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Alfred Johansson
Motherwell
Falkirk FC
Motherwell
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Falkirk FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
164702 EUR · live
Home
21.0 · implied 4.8%
63.9%
+59.1 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
23.5%
-70.8 vs price
Away
250.0 · implied 0.4%
12.6%
+12.2 vs price
Half time
376 EUR · live
Away
5.5 · implied 18.2%
67.5%
+49.3 vs price
Home
3.9 · implied 25.6%
27.1%
+1.5 vs price
Draw
1.82 · implied 54.9%
5.1%
-49.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23923 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.5%
-14.5 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.5%
+15.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2810 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
95.1%
-3.0 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
4.9%
+0.4 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
44'
F. Yeats
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
C. Sibbald ◂ F. Yeats
46'
🔁
A. Lowry ◂ M. Booth
51'
M. Moormann · Foul
64'
🔁
J. Koutroumbis ◂ T. Sparrow
65'
B. Krauhaus · Foul
65'
🔁
J. Girdwood-Reich ◂ M. Moormann
68'
🔁
P. McGovern ◂ A. Doherty
68'
🔁
R. Maclver ◂ B. Parkinson
75'
L. Fadinger · Foul
76'
🔁
R. Charles-Cook ◂ W. Vogt
76'
🔁
E. Wilson ◂ E. Longelo
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
🔁
J. McMillan ◂ B. Krauhaus
Coaches
Alfred JohanssonJohn McGlynn 
Recent form
MotherwellDAHJK1-1
WAHibernian2-1
WAHB Tórshavn3-0
WHHB Tórshavn2-0
LHKRC Genk3-4
Falkirk FCLHSt. Mirren0-2
WHKRC Genk1-0
WAAirdrieonians2-1
LHRangers2-5
LAHeart of Midlothian0-3
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Motherwell
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Falkirk FC
1
A. Paulsen
7.0
22
J. Koutroumbis
7.2
↑ 64'
4
J. Knight-Lebel
7.5
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
7.2
↑ 65'
23
E. Wilson
6.6
↑ 76'
12
O. Priestman
7.1
8
L. Fadinger
6.7
17
R. Charles-Cook
6.6
↑ 76'
11
A. Lowry
6.5
↑ 46'
19
I. Said
6.9
18
T. Maswanhise
6.0
19
S. Bain
6.8
22
R. Strain
7.0
15
L. Neilson
7.1
5
L. Henderson
7.4
3
L. McCann
7.3
16
F. Barbrook
6.9
4
J. McMillan
↑ 90'
11
P. McGovern
6.5
↑ 68'
10
C. Sibbald
6.8
↑ 46'
23
E. Ross
7.0
9
R. Maclver
6.4
↑ 68'
Substitutes
31GJ. McConnell
21GM. Connelly
45DE. Longelo↓ 76'8.0
7DT. Sparrow↓ 64'7.2
5DM. Moormann↓ 65'6.9
27MM. Booth↓ 46'6.7
25MO. Whyte
77FW. Vogt↓ 76'6.5
24FL. Ross
Coach: Alfred Johansson
Substitutes
1GN. Hogarth
21DD. Melniks
20DC. Allan
6DC. Donaldson
14MF. Yeats↓ 46'6.4
28MB. Krauhaus↓ 90'6.3
47MA. Doherty↓ 68'6.0
32MK. Bennett
7FB. Parkinson↓ 68'6.1
Coach: John McGlynn
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.27Expected goals (xG)0.55
11Total shots10
1Shots on target1
3Big chances0
2Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
8Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed0
0.11Goals prevented0.52
Attack
20Touches in box18
40Final third entries67
1Offsides1
16Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
566Passes403
476Accurate passes300
18/42 (43%)Long balls19/65 (29%)
4/13 (31%)Crosses5/18 (28%)
21Throw-ins29
Duels
57Duels43
45/85 (53%)Ground duels40/85 (47%)
21/30 (70%)Aerial duels9/30 (30%)
12/16 (75%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
12Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles16
65Tackles won63
6Interceptions11
26Clearances15
54Recoveries44
Discipline
17Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
5Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 42 bookmakers
Who winsMotherwell to win (DNB) 69% · 1.38 @ 10bet
1X2Motherwell to win 52% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.70 @ fonbet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 25% · 3.90 @ Interwetten
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ Betano
1X2Falkirk to win 23% · 4.34 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.76
Motherwell ▼
3.49
Draw ▼
3.90
Falkirk FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Motherwell or Draw
1.26
Motherwell or Falkirk FC
1.89
Draw or Falkirk FC ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes
2.11
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.98
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.85
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.03
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.85
Over 3.50 ▲
1.41
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.15
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Motherwell
3.01
Falkirk FC ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.13
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▼
4.98
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50 ▲
2.36
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.88
Over 9.50
1.82
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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