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Rogier Meijer
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
PEC Zwolle
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
197356 EUR · live
Home
19.0 · implied 5.3%
57.9%
+52.6 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
23.3%
-71.1 vs price
Away
140.0 · implied 0.7%
18.8%
+18.1 vs price
Half time
443 EUR · live
Home
3.15 · implied 31.7%
54.6%
+22.8 vs price
Draw
3.65 · implied 27.4%
28.7%
+1.3 vs price
Away
1.53 · implied 65.4%
16.5%
-48.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
51119 EUR · live
Over
1.55 · implied 64.5%
68.5%
+4.0 vs price
Under
2.8 · implied 35.7%
31.5%
-4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3060 EUR · live
Under
2.04 · implied 49.0%
74.8%
+25.8 vs price
Over
1.95 · implied 51.3%
25.2%
-26.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
21'
⚽
I. Cissoko · assist D. Mbayo0–1
24'
⚽
M. Zonneveld · assist J. Baas1–1
Half-time · 1–1
63'
S. Floranus · Foul
63'
🔁
O. Velanas ◂ T. Oosting
68'
🔁
I. Babadi ◂ C. Terho
69'
⚽
I. Babadi · assist M. Zonneveld2–1
75'
🔁
D. v. d. Haar ◂ S. Floranus
75'
🔁
S. v. Hooijdonk ◂ I. Cissoko
79'
🔁
A. Roaldsøy ◂ J. Baas
79'
🔁
J. Toornstra ◂ C. Hatenboer
80'
⚽
K. Kostons · assist T. Sommer2–2
86'
🔁
N. Verschuren ◂ B. Martins Indi
86'
🔁
A. Kostić ◂ M. Zonneveld
86'
T. Sommer · Foul
88'
🔁
E. Sørensen ◂ T. Sommer
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Rogier MeijerHenry van der Vegt 
Recent form
Sparta RotterdamLAExcelsior1-2
DHFC Utrecht3-3
WASC Telstar3-1
LHFeyenoord0-1
DHMSV Duisburg0-0
PEC ZwolleLHNEC Nijmegen1-3
WASC Heerenveen2-0
LAFC Twente1-3
LHAFC Ajax0-2
LAHannover 960-3
Where to watch
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
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Match facts
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
PEC Zwolle
1
M. Brouwer
6.4
2
L. E. Martes
6.4
3
M. Young
7.3
13
N. Verschuren
↑ 86'
5
B. Kuipers
5.9
16
A. Roaldsøy
6.4
↑ 79'
18
J. Toornstra
6.4
↑ 79'
21
I. Babadi
7.3
↑ 68'
10
S. Mito
6.7
11
M. Van Bergen
8.1
19
A. Kostić
↑ 86'
1
J. Schendelaar
7.2
3
O. Aertssen
6.9
28
S. Graves
7.4
24
N. Viergever
7.4
33
D. v. d. Haar
6.7
↑ 75'
30
R. Thomas
6.6
9
E. Sørensen
↑ 88'
11
D. Mbayo
7.6
18
O. Velanas
6.6
↑ 63'
17
S. v. Hooijdonk
6.5
↑ 75'
10
K. Kostons
7.3
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.23Expected goals (xG)1.07
21Total shots15
8Shots on target6
6Big chances0
15Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target7
8Blocked shots2
15Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
5Big chances missed0
-0.74Goals prevented-0.68
Attack
26Touches in box22
46Final third entries48
0Offsides1
11Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
463Passes366
391Accurate passes291
28/59 (47%)Long balls13/40 (33%)
4/28 (14%)Crosses8/23 (35%)
21Throw-ins17
Duels
47Duels53
28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/55 (49%)
12/31 (39%)Aerial duels19/31 (61%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
14Tackles12
57Tackles won67
3Interceptions8
27Clearances36
41Recoveries38
Discipline
12Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves6
1Big saves1
6Goal kicks9
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 3.10 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.38 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.67 @ 1xBet
Who winsSparta to win (DNB) 66% · 1.48 @ Betsson
1X2Sparta to win 47% · 2.25 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.90 @ Unibet
1X2PEC Zwolle to win 28% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.83 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.73 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.01
Sparta Rotterdam
3.80
Draw
3.30
PEC Zwolle
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
1.22
Sparta Rotterdam or PEC Zwolle
1.80
Draw or PEC Zwolle
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.49
Yes
2.50
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.80
YES
1.22
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.37
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
19.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50
5.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.17
Over 3.50
1.70
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.60
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Sparta Rotterdam
2.62
PEC Zwolle
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
3.75
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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