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David Gray
Hibernian
Motherwell
Hibernian
3-4-3 · 4-4-2
Motherwell
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
⚽
L. Fadinger (pen)0–1
Half-time · 0–1
48'
J. Mulligan · Foul
55'
O. Priestman · Foul
56'
⚽
M. Boyle (pen)1–1
60'
🔁
R. A. Molotnikov ◂ A. Mayor
66'
🔁
T. Maswanhise ◂ W. Vogt
66'
🔁
J. Knight-Lebel ◂ J. Girdwood-Reich
68'
L. Fadinger · Foul
73'
🔁
A. Abdulai ◂ M. C. Chaiwa
73'
🔁
A. Šuto ◂ M. Boyle
75'
🔁
A. Lowry ◂ R. Charles-Cook
76'
T. Sparrow · Foul
82'
🔁
O. Whyte ◂ O. Priestman
82'
🔁
E. Wilson ◂ E. Longelo
85'
⚽
I. Said · assist D. Williams1–2
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
David GrayAlfred Johansson 
Recent form
HibernianWHFC Malisheva4-1
LAFC Malisheva0-2
WHBrøndby IF2-1
WACliftonville FC5-1
LAShamrock Rovers0-1
MotherwellWAHB Tórshavn3-0
WHHB Tórshavn2-0
LHKRC Genk3-4
LAAGF0-4
WAHibernian1-0
Where to watch
ESPN 2 Africa
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COSMOTE SPORT | 3HD
ESPN 2 Africa
NOW TV UKSky Go UKSky Sports Football
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
Match facts
Referee
Steven McLean
Kickoff
02 Aug, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
Hibernian
3-4-3 · 4-4-2
Motherwell
1
R. Sallinger
7.3
5
W. O'Hora
6.6
6
J. Kerr
6.8
21
J. Obita
6.4
25
F. Passlack
7.4
8
J. Mulligan
6.2
47
A. Abdulai
6.6
↑ 73'
20
R. A. Molotnikov
6.9
↑ 60'
7
O. Elding
6.6
9
N. Lowe
6.5
22
A. Šuto
6.8
↑ 73'
1
A. Paulsen
7.9
7
T. Sparrow
6.4
4
J. Knight-Lebel
7.1
↑ 66'
5
M. Moormann
8.3
20
D. Williams
6.4
18
T. Maswanhise
6.9
↑ 66'
23
E. Wilson
6.7
↑ 82'
8
L. Fadinger
7.0
25
O. Whyte
6.7
↑ 82'
19
I. Said
8.1
11
A. Lowry
6.5
↑ 75'
Substitutes
13GJ. Smith
4DG. Hanley
14MM. C. Chaiwa↓ 73'6.5
3MA. Mayor↓ 60'6.4
32MJ. Campbell
27MK. Megwa
30MJ. MacIntyre
10FM. Boyle↓ 73'7.3
18FT. Klidje
Coach: David Gray
Substitutes
21GM. Connelly
3DJ. Girdwood-Reich↓ 66'6.9
45DE. Longelo↓ 82'6.8
12MO. Priestman↓ 82'6.3
29MZ. McAllister
27MM. Booth
17FR. Charles-Cook↓ 75'7.0
77FW. Vogt↓ 66'6.7
24FL. Ross
Coach: Alfred Johansson
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.92Expected goals (xG)2.0
19Total shots9
6Shots on target5
3Big chances3
9Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target2
8Blocked shots2
11Shots inside box6
8Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed1
0.54Goals prevented0.76
Attack
35Touches in box18
66Final third entries33
1Offsides2
12Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
444Passes505
382Accurate passes452
13/42 (31%)Long balls19/38 (50%)
7/33 (21%)Crosses0/9 (0%)
20Throw-ins15
Duels
49Duels50
42/84 (50%)Ground duels41/83 (49%)
9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles15/27 (56%)
7Dispossessed11
Defending
22Tackles12
64Tackles won67
9Interceptions10
12Clearances32
38Recoveries36
Discipline
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
1Big saves1
5Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 56 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Betway
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.78 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 29% · 3.69 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle
Who winsHibernian to win (DNB) 61% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hibernian to win 44% · 1.93 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.31 @ Betano
1X2Motherwell to win 28% · 4.30 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.80
Hibernian ▼
3.53
Draw ▲
4.03
Motherwell ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Hibernian or Draw ▼
1.26
Hibernian or Motherwell ▲
1.90
Draw or Motherwell ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.16
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
9.90
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50 ▲
3.45
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.91
Over 2.50 ▼
1.86
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50 ▼
1.11
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Hibernian ▲
2.56
Motherwell ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.08
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50 ▼
3.93
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50 ▼
2.69
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50 ▼
2.02
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.13
Over 10.50 ▼
1.62
Under 10.50 ▲
1.6 – 1.2Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.71 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 66% | 66% | 1.4 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 29% | 29% | 3.26 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Hibernian to win (DNB)Who wins | 61% | 61% | 1.54 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 71% | 71% | 1.31 | Overpriced | high |
| Hibernian to win1X2 | 44% | 44% | 2.14 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 72% | 72% | 1.29 | Overpriced | high |
| Motherwell to win1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.36 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 65%, they say 57%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 75% | -3% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 52% | -3% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 29% | 0% | No |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 48% | +9% | Yes |
| Home win | 44% | 44% | 0% | No |
| Draw | 29% | 24% | +5% | Yes |
| Away win | 28% | 32% | -4% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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