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Peter Bosz
PSV Eindhoven
FC Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Groningen
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
408945 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.1%
-10.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.2%
+7.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.7%
+4.6 vs price
Half time
701 EUR
Draw
3.7 · implied 27.0%
41.1%
+14.1 vs price
Home
1.7 · implied 58.8%
32.7%
-26.1 vs price
Away
7.2 · implied 13.9%
26.1%
+12.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23105 EUR · live
Over
1.04 · implied 96.2%
96.0%
-0.2 vs price
Under
26.0 · implied 3.8%
4.0%
+0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
525 EUR
Under
1.38 · implied 72.5%
78.6%
+6.2 vs price
Over
3.65 · implied 27.4%
21.1%
-6.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
B. Darri Willumsson · assist T. v. Bergen0–1
11'
⚽
T. Blokzijl1–1
21'
R. van Bommel · Foul
35'
⚽
I. Perišić2–1
Half-time · 3–1
45'
VAR
Penalty check · G. Til
45'+2
M. Csinger · Foul
45'+3
⚽
R. Pepi (pen)3–1
46'
🔁
M. Rente ◂ J. Schreuders
53'
⚽
I. Perišić · assist M. Júnior4–1
54'
🔁
N. Brandis ◂ M. Rente
56'
⚽
S. Dest · assist R. van Bommel5–1
67'
🔁
J. Ondrejka ◂ D. v. d. Werff
67'
🔁
E. V. D. Laan ◂ B. Darri Willumsson
68'
🔁
P. Wanner ◂ N. Fernandez
68'
🔁
A. Bouhamdi ◂ R. van Bommel
75'
🔁
F. Kostić ◂ M. Júnior
76'
🔁
D. Man ◂ I. Perišić
85'
🔁
L. Geertruida ◂ A. Obispo
85'
🔁
T. Hernes ◂ T. d. Jonge
Full-time · 5–1
Coaches
Dick Lukkien 
Recent form
WAExcelsior2-1
DHFortuna Sittard2-2
WHFC Eindhoven3-0
LHVillarreal1-3
WHRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise7-3
WAADO Den Haag4-1
WHFC Utrecht2-1
WHReal Valladolid1-0
DHNPS Volos0-0
LHFC Volendam0-4
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Match facts
Stadium
Philips Stadion
City
Eindhoven
Kickoff
23 Aug, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
32
M. Kovář
7.2
8
S. Dest
8.1
6
R. Flamingo
7.1
2
L. Geertruida
6.8
↑ 85'
18
F. Kostić
7.3
↑ 75'
20
G. Til
7.8
24
K. Sano
7.4
10
P. Wanner
6.5
↑ 68'
27
D. Man
6.6
↑ 76'
9
R. Pepi
6.8
37
A. Bouhamdi
6.4
↑ 68'
1
E. Vaessen
9.0
5
M. Rente
6.3
↑ 46'
3
T. Blokzijl
5.3
4
M. Csinger
5.5
2
W. Prins
5.2
7
T. Hernes
6.4
↑ 85'
18
T. Land
6.0
15
E. V. D. Laan
6.8
↑ 67'
26
T. v. Bergen
6.5
24
P. Clement
7.0
11
J. Ondrejka
6.4
↑ 67'
Top stats
62%Possession38%
4.42Expected goals (xG)1.09
24Total shots7
12Shots on target4
9Big chances4
9Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target1
3Blocked shots2
19Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box0
0Hit woodwork0
4Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed3
0.1Goals prevented-0.74
Attack
59Touches in box14
63Final third entries40
3Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
568Passes354
522Accurate passes286
22/32 (69%)Long balls24/52 (46%)
9/25 (36%)Crosses0/6 (0%)
15Throw-ins13
Duels
54Duels46
28/57 (49%)Ground duels29/57 (51%)
11/15 (73%)Aerial duels4/15 (27%)
10/20 (50%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
14Tackles14
57Tackles won64
13Interceptions3
9Clearances25
46Recoveries32
Discipline
10Fouls4
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves7
0Big saves2
3Goal kicks15
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
Who winsPSV to win (DNB) 82% · 1.23 @ forbet
1X2PSV to win 67% · 1.68 @ forbet
CornersOver 10.5 corners 54% · 1.83 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 65% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 74% · 1.26 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 2.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.55 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.62 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 18% · 3.75 @ fonbet
1X2Groningen to win 15% · 6.40 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.35
PSV Eindhoven ▼
5.37
Draw ▲
6.88
FC Groningen ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
PSV Eindhoven or Draw ▼
1.14
PSV Eindhoven or FC Groningen
3.01
Draw or FC Groningen ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes ▲
2.38
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
9.50
YES
1.03
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
16.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
22.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.08
Over 1.50
6.85
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.31
Over 2.50 ▼
3.18
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.82
Over 3.50 ▲
1.93
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.75
Over 4.50
1.41
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.13
PSV Eindhoven
5.21
FC Groningen
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.01
Over 5.50
12.25
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.05
Over 6.50
8.40
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
5.15
Under 7.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
PSV Eindhoven to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
PSV Eindhoven to avoid defeat
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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