Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**PSV are basically a different animal on the road to the Hague** — this is a David vs. Goliath matchup wrapped in one of Eredivisie's most lopsided rivalries. 🔴
ADO have scraped three draws in their last five but can't find a win, while PSV showed grit beating Heerenveen at home despite looking shaky against Twente. The visitors are clearly the class act here, but injuries are piling up fast.
Key storylines:
- **PSV's missing firepower**: Without Pléa and Schouten, the midfield creativity takes a hit — pressure on van Bommel and Sano to orchestrate
- **ADO's defensive block**: Hokke's suspension hurts; Sylla and Mulder need to hold the line against Perišić and co.
- **Home desperation**: Den Haag haven't won in five; a draw feels like a win, but PSV won't gift them one
Expected lineups:
- **ADO Den Haag**: K. Nikièma, S. Sylla, P. Mulder, M. Waem, O. Raterink, D. van Mieghem, J. Kilo, J. Žambůrek, J. Hawkins, E. Rottier, Y. Eduardo
- **PSV Eindhoven**: M. Kovář, A. Obispo, M. Júnior, S. Dest, L. Geertruida, G. Til, K. Sano, R. van Bommel, I. Perišić, E. Bajraktarević, M. B. Hansen
Prediction:
**0-2 PSV.** The injury list is nasty, but PSV's pedigree and ADO's winless funk point one way. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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