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Danny Buijs
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
AZ Alkmaar
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
402275 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.4%
-6.6 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
5.7%
+4.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.9%
+1.8 vs price
Half time
173 EUR
Home
5.3 · implied 18.9%
51.4%
+32.5 vs price
Away
2.14 · implied 46.7%
46.8%
0.0 vs price
Draw
2.78 · implied 36.0%
1.5%
-34.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
71919 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
74.5%
-24.5 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
25.5%
+23.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
149 EUR
Over
5.2 · implied 19.2%
80.0%
+60.8 vs price
Under
1.23 · implied 81.3%
19.5%
-61.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
5'
O. Romeny · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
I. Pinto ◂ A. Descotte
46'
🔁
J. Hornkamp ◂ D. Kwakman
46'
🔁
C. Stengs ◂ W. Patati
58'
⚽
J. Hornkamp0–1
66'
🔁
M. Ihattaren ◂ S. '. Zand
66'
🔁
J. Dahlhaus ◂ N. d. Groot
67'
🔁
Y. Oukili ◂ S. Van Ottele
69'
🔁
J. Clasie ◂ K. Smit
75'
🔁
R. Guth ◂ S. Wylin
86'
🔁
S. Maikuma ◂ E. Dijkstra
86'
🔁
A. Oufkir ◂ M. Meerdink
Full-time · 0–2
90'+3
A. Oufkir · Off the ball foul
90'+4
⚽
J. Hornkamp · assist C. Stengs0–2
Coaches
Danny BuijsLeeroy Echteld 
Recent form
Fortuna SittardWHSC Cambuur3-1
DAPSV Eindhoven2-2
WHAPOEL Nicosia2-1
LAMetz1-3
LAOlympiacos FC1-3
AZ AlkmaarWAFC Utrecht4-1
WHADO Den Haag2-0
WHOlympiacos FC3-2
WHKRC Genk4-0
DASV Zulte Waregem1-1
Where to watch
ESPN Extra
Sport Klub 1 HR
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
Kanal1 Sport
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
ESPN Extra
DAZN France
Kanal1 Sport
Match facts
Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
City
Sittard-Geleen
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
AZ Alkmaar
31
M. Branderhorst
8.9
3
R. Guth
6.9
↑ 75'
5
Y. Oukili
6.5
↑ 67'
28
J. Hubner
6.8
8
J. Dahlhaus
6.4
↑ 66'
52
M. Ihattaren
6.4
↑ 66'
23
P. Brittijn
6.5
20
É. Michut
6.7
10
O. Romeny
3.0
25
L. Zeefuik
6.5
12
I. Pinto
6.8
↑ 46'
28
J. De Busser
7.8
2
S. Maikuma
6.8
↑ 86'
3
W. Goes
7.4
4
L. Schouten
7.3
5
M. Chávez
7.6
14
C. Stengs
7.8
↑ 46'
6
P. Koopmeiners
7.8
19
J. Hornkamp
8.1
↑ 46'
8
J. Clasie
6.8
↑ 69'
11
R. Daal
6.7
24
A. Oufkir
6.7
↑ 86'
Top stats
28%Possession72%
0.44Expected goals (xG)4.35
4Total shots26
2Shots on target11
1Big chances5
1Corners15
Shots
2Shots off target7
0Blocked shots8
2Shots inside box18
2Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed3
1.64Goals prevented0.73
Attack
3Touches in box77
47Final third entries57
0Offsides2
11Free kicks9
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
250Passes644
175Accurate passes577
24/70 (34%)Long balls18/27 (67%)
1/5 (20%)Crosses8/27 (30%)
10Throw-ins17
Duels
46Duels54
28/56 (50%)Ground duels28/56 (50%)
3/11 (27%)Aerial duels8/11 (73%)
5/15 (33%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
4Dispossessed8
Defending
12Tackles14
67Tackles won71
5Interceptions6
36Clearances8
41Recoveries50
Discipline
9Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
9Saves2
2Big saves1
16Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 74 bookmakers
Who winsAZ to win (DNB) 74% · 1.39 @ forbet
1X2AZ to win 54% · 2.00 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.35 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.20 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 2.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 23% · 3.15 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ betfair
1X2Fortuna to win 23% · 4.75 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.73
Fortuna Sittard ▲
4.28
Draw ▼
1.60
AZ Alkmaar ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.24
Fortuna Sittard or Draw ▲
1.20
Fortuna Sittard or AZ Alkmaar
1.17
Draw or AZ Alkmaar ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes ▲
2.38
No ▲
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.95
YES
1.35
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
9.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.27
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
18.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50
5.26
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.46
Over 2.50
2.56
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.16
Over 3.50 ▲
1.64
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.60
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.56
Fortuna Sittard
1.26
AZ Alkmaar
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.17
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.96
Over 10.50
1.76
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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