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Michel
AFC Ajax
SC Heerenveen
AFC Ajax
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
SC Heerenveen
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
567735 EUR · live
Home
24.0 · implied 4.2%
71.4%
+67.2 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
24.2%
-72.0 vs price
Away
150.0 · implied 0.7%
4.5%
+3.8 vs price
Half time
7444 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.7%
-3.3 vs price
Draw
8.6 · implied 11.6%
3.0%
-8.6 vs price
Away
70.0 · implied 1.4%
1.3%
-0.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16409 EUR · live
Over
1.12 · implied 89.3%
80.2%
-9.0 vs price
Under
9.6 · implied 10.4%
19.8%
+9.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
18249 EUR · live
Under
1.19 · implied 84.0%
88.2%
+4.2 vs price
Over
6.2 · implied 16.1%
11.8%
-4.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
B. Klaverboer1–0
33'
⚽
A. Ouazane · assist C. Henrique2–0
Half-time · 2–1
45'
⚽
J. Trenskow · assist S. Kersten2–1
51'
J. Trenskow · Foul
57'
Y. Regeer · Foul
58'
🔁
M. Rivera ◂ L. Oyen
65'
A. Bouwman · Foul
65'
🔁
J. Brandt ◂ O. Gloukh
65'
🔁
M. Leonardo ◂ K. Dolberg
73'
🔁
L. Machine ◂ R. Meerveld
73'
🔁
J. Mokio ◂ D. Klaassen
82'
⚽
M. Rivera2–2
86'
🔁
O. Edvardsen ◂ S. Berghuis
86'
L. Rosa · Foul
87'
🔁
H. Petrov ◂ O. Braude
87'
🔁
T. Arokodare ◂ A. Ouazane
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
MichelRobin Veldman 
Recent form
AFC AjaxDAShelbourne2-2
WAPEC Zwolle2-0
WHShelbourne3-1
WAFC Volendam3-1
WHFK Vojvodina4-1
SC HeerenveenWHFC Twente1-0
WHNPS Volos3-2
DHOud-Heverlee Leuven4-4
WAClub Brugge KV3-2
WHDe Graafschap7-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
City
Amsterdam
Kickoff
16 Aug, 14:45 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
AFC Ajax
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
SC Heerenveen
1
M. ter Stegen
8.2
2
L. Rosa
7.4
30
A. Bouwman
6.8
15
Y. Baas
6.8
12
C. Henrique
6.5
24
J. Mokio
6.3
↑ 73'
6
Y. Regeer
7.3
20
O. Edvardsen
6.5
↑ 86'
38
M. Leonardo
6.5
↑ 65'
99
T. Arokodare
6.4
↑ 87'
8
J. Brandt
6.7
↑ 65'
22
B. Klaverboer
6.4
28
H. Petrov
6.6
↑ 87'
4
S. Kersten
7.6
3
M. Willemsen
7.0
19
V. Zagaritis
6.6
16
M. Linday
7.0
6
D. Proper
6.9
20
J. Trenskow
7.4
29
L. Machine
6.6
↑ 73'
7
M. Rivera
7.4
↑ 58'
9
D. Vente
6.5
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.36
23Total shots14
4Shots on target8
1Big chances2
7Corners2
Shots
10Shots off target3
9Blocked shots3
16Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
0.71Goals prevented-1.44
Attack
46Touches in box29
50Final third entries37
2Offsides3
10Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
517Passes462
468Accurate passes405
30/38 (79%)Long balls16/37 (43%)
9/35 (26%)Crosses1/8 (13%)
17Throw-ins9
Duels
51Duels49
33/61 (54%)Ground duels28/61 (46%)
4/12 (33%)Aerial duels8/12 (67%)
9/11 (82%)Dribbles10/15 (67%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles10
43Tackles won60
4Interceptions11
19Clearances28
44Recoveries38
Discipline
8Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
1Big saves0
2Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
1X2Ajax to win 65% · 1.83 @ Interwetten
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 80% · 1.28 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 2.90 @ forbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.37 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.16 @ pmbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.62 @ betfair
1X2Draw 20% · 3.40 @ tipico
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
1X2Heerenveen to win 16% · 5.30 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.86 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.44
AFC Ajax
4.80
Draw
6.08
SC Heerenveen
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
AFC Ajax or Draw
1.18
AFC Ajax or SC Heerenveen ▲
2.71
Draw or SC Heerenveen
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.33
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
19.11
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
6.03
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50
2.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.99
Over 3.50
1.74
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.40
Over 4.50 ▲
1.31
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
AFC Ajax
4.65
SC Heerenveen
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
12.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
7.83
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.73
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50
3.11
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.55
Over 9.50
2.28
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50 ▲
1.79
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AFC Ajax to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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