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Neil McCann
Kilmarnock
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Dundee United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2584 EUR
Home
2.6 · implied 38.5%
76.7%
+38.2 vs price
Draw
3.65 · implied 27.4%
15.4%
-12.0 vs price
Away
2.8 · implied 35.7%
8.7%
-27.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5527 EUR · live
Over
1.45 · implied 69.0%
84.7%
+15.7 vs price
Under
3.35 · implied 29.9%
15.3%
-14.5 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
B. Esselink · Foul
12'
⚽
E. Agyei · assist M. Merghem0–1
19'
🔁
G. Stanger ◂ R. Deas
35'
C. McCarthy · Foul
36'
⚽
Z. Sapsford (pen)0–2
38'
Z. Sapsford · Foul
41'
⚽
W. Ferry · assist M. Merghem0–3
43'
J. Hugill · Foul
Half-time · 0–3
46'
🔁
D. Daniels ◂ N. Cleșcenco
46'
🔁
J. Brandon ◂ J. Meier
63'
🔁
L. Rose ◂ A. Yoro
63'
🔁
J. Randall ◂ M. Merghem
64'
🔁
C. Burke ◂ T. John-Jules
64'
🔁
B. Rice ◂ M. O'Hara
69'
W. Ferry · Foul
74'
🔁
N. Farrugia ◂ Z. Sapsford
77'
⚽
J. Randall · assist W. Ferry0–4
79'
🔁
D. Naamo ◂ D. Bennie
Full-time · 0–4
90'+2
B. Rice · Foul
Coaches
Jim Goodwin 
Recent form
LHCeltic1-5
LASt. Johnstone3-4
WALinfield3-2
WAGlentoran4-0
WALivingston4-1
LHDundee FC0-2
LAHeart of Midlothian0-4
DHRangers1-1
LASalford City2-3
DASt. Mirren1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
1
M. Stryjek
7.3
2
J. Brandon
6.5
↑ 46'
4
C. McCarthy
6.5
14
G. Stanger
7.0
↑ 19'
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
5.9
29
D. Daniels
6.1
↑ 46'
37
C. Burke
6.8
↑ 64'
18
T. Lowery
6.6
11
G. Kiltie
6.9
9
J. Hugill
6.0
49
B. Rice
6.4
↑ 64'
1
J. Walton
7.9
23
J. Rawlins
7.4
3
B. Esselink
8.7
18
M. Forbes
8.1
11
W. Ferry
9.1
21
J. Randall
7.8
↑ 63'
12
E. Agyei
8.7
8
P. Camará
7.0
15
L. Rose
7.1
↑ 63'
20
N. Farrugia
6.6
↑ 74'
22
D. Naamo
6.5
↑ 79'
Substitutes
12GC. Ferrie
6DR. Deas↓ 19'6.0
19DJ. Meier↓ 46'5.7
39DE. Bowie
15DJ. Yfeko
20MN. Cleșcenco↓ 46'7.0
5MM. O'Hara↓ 64'6.5
7MR. McKenzie
10FT. John-Jules↓ 64'6.5
Coach: Neil McCann
Substitutes
30GJ. Amissah
4DI. Iovu
19DK. Ciubotaru
6DR. Graham
7MM. Merghem↓ 63'7.5
26MA. Yoro↓ 63'6.6
77FD. Bennie↓ 79'7.0
9FZ. Sapsford↓ 74'6.9
93FI. Metsoko
Coach: Jim Goodwin
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.03Expected goals (xG)3.5
16Total shots21
4Shots on target8
0Big chances6
3Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target9
8Blocked shots4
10Shots inside box15
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed3
0.18Goals prevented0.46
Attack
20Touches in box31
69Final third entries56
0Offsides3
12Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
435Passes419
344Accurate passes353
30/67 (45%)Long balls41/65 (63%)
6/17 (35%)Crosses8/16 (50%)
24Throw-ins16
Duels
43Duels57
24/54 (44%)Ground duels30/54 (56%)
12/29 (41%)Aerial duels17/29 (59%)
3/5 (60%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
14Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles16
78Tackles won50
13Interceptions8
16Clearances36
38Recoveries48
Discipline
11Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
2Big saves2
11Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.32 @ Unibet
1X2Dundee Utd to win 35% · 2.94 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ 10bet
Who winsKilmarnock to win (DNB) 61% · 1.83 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
1X2Kilmarnock to win 38% · 2.80 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
Kilmarnock
3.50
Draw
2.70
Dundee United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
Kilmarnock or Draw
1.28
Kilmarnock or Dundee United
1.50
Draw or Dundee United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.31
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.88
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.05
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.76
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.45
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.80
Kilmarnock
1.95
Dundee United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.01
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.92
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50
2.28
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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