Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**AZ's perfect record meets Heerenveen's wobble** — this is a classic David vs. Goliath moment, except David's lost his last game and Goliath hasn't dropped a point all season. 🔥
Heerenveen have been streaky (2W-2D-1L), mixing draws with Ajax and Willem II against a soft loss to PEC. AZ, meanwhile, are absolutely ruthless — five wins in five, including a demolition of Utrecht. The visitors are operating in a different dimension right now.
Key storylines:
- **AZ's flawless run** continues to look ominous; they've torched every opponent and won't fear the home crowd
- **Heerenveen's midfield engine**, anchored by **M. Linday** and **D. Proper**, needs to disrupt the flow or get overrun
- Injury woes for AZ (**M. De Wit** and **S. Resink** out) offer Heerenveen a rare chink, but missing **M. Egbring** limits their own flexibility
Expected lineups:
- **SC Heerenveen**: B. Klaverboer, V. Zagaritis, S. Kersten, M. Willemsen, O. Braude, M. Linday, D. Proper, M. Rivera, R. Meerveld, J. Trenskow, D. Vente
- **AZ Alkmaar**: J. De Busser, M. Chávez, W. Goes, L. Schouten, E. Dijkstra, P. Koopmeiners, K. Smit, R. Daal, C. Stengs, W. Patati, M. Meerdink
Prediction:
**AZ 2-1 Heerenveen** — AZ's momentum is too strong, but Heerenveen grab a consolation at home. Lean AZ to win.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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