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Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
100509 EUR · live
Draw
65.0 · implied 1.5%
44.2%
+42.7 vs price
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
36.3%
-61.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
19.5%
+19.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
204842 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
70.9%
-20.9 vs price
Over
13.5 · implied 7.4%
29.1%
+21.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
192 EUR
Under
1.19 · implied 84.0%
64.1%
-19.9 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
35.5%
+19.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
J. Toornstra · Foul
24'
⚽
A. Sliti1–0
28'
S. Janssen · Foul
37'
Á. O. Thorsteinsson · Foul
39'
🔁
C. Terho ◂ R. van Cruijsen
Half-time · 1–0
48'
⚽
M. Zonneveld · assist M. Van Bergen1–1
59'
🔁
E. d. S. Moreira ◂ D. v. Vianen
59'
🔁
A. Jahanbakhsh ◂ A. Sliti
67'
🔁
I. S. Timas ◂ Á. O. Thorsteinsson
67'
🔁
N. Groen ◂ D. Garden
83'
🔁
J. Ideho ◂ M. Van Bergen
83'
🔁
A. Roaldsøy ◂ J. Toornstra
85'
🔁
K. Bos ◂ S. Janssen
89'
🔁
N. Verschuren ◂ J. Baas
Full-time · 2–1
90'+2
⚽
N. Groen · assist I. S. Timas2–1
Coaches
Ruben den UilRogier Meijer 
Recent form
ExcelsiorLHPSV Eindhoven1-2
WASC Cambuur4-0
WADe Graafschap5-1
WAHeracles Almelo5-3
WANAC Breda3-1
Sparta RotterdamDHFC Utrecht3-3
WASC Telstar3-1
LHFeyenoord0-1
DHMSV Duisburg0-0
DHAsteras Aktor1-1
Where to watch
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Woudestein
City
Rotterdam
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
Excelsior
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
1
S. van Gassel
6.4
3
R. Meissen
7.0
4
C. Widell
6.6
14
J. Plug
7.6
12
K. Bos
6.7
↑ 85'
20
L. Hartjes
6.5
8
I. Yegoian
8.0
2
E. d. S. Moreira
6.8
↑ 59'
11
A. Jahanbakhsh
6.7
↑ 59'
21
I. S. Timas
7.1
↑ 67'
28
N. Groen
7.6
↑ 67'
1
F. Bednarek
6.6
2
L. E. Martes
7.2
3
M. Young
7.3
4
B. Martins Indi
7.4
5
B. Kuipers
6.5
13
N. Verschuren
↑ 89'
16
A. Roaldsøy
6.4
↑ 83'
17
C. Terho
6.3
↑ 39'
10
S. Mito
6.5
22
J. Ideho
6.6
↑ 83'
9
M. Zonneveld
8.2
Substitutes
40GT. Holla
15DS. Janssen↓ 85'6.3
24DG. Cairo
22DO. Turay
5DS. Henderikx
6MD. v. Vianen↓ 59'6.9
30MÁ. O. Thorsteinsson↓ 67'6.5
18MV. Sulzbacher
23MY. Finey
7FA. Sliti↓ 59'7.7
19FD. Garden↓ 67'6.4
Coach: Ruben den Uil
Substitutes
20GP. Kuiper
30GR. Suur
14DT. Q. León
15DG. Vianello
12DB. Reith
8MJ. Toornstra↓ 83'7.5
11MM. Van Bergen↓ 83'7.0
6MJ. Baas↓ 89'6.5
7MR. van Cruijsen↓ 39'6.4
19FA. Kostić
Coach: Rogier Meijer
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.21Expected goals (xG)0.97
15Total shots10
5Shots on target2
1Big chances1
6Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
12Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
-0.33Goals prevented-0.62
Attack
35Touches in box21
62Final third entries69
7Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
371Passes487
293Accurate passes406
29/60 (48%)Long balls28/58 (48%)
7/27 (26%)Crosses2/23 (9%)
18Throw-ins9
Duels
45Duels55
28/59 (47%)Ground duels31/59 (53%)
17/41 (41%)Aerial duels24/41 (59%)
10/15 (67%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles12
75Tackles won50
8Interceptions7
32Clearances33
47Recoveries54
Discipline
13Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.35 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.34 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ Unibet
Who winsExcelsior to win (DNB) 65% · 1.68 @ Betsson
1X2Sparta to win 35% · 2.90 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.77 @ 1xBet
1X2Excelsior to win 40% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.65 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.36
Excelsior
3.70
Draw
2.70
Sparta Rotterdam
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Excelsior or Draw
1.25
Excelsior or Sparta Rotterdam
1.55
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.45
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.00
YES
1.20
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.65
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
5.22
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50
2.40
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.35
Over 3.50
1.57
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.15
Over 4.50
1.21
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Excelsior
2.15
Sparta Rotterdam
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.58
Over 9.50
2.21
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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