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Henk Brugge
SC Telstar
AFC Ajax
SC Telstar
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-1-1
AFC Ajax
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
556008 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.8%
-19.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.9%
+10.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.3%
+9.2 vs price
Half time
10185 EUR · live
Away
1.07 · implied 93.5%
81.1%
-12.4 vs price
Draw
12.5 · implied 8.0%
15.5%
+7.5 vs price
Home
34.0 · implied 2.9%
3.4%
+0.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
59305 EUR · live
Over
1.27 · implied 78.7%
71.5%
-7.3 vs price
Under
4.7 · implied 21.3%
28.5%
+7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
15926 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.2%
-7.8 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
9.8%
+6.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
⚽
D. Klaassen · assist S. Berghuis0–1
Half-time · 0–1
56'
⚽
S. Berghuis · assist O. Gloukh0–2
60'
⚽
T. Arokodare · assist S. Berghuis0–3
65'
🔁
A. Ouazane ◂ D. Klaassen
65'
🔁
P. Aning ◂ J. Hardeveld
65'
🔁
F. Turay ◂ J. Seedorf
65'
🔁
F. Rust ◂ R. Mendes
66'
🔁
Y. Baas ◂ J. Brandt
73'
🔁
O. Edvardsen ◂ O. Gloukh
73'
🔁
M. Leonardo ◂ S. Berghuis
74'
🔁
G. Caschili ◂ G. Alders
77'
🔁
E. Demircan ◂ M. Peersman
78'
⚽
M. Leonardo0–4
82'
🔁
J. Torrents ◂ C. Henrique
Full-time · 0–4
Coaches
Henk BruggeMichel 
Recent form
SC TelstarLHSparta Rotterdam1-3
WANEC Nijmegen2-1
LAVfL Wolfsburg1-3
WADe Graafschap6-3
LASparta Rotterdam0-1
AFC AjaxWHFC Sion5-3
WAFC Sion4-2
DHSC Heerenveen2-2
DAShelbourne2-2
WAPEC Zwolle2-0
Where to watch
ESPN Extra
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Play Sports 3
ESPN Extra
Disney+ESPN 4
SNWD
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
Kanal1 Sport
DAZNSportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
ESPN Extra
Novasports | Start
Sport Klub 6 HR
Kompas TV
Arena Sport 1 SRB
ESPN 2ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
Prima Sport 5
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Kanal1 Sport
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
Match facts
Stadium
BUKO Stadion
City
Velsen
Kickoff
30 Aug, 14:45 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
SC Telstar
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-1-1
AFC Ajax
1
R. Koeman Jr
5.6
16
S. Valk
6.0
4
A. Soualhia
6.4
8
E. Demircan
6.6
↑ 77'
18
G. Caschili
6.7
↑ 74'
17
N. Rossen
6.7
10
T. Owusu
6.8
5
P. Aning
6.4
↑ 65'
19
F. Rust
6.5
↑ 65'
27
P. Brouwer
7.2
21
F. Turay
6.3
↑ 65'
1
M. ter Stegen
8.6
3
A. Gaaei
6.5
30
A. Bouwman
7.4
36
D. Janse
7.9
21
J. Torrents
6.8
↑ 82'
20
O. Edvardsen
6.5
↑ 73'
68
A. Ouazane
6.6
↑ 65'
24
J. Mokio
6.3
38
M. Leonardo
6.9
↑ 73'
15
Y. Baas
6.9
↑ 66'
99
T. Arokodare
8.5
Top stats
42%Possession58%
1.13Expected goals (xG)2.13
11Total shots12
4Shots on target9
2Big chances4
5Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target2
2Blocked shots1
9Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed1
-1.07Goals prevented0.84
Attack
21Touches in box23
38Final third entries60
2Offsides2
13Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
397Passes537
328Accurate passes478
15/44 (34%)Long balls14/31 (45%)
3/13 (23%)Crosses5/30 (17%)
12Throw-ins9
Duels
45Duels55
24/55 (44%)Ground duels31/55 (56%)
8/16 (50%)Aerial duels8/16 (50%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
8Dispossessed5
Defending
10Tackles13
50Tackles won62
3Interceptions9
25Clearances13
52Recoveries56
Discipline
11Fouls13
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
5Goal kicks8
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Ajax to win 64% · 1.80 @ Bet365
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 61% · 1.24 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.88 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.57 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.33 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.60 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 19% · 3.25 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
1X2Telstar to win 17% · 4.75 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.54
SC Telstar
4.89
Draw
1.46
AFC Ajax
Double Chanceconsensus
2.55
SC Telstar or Draw
1.17
SC Telstar or AFC Ajax
1.14
Draw or AFC Ajax
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.47
Yes
2.50
No
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
12.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.17
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
24.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.62
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.37
Over 2.50
2.99
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.97
Over 3.50
1.82
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.25
Over 4.50
1.33
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.00
SC Telstar
1.21
AFC Ajax
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.10
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.27
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
AFC Ajax to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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