Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior.

90+1'

R. Guth

Goal! Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior. R. Guth (Fortuna Sittard) scores, assisted by M. Ihattaren.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

90'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

90'

O. Romeny

Attempt saved. O. Romeny (Fortuna Sittard), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

88'

Excelsior

Offside, Excelsior.

86'

R. Guth

Attempt missed. R. Guth (Fortuna Sittard), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.17.

86'

É. Michut

Substitution, Fortuna Sittard: I. Márquez comes on for É. Michut.

85'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

82'

P. Brittijn

Substitution, Fortuna Sittard: M. Ihattaren comes on for P. Brittijn.

78'

J. Hubner

Cleared off the line! J. Hubner (Fortuna Sittard), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

77'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

76'

A. Sliti

Substitution, Excelsior: A. Jahanbakhsh comes on for A. Sliti.

76'

K. Bos

Substitution, Excelsior: S. Janssen comes on for K. Bos.

68'

I. Yegoian

Yellow card for I. Yegoian (Excelsior) for foul.

66'

J. Hubner

Attempt missed. J. Hubner (Fortuna Sittard), header from a corner. xG 0.14.

66'

N. d. Groot

Substitution, Fortuna Sittard: J. Dahlhaus comes on for N. d. Groot.

66'

K. Peterson

Substitution, Fortuna Sittard: D. Sinkgraven comes on for K. Peterson.

65'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

61'

R. Meissen

Attempt missed. R. Meissen (Excelsior), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

60'

Excelsior

Corner, Excelsior.

58'

S. '. Zand

Yellow card for S. '. Zand (Fortuna Sittard) for foul.

56'

N. Groen

Substitution, Excelsior: D. Garden comes on for N. Groen.

53'

Fortuna Sittard

Offside, Fortuna Sittard.

50'

I. Yegoian

Attempt missed. I. Yegoian (Excelsior), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

49'

Excelsior

Corner, Excelsior.

49'

A. Sliti

Attempt saved. A. Sliti (Excelsior), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

46'

N. Naujoks

Substitution, Excelsior: Á. O. Thorsteinsson comes on for N. Naujoks.

46'

S. Simons

Substitution, Fortuna Sittard: O. Romeny comes on for S. Simons.

46'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Excelsior.

42'

A. Sliti

Attempt blocked. A. Sliti (Excelsior), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

41'

S. Simons

Yellow card for S. Simons (Fortuna Sittard) for foul.

39'

Excelsior

Corner, Excelsior.

33'

É. Michut

Attempt saved. É. Michut (Fortuna Sittard), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

32'

É. Michut

Attempt saved. É. Michut (Fortuna Sittard), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

31'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

30'

Fortuna Sittard

Offside, Fortuna Sittard.

16'

N. Groen

Attempt saved. N. Groen (Excelsior), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

9'

C. Widell

Attempt missed. C. Widell (Excelsior), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

9'

Excelsior

Corner, Excelsior.

6'

Fortuna Sittard

Corner, Fortuna Sittard.

5'

Excelsior

Offside, Excelsior.

1'

Kick-off: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior.

Where the money is

403585 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 215112 EUR · live

Draw 38.0 · implied 2.6%

43.8%

+41.1 vs price

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

31.5%

-66.6 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

24.9%

+24.8 vs price

Half time 7 EUR

Away 3.3 · implied 30.3%

100.0%

+69.7 vs price

Draw 2.42 · implied 41.3%

94.4%

+53.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 78404 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.9%

-22.1 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

23.1%

+23.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 204 EUR

Under 1.16 · implied 86.2%

87.2%

+0.9 vs price

Over 7.4 · implied 13.5%

27.8%

+14.2 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

41' S. Simons · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 O. Romeny ◂ S. Simons

46' 🔁 Á. O. Thorsteinsson ◂ N. Naujoks

56' 🔁 D. Garden ◂ N. Groen

58' S. '. Zand · Foul

66' 🔁 D. Sinkgraven ◂ K. Peterson

66' 🔁 J. Dahlhaus ◂ N. d. Groot

68' I. Yegoian · Foul

76' 🔁 S. Janssen ◂ K. Bos

76' 🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh ◂ A. Sliti

82' 🔁 M. Ihattaren ◂ P. Brittijn

86' 🔁 I. Márquez ◂ É. Michut

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺¹ ⚽ R. Guth · assist M. Ihattaren1–0

Coaches

Danny Buijs

Ruben den Uil

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard

DANEC Nijmegen2-2

DHFC Twente1-1

WAKRC Genk2-1

WAWillem II Tilburg1-0

LHAFC Ajax1-5

Excelsior

LASC Heerenveen0-4

LHFC Groningen1-5

DAAFC Ajax2-2

LHFC Utrecht1-2

DANEC Nijmegen2-2

About this match

**Fortuna's on a roll and Excelsior's in freefall** — this one shapes up as a classic mismatch on paper. 🔴

Fortuna are riding **2W 2D** form with some solid road results, while Excelsior just got absolutely battered (1-5 at home vs Groningen) and haven't won in five. The home crowd should smell blood here.

