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Rogier Meijer
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
3-4-3 · 3-4-3
FC Utrecht
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
128675 EUR · live
Away
65.0 · implied 1.5%
66.3%
+64.8 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
25.2%
-71.8 vs price
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
8.5%
+6.8 vs price
Half time
1185 EUR · live
Away
1.11 · implied 90.1%
68.6%
-21.5 vs price
Draw
5.7 · implied 17.5%
26.7%
+9.1 vs price
Home
17.5 · implied 5.7%
4.6%
-1.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19336 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
89.3%
+8.0 vs price
Under
5.5 · implied 18.2%
10.7%
-7.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3515 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.6%
-1.4 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
2.3%
-1.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
M. Didden · assist Y. Cathline0–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'
⚽
M. Young · assist B. Kuipers1–1
46'
⚽
A. Stepanov · assist N. Vesterlund1–2
62'
🔁
K. Paredes ◂ Á. Alarcón
62'
🔁
M. Zonneveld ◂ N. Þórisson
62'
🔁
M. Van Bergen ◂ B. Martins Indi
67'
⚽
M. Zonneveld · assist S. Mito2–2
72'
🔁
P. Kloosterboer ◂ N. Nwankwo
73'
🔁
D. Min ◂ A. Stepanov
73'
🔁
A. Blake ◂ Y. Cathline
76'
⚽
A. Blake2–3
77'
🔁
G. Offerhaus ◂ S. Horemans
79'
🔁
J. Ideho ◂ R. van Cruijsen
79'
🔁
T. Q. León ◂ M. Young
86'
🔁
C. Terho ◂ J. Baas
89'
🔁
◂ K. Paredes
Full-time · 3–3
90'+6
⚽
N. Verschuren · assist J. Ideho3–3
Coaches
Anthony Correia 
Recent form
WASC Telstar3-1
LHFeyenoord0-1
DHMSV Duisburg0-0
DHAsteras Aktor1-1
LASV Zulte Waregem2-3
LHAZ Alkmaar1-4
LAFC Groningen1-2
LHSevilla0-1
WASC Cambuur1-0
LASC Cambuur0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Het Kasteel
City
Rotterdam
Kickoff
22 Aug, 16:45 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
1
F. Bednarek
5.8
13
T. Q. León
6.6
↑ 79'
2
N. Verschuren
7.4
17
M. Van Bergen
6.9
↑ 62'
7
L. E. Martes
6.4
10
S. Mito
6.4
22
C. Terho
6.4
↑ 86'
5
B. Kuipers
7.7
15
J. Ideho
7.4
↑ 79'
19
M. Zonneveld
7.7
↑ 62'
11
A. Santos
7.2
1
V. Barkas
5.7
6
G. Offerhaus
6.4
↑ 77'
3
M. Didden
7.7
32
P. Kloosterboer
6.1
↑ 72'
23
N. Vesterlund
7.3
20
D. De Wit
6.3
34
D. v. d. Berg
6.6
92
A. Zagre
6.3
30
K. Paredes
6.4
↑ 62'
9
D. Min
6.6
↑ 73'
15
A. Blake
8.0
↑ 73'
Substitutes
20GP. Kuiper
30GR. Suur
3DM. Young↓ 79'7.3
4DB. Martins Indi↓ 62'6.5
12DB. Reith
14DG. Vianello
6MJ. Baas↓ 86'7.0
8MR. van Cruijsen↓ 79'6.7
18MJ. Toornstra
16MA. Roaldsøy
21MY. J. e. Maftahi
9FN. Þórisson↓ 62'6.4
Coach: Rogier Meijer
Substitutes
25GM. Brouwer
33GK. Gadellaa
2DS. Horemans↓ 77'6.2
21DN. Nwankwo↓ 72'5.7
35DV. Plantinga
10MY. Cathline↓ 73'6.7
11MÁ. Alarcón↓ 62'6.5
14MZ. Iqbal
18FA. Stepanov↓ 73'7.1
47FE. Owen
Coach: Anthony Correia
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.73Expected goals (xG)1.92
14Total shots16
5Shots on target4
4Big chances3
5Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target5
3Blocked shots7
9Shots inside box10
5Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
-1.29Goals prevented-1.65
Attack
25Touches in box25
79Final third entries40
1Offsides2
13Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
485Passes382
415Accurate passes303
30/60 (50%)Long balls19/57 (33%)
8/23 (35%)Crosses7/22 (32%)
21Throw-ins16
Duels
57Duels43
30/57 (53%)Ground duels27/57 (47%)
16/23 (70%)Aerial duels7/23 (30%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles5/7 (71%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
15Tackles12
47Tackles won67
8Interceptions5
16Clearances23
32Recoveries37
Discipline
10Fouls13
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
10Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.35 @ Interwetten
Who winsUtrecht to win (DNB) 50% · 1.90 @ merkurxtip
1X2Utrecht to win 39% · 2.90 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 3.90 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.03 @ Bet365
1X2Sparta to win 35% · 2.95 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.81 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.58
Sparta Rotterdam ▲
3.41
Draw ▲
2.56
FC Utrecht ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
1.29
Sparta Rotterdam or FC Utrecht ▼
1.46
Draw or FC Utrecht ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.56
Yes
2.27
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.78
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.02
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50 ▼
2.08
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.69
Over 3.50 ▲
1.42
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
Sparta Rotterdam
1.84
FC Utrecht ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
14.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
7.10
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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