw
1.20
Fortuna Sittard or SC Cambuur
2.30
Draw or SC Cambuur
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.38
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.88
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50
5.51
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.45
Over 2.50
2.59
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.15
Over 3.50
1.64
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.64
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.24
Fortuna Sittard
3.63
SC Cambuur ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.13
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
6.97
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.91
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.99
Over 10.50
1.72
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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