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John McGlynn
Falkirk FC
St. Mirren
Falkirk FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
St. Mirren
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
K. Phillips · assist H. Fieldson0–1
Half-time · 0–1
59'
🔁
A. Doherty ◂ J. Gardner
63'
🔁
J. Young ◂ E. Sule
66'
R. Carr · Foul
70'
🔁
E. Ross ◂ J. McMillan
70'
🔁
B. Parkinson ◂ R. Maclver
73'
VAR
Goal not given after review · B. Parkinson
76'
🔁
L. Donnelly ◂ R. Carr
76'
🔁
L. Thomas ◂ S. Ramos
79'
🔁
P. McGovern ◂ E. Laidlaw
79'
🔁
L. McCann ◂ S. Tanser
80'
H. Fieldson · Foul
83'
🔁
R. Idowu ◂ C. Mochrie
87'
⚽
K. Phillips · assist R. Idowu0–2
88'
K. Phillips
Full-time · 0–2
90'+1
L. Thomas · Foul
Coaches
John McGlynnCraig McLeish 
Recent form
Falkirk FCWHKRC Genk1-0
WAAirdrieonians2-1
LHRangers2-5
LAHeart of Midlothian0-3
LHHibernian1-3
St. MirrenWAArbroath4-2
WHPartick Thistle1-0
DAPartick Thistle1-1
DHDundee United1-1
WAAberdeen2-0
Where to watch
ESPN 2 Africa
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Sky Sports Football
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Match facts
Referee
Duncan Nicolson
Kickoff
01 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
Falkirk FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
St. Mirren
19
S. Bain
7.7
22
R. Strain
7.6
21
D. Melniks
6.0
5
L. Henderson
7.0
3
L. McCann
6.4
↑ 79'
7
B. Parkinson
6.4
↑ 70'
10
C. Sibbald
7.1
47
A. Doherty
6.6
↑ 59'
14
F. Yeats
6.8
11
P. McGovern
6.3
↑ 79'
23
E. Ross
6.7
↑ 70'
1
J. Chapman
7.4
2
J. Richardson
7.5
22
M. Fraser
8.0
13
A. Gogić
7.0
53
H. Fieldson
7.5
4
L. Donnelly
6.8
↑ 76'
48
P. Nsio
6.7
16
L. Thomas
6.9
↑ 76'
88
K. Phillips
9.2
7
R. Idowu
7.0
↑ 83'
20
J. Young
6.8
↑ 63'
Substitutes
1GN. Hogarth
17DS. Tanser↓ 79'6.2
15DL. Neilson
6DC. Donaldson
20DC. Allan
4MJ. McMillan↓ 70'7.0
18MJ. Gardner↓ 59'6.5
9FR. Maclver↓ 70'6.9
12FE. Laidlaw↓ 79'6.0
Coach: John McGlynn
Substitutes
27GP. Urminsky
5DR. King
8MR. Carr↓ 76'6.5
10MS. Ramos↓ 76'6.5
37MC. McEvoy
30MF. Taylor
23FC. Mochrie↓ 83'7.0
9FE. Sule↓ 63'6.7
32FL. Douglas
Coach: Craig McLeish
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.71Expected goals (xG)1.64
10Total shots15
1Shots on target5
3Big chances6
7Corners7
Shots
3Shots off target7
6Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box11
3Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed4
0.35Goals prevented0.28
Attack
39Touches in box29
77Final third entries46
3Offsides2
18Free kicks18
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
433Passes320
344Accurate passes243
42/80 (53%)Long balls19/57 (33%)
7/30 (23%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
24Throw-ins17
Duels
49Duels51
44/97 (45%)Ground duels54/97 (56%)
18/29 (62%)Aerial duels10/29 (34%)
5/17 (29%)Dribbles10/21 (48%)
15Dispossessed12
Defending
23Tackles27
65Tackles won67
6Interceptions4
17Clearances47
50Recoveries53
Discipline
18Fouls18
0Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
2Big saves0
10Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 41 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.38 @ Novibet
Who winsFalkirk to win (DNB) 63% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.65 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 27% · 3.65 @ Betano
1X2Falkirk to win 47% · 2.18 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle
1X2St Mirren to win 27% · 3.55 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.94
Falkirk FC ▼
3.27
Draw ▲
3.26
St. Mirren ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Falkirk FC or Draw ▲
1.30
Falkirk FC or St. Mirren ▲
1.70
Draw or St. Mirren ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.10
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.65
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.78
Over 2.50 ▼
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.95
Over 3.50 ▼
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.35
Over 4.50 ▼
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.51
Falkirk FC ▲
2.33
St. Mirren ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.60
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.73
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50 ▼
4.24
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50 ▼
2.91
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50 ▼
2.15
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50 ▼
1.72
Under 10.50 ▲
1.5 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.37
we give it 69 chances out of 100 at a fair price
69%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| Falkirk to win (DNB)Who wins | 63% | 63% | 1.47 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 56% | 56% | 1.65 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.51 | Overpriced | low |
| Falkirk to win1X2 | 47% | 47% | 2.01 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 75% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 69% | 68% | 1.37 | Fair | medium |
| St Mirren to win1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.51 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.71 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 0% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 52% | 0% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 29% | +2% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 48% | +8% | Yes |
| Home win | 47% | 44% | +3% | Yes |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 27% | 32% | -5% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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