AFC Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven — live & stats

Where the money is

1050872 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 393016 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

73.3%

-25.8 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

19.3%

+19.2 vs price

Draw 800.0 · implied 0.1%

7.5%

+7.4 vs price

Half time 1581 EUR · live

Away 2.8 · implied 35.7%

40.3%

+4.6 vs price

Draw 4.2 · implied 23.8%

30.3%

+6.5 vs price

Home 14.0 · implied 7.1%

29.3%

+22.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 22500 EUR · live

Over 1.12 · implied 89.3%

76.3%

-12.9 vs price

Under 9.0 · implied 11.1%

23.7%

+12.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6612 EUR · live

Under 2.3 · implied 43.5%

65.5%

+22.0 vs price

Over 1.75 · implied 57.1%

34.5%

-22.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

5' ⚽ R. Pepi · assist R. van Bommel0–1

16' K. Sano · Foul

23' ⚽ T. Arokodare1–1

37' N. Fernandez · Foul

Half-time · 1–2

45'⁺¹ ⚽ L. Geertruida1–2

46' 🔁 P. Wanner ◂ N. Fernandez

54' 🔁 S. Amrabat ◂ O. Gloukh

54' 🔁 M. Leonardo ◂ D. Klaassen

61' 🔁 V. Tsygankov ◂ S. Berghuis

61' 🔁 K. Dolberg ◂ T. Arokodare

63' 🔁 E. Bajraktarević ◂ I. Perišić

63' 🔁 S. Mijnans ◂ R. Pepi

73' 🔁 R. Flamingo ◂ L. Geertruida

73' 🔁 A. Ouazane ◂ J. Mokio

73' 🔁 F. Kostić ◂ M. Júnior

74' F. Kostić · Foul

80' D. Klaassen · Unallowed field entering

81' R. van Bommel · Foul

81' Y. Baas · Argument

81' I. Perišić · Unallowed field entering

84' 🔁 T. Kehrer ◂ A. Bouwman

84' L. Geertruida · Argument

88' 🔁 Y. Gasiorowski ◂ A. Obispo

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺² ⚽ E. Bajraktarević · assist S. Mijnans1–3

90'⁺⁶ A. Gaaei · Foul

Coaches

Michel

Peter Bosz

Recent form

AFC Ajax

WASC Telstar4-0

WHFC Sion5-3

WAFC Sion4-2

DHSC Heerenveen2-2

DAShelbourne2-2

PSV Eindhoven

WAFC Utrecht6-1

WHFC Groningen5-1

WAExcelsior2-1

DHFortuna Sittard2-2

WHFC Eindhoven3-0

Where to watch

ESPN 2 Africa

Match facts

Stadium

Johan Cruijff Arena

City

Amsterdam

Referee

Sander van der Eijk

3.38 yellows/match · 37 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Eredivisie

Highlights & clips

AFC Ajax 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 PSV Eindhoven

1 M. ter Stegen 7.2 3 A. Gaaei 6.3 6 T. Kehrer 6.3 ↑ 84' 15 Y. Baas 6.8 12 C. Henrique 6.1 4 S. Amrabat 6.8 ↑ 54' 68 A. Ouazane 6.7 ↑ 73' 8 J. Brandt 7.1 11 V. Tsygankov 6.6 ↑ 61' 9 K. Dolberg 6.7 ↑ 61' 38 M. Leonardo 6.3 ↑ 54' 32 M. Kovář 7.5 8 S. Dest 7.3 6 R. Flamingo 6.8 ↑ 73' 3 Y. Gasiorowski 6.8 ↑ 88' 18 F. Kostić 6.3 ↑ 73' 24 K. Sano 6.3 10 P. Wanner 7.0 ↑ 46' 21 S. Mijnans 6.9 ↑ 63' 20 G. Til 6.7 7 R. van Bommel 7.3 19 E. Bajraktarević 7.2 ↑ 63'

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.99Expected goals (xG)2.55

19Total shots13

6Shots on target5

4Big chances3

1Corners1

Shots

7Shots off target6

6Blocked shots2

12Shots inside box11

7Shots outside box2

0Big chances scored1

4Big chances missed2

-0.58Goals prevented0.31

Attack

22Touches in box31

55Final third entries49

1Offsides1

13Free kicks6

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

513Passes446

427Accurate passes384

32/57 (56%)Long balls28/54 (52%)

4/11 (36%)Crosses3/13 (23%)

23Throw-ins16

Duels

50Duels50

44/89 (49%)Ground duels45/89 (51%)

11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)

7/13 (54%)Dribbles11/21 (52%)

22Dispossessed15

Defending

25Tackles28

72Tackles won57

15Interceptions14

9Clearances12

63Recoveries70

Discipline

6Fouls13

3Yellow cards6

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

6Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

Ajax 36%

24%

PSV 40%

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 52% · 1.84 @ Sbo

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 72% · 2.55 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 72% · 2.15 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.38 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.49 @ 1xBet

Who winsPSV to win (DNB) 52% · 1.90 @ Betsson

1X2PSV to win 40% · 2.60 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 24% · 3.10 @ Unibet

1X2Ajax to win 36% · 2.75 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ betfair

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.60

AFC Ajax

3.96

Draw

2.33

PSV Eindhoven

Double Chanceconsensus

1.55

AFC Ajax or Draw

1.22

AFC Ajax or PSV Eindhoven

1.45

Draw or PSV Eindhoven

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.29

Yes

3.37

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

5.50

YES

1.11

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

5.00

YES

1.13

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.75

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.25

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

26.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.07

Over 1.50

7.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.30

Over 2.50

3.50

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.80

Over 3.50

1.98

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.67

Over 4.50

1.43

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.83

AFC Ajax

1.90

PSV Eindhoven

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.17

Over 7.50

3.85

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.35

Over 8.50

2.75

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.62

Over 9.50

2.13

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

87% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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