Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**PEC Zwolle's home fortress meets an ADO side clinging to consistency** — this is a clash where the hosts' recent firepower (that 4-1 demolition of Go Ahead Eagles) should fancy their chances against visitors who can't quite string it together. 🔥
Zwolle are 1W-1D-3L in their last five, but that win was a belter. ADO sit marginally steadier at 1W-2D-2L, though they've managed some eye-raising scalps (beat PSV at home recently). Head-to-head tilts heavily toward the Eredivisie regulars — Zwolle lead 10-6 with three draws in their last 19 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **PEC's attacking potency vs ADO's leaky backline** — Zwolle look dangerous going forward with K. Kostons and E. Sørensen, while ADO's missing D. Bárány leaves them stretched at the back.
- **Home turf edge** — Mac3Park Stadion has been kind to Zwolle of late; ADO have to travel.
- **Inconsistency on both sides** — neither team is running away with games, making this a genuine coin flip for consistency but an edge to the home team.
Expected lineups:
- **PEC Zwolle**: J. Schendelaar, D. v. d. Haar, S. Graves, O. Aertssen, T. Sommer, N. Viergever, E. Sørensen, K. Kostons
- **ADO Den Haag**: K. Nikièma, S. Sylla, P. Mulder, M. Hokke, O. Raterink, J. Jensen-Abbew, E. Rottier, Y. Eduardo
Prediction:
**PEC Zwolle 2-1 ADO Den Haag** — slight favorite to the hosts' attacking form and fixture history.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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