Key storylines:

- **Fortuna's attack-minded setup** (5-3-2) gives them width and options; **M. Ihattaren** and company will probe for gaps early
- **Excelsior's leaky defense** shipped four and five goals in recent outings — containment is job one, not creation
- **H2H trend favors the hosts** with four wins in the last eight meetings; Sittard know how to put this bunch away

Expected lineups:

- **Fortuna Sittard**: M. Branderhorst, J. Hubner, R. Guth, S. Van Ottele, I. Pinto, M. Ihattaren, P. Brittijn, É. Michut
- **Excelsior**: S. van Gassel, S. Janssen, J. Plug, R. Meissen, E. d. S. Moreira, C. Widell, I. Yegoian, L. Hartjes

Prediction:

**Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Excelsior**

Fortuna should cruise here — they're in rhythm, Excelsior's confidence is shot, and the hosts have the class edge. 📍

Where to watch

DStv NowESPN Africa

Match facts

Stadium

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

City

Sittard

Referee

Ingmar Oostrom

3.08 yellows/match · 24 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 11:15 UTC

Competition

Eredivisie

Highlights & clips

Fortuna Sittard 5-4-1 · 4-3-3 Excelsior

31 M. Branderhorst 6.9 12 I. Pinto 7.0 6 S. Van Ottele 7.5 3 R. Guth 7.7 28 J. Hubner 7.4 8 J. Dahlhaus 6.5 ↑ 66' 52 M. Ihattaren 7.5 ↑ 82' 4 I. Márquez ↑ 86' 10 O. Romeny 6.5 ↑ 46' 24 D. Sinkgraven 6.9 ↑ 66' 22 S. '. Zand 6.7 1 S. van Gassel 6.8 3 R. Meissen 6.9 4 C. Widell 7.9 14 J. Plug 7.4 15 S. Janssen 6.3 ↑ 76' 30 Á. O. Thorsteinsson 6.3 ↑ 46' 20 L. Hartjes 7.0 6 D. v. Vianen 6.6 11 A. Jahanbakhsh 6.5 ↑ 76' 19 D. Garden 6.4 ↑ 56' 8 I. Yegoian 6.9

Substitutes

33GK. Reitmaier 1GL. Koopmans 15DN. d. Groot↓ 66'7.0 2DS. Wylin 23MP. Brittijn↓ 82'7.1 7MK. Peterson↓ 66'6.7 20MÉ. Michut↓ 86'6.6 14MS. Simons↓ 46'6.2 39MG. Buyukhan 5MY. Oukili

Coach: Danny Buijs

Substitutes

16GC. Biai 12DK. Bos↓ 76'6.6 2DE. d. S. Moreira 24DG. Cairo 10MN. Naujoks↓ 46'6.4 34MQ. Kraaivanger 21MI. S. Timas 18MV. Sulzbacher 9MM. Domínguez 7FA. Sliti↓ 76'6.7 28FN. Groen↓ 56'6.3

Coach: Ruben den Uil

Top stats

43%Possession57%

0.74Expected goals (xG)0.39

7Total shots6

5Shots on target2

1Big chances2

7Corners4

Shots

2Shots off target3

0Blocked shots1

5Shots inside box6

2Shots outside box0

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed2

0.19Goals prevented-0.03

Attack

13Touches in box15

43Final third entries78

2Offsides2

13Free kicks14

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

393Passes540

310Accurate passes458

18/58 (31%)Long balls30/61 (49%)

4/21 (19%)Crosses2/14 (14%)

22Throw-ins23

Duels

53Duels47

26/51 (51%)Ground duels25/51 (49%)

11/19 (58%)Aerial duels8/19 (42%)

5/9 (56%)Dribbles1/7 (14%)

6Dispossessed2

Defending

8Tackles10

88Tackles won100

6Interceptions5

23Clearances20

34Recoveries36

Discipline

14Fouls13

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

1Big saves0

8Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Fortuna 40%

26%

Excelsior 34%

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.64 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.82 @ 1xBet

1X2Excelsior to win 34% · 2.92 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.62 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.01 @ Pinnacle

1X2Fortuna to win 40% · 2.60 @ Bet365

Who winsFortuna to win (DNB) 50% · 1.95 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ betfair

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.35

Fortuna Sittard

3.60

Draw

2.75

Excelsior

Double Chanceconsensus

1.44

Fortuna Sittard or Draw

1.27

Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior

1.55

Draw or Excelsior

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.55

Yes

2.30

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.91

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.60

Over 2.50

2.30

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.38

Over 3.50

1.53

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.22

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.88

Fortuna Sittard

1.85

Excelsior

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.20

Over 7.50

3.61

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.40

Over 8.50

2.60

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.00

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.20

Over 10.50

1.61

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.88

Over 11.50

1.33

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✗

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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