Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Excelsior's basement battle gets a visit from the league's hottest team.** Twente are rolling, Excelsior are sinking — this looks like a classic mismatch on paper. 🔴
Excelsior are winless in five and have conceded 10 goals in their last three games. Twente, meanwhile, just beat AZ away and sit in a completely different galaxy form-wise. The hosts desperately need to tighten up defensively or this could get ugly fast.
Key storylines:
- **FC Twente's attack** has been clinical lately — **Wout Weghorst** leads the line for a side that scored four midweek
- **Excelsior's backline** remains a sieve; **Robin Meissen** and **Jerdy Plug** have seen some rough afternoons
- **Twente's missing pieces** (Weidmann suspended, Thorvaldsen and Bruns out) could shuffle the deck slightly, but depth isn't the issue here
Expected lineups:
- **Excelsior**: S. van Gassel, S. Janssen, J. Plug, R. Meissen, E. d. S. Moreira, C. Widell, I. Yegoian, L. Hartjes, D. Garden
- **FC Twente**: J. Drommel, A. Adelgaard, R. Nijstad, R. Pröpper, B. van Rooij, R. Zerrouki, T. V. d. Belt, S. Ørjasæter, Y. Taha, W. Weghorst
Prediction:
**Excelsior 0–2 FC Twente**
Twente's form is too sharp for a struggling Excelsior side. Expect a routine away win.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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