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Anthony Correia
FC Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
FC Utrecht
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
PSV Eindhoven
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
478774 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.3%
-13.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.7%
+8.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.1%
+6.0 vs price
Half time
2608 EUR · live
Away
4.5 · implied 22.2%
93.1%
+70.9 vs price
Home
2.12 · implied 47.2%
5.1%
-42.0 vs price
Draw
3.0 · implied 33.3%
1.7%
-31.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
82796 EUR · live
Over
1.11 · implied 90.1%
83.9%
-6.2 vs price
Under
10.5 · implied 9.5%
16.1%
+6.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3277 EUR · live
Under
1.84 · implied 54.3%
71.0%
+16.7 vs price
Over
1.47 · implied 68.0%
29.0%
-39.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
A. Stepanov · assist N. Vesterlund1–0
11'
⚽
R. van Bommel1–1
15'
G. Offerhaus · Foul
34'
D. De Wit · Persistent fouling
Half-time · 1–2
45'
⚽
G. Til · assist S. Dest1–2
49'
A. Zagre · Foul
56'
🔁
P. Kloosterboer ◂ N. Vesterlund
61'
🔁
Z. Iqbal ◂ D. v. d. Berg
61'
🔁
A. Blake ◂ Á. Alarcón
65'
🔁
P. Wanner ◂ N. Fernandez
65'
🔁
E. Bajraktarević ◂ I. Perišić
72'
A. Obispo · Foul
76'
⚽
M. Júnior1–3
78'
🔁
S. Mijnans ◂ R. Pepi
78'
🔁
A. Bouhamdi ◂ R. van Bommel
84'
🔁
Y. Gasiorowski ◂ A. Obispo
84'
🔁
E. Owen ◂ A. Zagre
84'
🔁
S. v. Duijn ◂ Y. Cathline
85'
V. Barkas · Foul
86'
⚽
S. Mijnans · assist P. Wanner1–4
88'
⚽
G. Til · assist A. Bouhamdi1–5
Full-time · 1–6
90'+2
S. Horemans · Foul
90'+3
⚽
S. Dest · assist A. Bouhamdi1–6
Coaches
Peter Bosz 
Recent form
DASparta Rotterdam3-3
LHAZ Alkmaar1-4
LAFC Groningen1-2
LHSevilla0-1
WASC Cambuur1-0
WHFC Groningen5-1
WAExcelsior2-1
DHFortuna Sittard2-2
WHFC Eindhoven3-0
LHVillarreal1-3
Where to watch
ESPN 4 SurESPN ExtraESPN4 Argentina
Arena Sport Premium 2Sport Klub 1 HR
Play Sports 3
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 SurESPN Extra
Disney+ESPN
SNWD
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 SurESPN Extra
ESPN 4 SurESPN Extra
ESPN 4 Sur
Kanal1 Sport
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 SurESPN Extra
Novasports | 2 HD
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 Sur
Sport Klub 1 HR
Arena Sport Premium 2
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 2ESPN Extra
ESPN 4 Sur
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 SurESPN Extra
Polsat Sport 3
DAZN1 Portugal
ESPN 4 SurESPN ExtraESPN4 Argentina
Prima Sport 3
Arena Sport Premium 2
Kanal1 Sport
ESPN 4 SurESPN Extra
S Sport+
ESPN 4 SurESPN ExtraESPN4 Argentina
Disney+ Premium SurESPN 4 Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
City
Utrecht
Referee
Kickoff
30 Aug, 10:15 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
1
V. Barkas
5.0
2
S. Horemans
5.4
6
G. Offerhaus
5.5
21
N. Nwankwo
6.1
32
P. Kloosterboer
5.5
↑ 56'
20
D. De Wit
6.2
14
Z. Iqbal
6.4
↑ 61'
17
S. v. Duijn
6.5
↑ 84'
15
A. Blake
6.2
↑ 61'
9
A. Stepanov
7.2
47
E. Owen
6.5
↑ 84'
32
M. Kovář
6.4
8
S. Dest
8.4
6
R. Flamingo
6.8
3
Y. Gasiorowski
6.7
↑ 84'
17
M. Júnior
7.9
24
K. Sano
7.1
10
P. Wanner
7.3
↑ 65'
19
E. Bajraktarević
6.5
↑ 65'
20
G. Til
8.5
21
S. Mijnans
7.1
↑ 78'
37
A. Bouhamdi
7.3
↑ 78'
Substitutes
25GM. Brouwer
33GK. Gadellaa
23DN. Vesterlund↓ 56'7.1
92DA. Zagre↓ 84'6.7
24DJ. Schuldes
53DF. Pohl
35DV. Plantinga
10MY. Cathline↓ 84'6.6
11MÁ. Alarcón↓ 61'6.5
34MD. v. d. Berg↓ 61'6.1
Coach: Anthony Correia
Substitutes
41GK. Ngom
1GN. Olij
4DA. Obispo↓ 84'6.6
2DL. Geertruida
5MI. Perišić↓ 65'7.0
31MN. Fernandez↓ 65'6.7
18MF. Kostić
7FR. van Bommel↓ 78'7.1
9FR. Pepi↓ 78'6.4
Coach: Peter Bosz
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.3Expected goals (xG)3.58
1Total shots30
1Shots on target14
1Big chances5
0Corners13
Shots
0Shots off target11
0Blocked shots5
1Shots inside box15
0Shots outside box15
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed2
-2.38Goals prevented-0.81
Attack
4Touches in box36
24Final third entries54
1Offsides1
8Free kicks20
0Fouled in final third9
Passing
297Passes562
222Accurate passes508
18/53 (34%)Long balls23/34 (68%)
0/7 (0%)Crosses5/35 (14%)
16Throw-ins23
Duels
47Duels53
34/70 (49%)Ground duels36/70 (51%)
7/17 (41%)Aerial duels10/17 (59%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles7/17 (41%)
5Dispossessed12
Defending
22Tackles10
77Tackles won70
12Interceptions8
29Clearances4
34Recoveries42
Discipline
21Fouls8
5Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
7Saves0
5Big saves0
13Goal kicks2
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2PSV to win 60% · 1.90 @ Bet365
Who winsPSV to win (DNB) 62% · 1.25 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 71% · 2.62 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 2.37 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.55 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 20% · 3.22 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 51% · 2.04 @ Pinnacle
1X2Utrecht to win 20% · 4.35 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.85
FC Utrecht
4.72
Draw
1.56
PSV Eindhoven
Double Chanceconsensus
2.35
FC Utrecht or Draw
1.17
FC Utrecht or PSV Eindhoven
1.17
Draw or PSV Eindhoven
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.39
Yes
2.88
No
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.40
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
11.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.72
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
24.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.08
Over 1.50
7.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.33
Over 2.50
3.30
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.83
Over 3.50
2.00
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.88
Over 4.50
1.40
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.00
FC Utrecht
1.22
PSV Eindhoven
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.58
Over 9.50
2.22
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.95
Over 10.50
1.77
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
87% confidence
PSV Eindhoven to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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