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Steve Robinson
Aberdeen
Heart of Midlothian
Aberdeen
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-2-2
Heart of Midlothian
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Player of the match
Match events
34'
B. Lyons · Foul
35'
⚽
O. McEntee0–1
41'
J. Altena · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
60'
🔁
P. L. Kabore ◂ A. Ba-Sy
72'
🔁
S. Armstrong ◂ A. Afeez
73'
🔁
L. Smith ◂ T. Yogane
73'
🔁
A. Mouloua ◂ C. Cadden
73'
🔁
A. Briedl ◂ C. Ronan
74'
🔁
S. S. Guendouz ◂ S. Kerjota
75'
🔁
J. McCart ◂ L. Mendy
80'
🔁
T. Magnusson ◂ B. Spittal
83'
🔁
G. Molloy ◂ N. Guinness-Walker
89'
H. Milne · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'
⚽
K. Nisbet · assist L. Mayo1–1
90'+3
S. Findlay · Professional foul last man
90'+5
⚽
K. Nisbet (pen)2–1
90'+6
K. Nisbet
Coaches
Wouter Vrancken 
Recent form
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Where to watch
ESPN 2 Africa
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Arena Sport Premium 2
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Como
ESPN 2 Africa
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Match facts
Kickoff
01 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
27
M. Müller
6.7
10
A. Briedl
6.6
↑ 73'
23
L. Mayo
7.0
26
D. Happe
8.0
21
G. Molloy
6.7
↑ 83'
8
B. Lyons
7.1
17
S. Armstrong
7.0
↑ 72'
20
T. Olusanya
7.0
11
L. Smith
6.5
↑ 73'
9
A. Mouloua
6.4
↑ 73'
15
K. Nisbet
8.1
1
B. Reus
6.0
23
J. Altena
6.3
6
O. McEntee
8.3
17
S. Findlay
5.8
18
H. Milne
6.7
5
J. McCart
6.2
↑ 75'
22
T. Magnusson
6.3
↑ 80'
19
S. S. Guendouz
6.5
↑ 74'
7
C. Miller
6.2
10
C. Braga
6.3
11
P. L. Kabore
6.5
↑ 60'
Substitutes
1GD. Mitov
24DN. Guinness-Walker↓ 83'7.7
22DJ. Milne
32MA. Afeez↓ 72'7.3
28MC. Cadden↓ 73'7.0
25MC. Ronan↓ 73'6.9
7MT. Yogane↓ 73'6.8
16MD. Lobban
53FA. Fasanya
Coach: Steve Robinson
Substitutes
28GZ. Clark
16MB. Spittal↓ 80'7.3
78ML. Mendy↓ 75'6.9
15MJ. McPake
89MA. Kyziridis
77FA. Ba-Sy↓ 60'6.2
29FS. Kerjota↓ 74'6.2
74FR. Mato
21FJ. Wilson
Coach: Wouter Vrancken
Top stats
51%Possession49%
2.32Expected goals (xG)1.36
11Total shots19
3Shots on target4
2Big chances1
4Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target7
4Blocked shots8
7Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
0.06Goals prevented-0.42
Attack
24Touches in box33
61Final third entries69
3Offsides0
16Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
358Passes347
272Accurate passes259
31/59 (53%)Long balls21/65 (32%)
6/27 (22%)Crosses3/27 (11%)
25Throw-ins31
Duels
58Duels41
43/71 (61%)Ground duels27/70 (39%)
20/37 (54%)Aerial duels17/37 (46%)
7/11 (64%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)
11Dispossessed11
Defending
19Tackles14
63Tackles won86
13Interceptions6
40Clearances39
47Recoveries40
Discipline
10Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves1
10Goal kicks12
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 38 bookmakers
Who winsHearts to win (DNB) 55% · 1.70 @ Bwin
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hearts to win 40% · 2.37 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 27% · 3.60 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.27 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
1X2Aberdeen to win 32% · 3.20 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.96
Aberdeen ▲
3.22
Draw ▼
2.20
Heart of Midlothian ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.59
Aberdeen or Draw ▲
1.30
Aberdeen or Heart of Midlothian ▲
1.36
Draw or Heart of Midlothian ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes ▼
2.20
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
10.57
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50 ▲
3.85
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.77
Over 2.50 ▼
2.00
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.85
Over 3.50 ▼
1.40
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.15
Over 4.50 ▼
1.15
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.11
Aberdeen ▼
1.61
Heart of Midlothian ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
11.87
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50 ▲
6.55
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50 ▲
4.27
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50 ▲
2.86
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50 ▲
2.13
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50 ▲
1.69
Under 10.50 ▼
1.2 – 1.4Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.38
we give it 68 chances out of 100 at a fair price
68%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts to win (DNB)Who wins | 55% | 55% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| Hearts to win1X2 | 40% | 40% | 2.34 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.41 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 52% | 53% | 1.77 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 75% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 68% | 68% | 1.38 | Fair | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Aberdeen to win1X2 | 32% | 32% | 2.89 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 0% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 52% | 0% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 29% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 48% | +9% | Yes |
| Home win | 32% | 44% | -12% | No |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 40% | 32% | +8% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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