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Craig McLeish
St. Mirren
Motherwell
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Motherwell
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
89919 EUR · live
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
62.5%
+58.7 vs price
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
22.5%
+20.5 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
14.9%
-80.3 vs price
Half time
69 EUR
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
70.8%
+28.4 vs price
Home
3.35 · implied 29.9%
21.7%
-8.2 vs price
Away
3.75 · implied 26.7%
5.8%
-20.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
21325 EUR · live
Over
1.15 · implied 87.0%
74.1%
-12.9 vs price
Under
7.8 · implied 12.8%
25.9%
+13.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
589 EUR · live
Under
1.78 · implied 56.2%
54.7%
-1.5 vs price
Over
2.28 · implied 43.9%
45.2%
+1.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
T. Maswanhise · assist A. Lowry0–1
13'
VAR
Penalty check · E. Longelo
24'
⚽
R. Charles-Cook0–2
39'
⚽
P. Nsio · assist S. Ramos1–2
44'
⚽
D. John · assist S. Ramos2–2
Half-time · 3–2
45'+4
⚽
S. Ramos · assist A. Gogić3–2
46'
🔁
S. O'Donnell ◂ T. Sparrow
47'
S. O'Donnell · Foul
52'
M. Moormann · Foul
58'
🔁
J. Kanga ◂ T. Maswanhise
58'
🔁
S. Palmer-Houlden ◂ R. Charles-Cook
61'
🔁
F. Taylor ◂ C. Mochrie
61'
🔁
J. Richardson ◂ C. Ramsay
61'
🔁
E. Sule ◂ N. Agrafiotis
71'
🔁
L. Thomas ◂ S. Ramos
71'
🔁
D. Williams ◂ J. Hodge
73'
🔁
E. Bjørgolfsson ◂ I. Said
75'
🔁
J. Young ◂ I. Kabia
85'
R. Carr · Foul
89'
J. Young · Foul
Full-time · 3–3
90'+3
⚽
J. Kanga3–3
Coaches
Craig McLeishAlfred Johansson 
Recent form
St. MirrenWHSt. Johnstone1-0
WAFalkirk FC2-0
WAArbroath4-2
WHPartick Thistle1-0
DAPartick Thistle1-1
MotherwellLASC Freiburg1-4
LHSC Freiburg1-3
WHHJK2-0
DHFalkirk FC0-0
DAHJK1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
30 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Motherwell
1
J. Chapman
6.9
2
J. Richardson
6.0
↑ 61'
13
A. Gogić
6.7
53
H. Fieldson
7.2
3
D. John
7.0
8
R. Carr
7.3
48
P. Nsio
7.2
16
L. Thomas
7.0
↑ 71'
30
F. Taylor
6.9
↑ 61'
20
J. Young
7.1
↑ 75'
9
E. Sule
6.6
↑ 61'
1
A. Paulsen
7.4
2
S. O'Donnell
7.7
↑ 46'
4
J. Knight-Lebel
7.1
5
M. Moormann
6.3
45
E. Longelo
6.5
20
D. Williams
7.0
↑ 71'
8
L. Fadinger
6.3
13
J. Kanga
8.0
↑ 58'
11
A. Lowry
7.3
15
E. Bjørgolfsson
6.2
↑ 73'
47
S. Palmer-Houlden
6.0
↑ 58'
Substitutes
31GR. Mullen
47DC. Ramsay↓ 61'7.0
6DL. Jackson
5DR. King
10MS. Ramos↓ 71'8.7
37MC. McEvoy
25FN. Agrafiotis↓ 61'6.9
19FI. Kabia↓ 75'6.7
23FC. Mochrie↓ 61'6.5
Coach: Craig McLeish
Substitutes
21GM. Connelly
7DT. Sparrow↓ 46'6.1
71MJ. Hodge↓ 71'7.0
19MI. Said↓ 73'6.2
25MO. Whyte
17FR. Charles-Cook↓ 58'7.4
18FT. Maswanhise↓ 58'7.0
77FW. Vogt
24FL. Ross
Coach: Alfred Johansson
Top stats
45%Possession55%
2.32Expected goals (xG)2.11
23Total shots22
9Shots on target7
4Big chances3
7Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target9
8Blocked shots6
17Shots inside box16
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
-0.81Goals prevented-0.21
Attack
46Touches in box31
52Final third entries47
1Offsides2
12Free kicks13
5Fouled in final third3
Passing
422Passes514
353Accurate passes465
32/60 (53%)Long balls18/27 (67%)
4/22 (18%)Crosses5/21 (24%)
12Throw-ins12
Duels
51Duels49
45/83 (54%)Ground duels38/83 (46%)
5/15 (33%)Aerial duels10/15 (67%)
13/23 (57%)Dribbles9/16 (56%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
20Tackles17
55Tackles won53
9Interceptions3
21Clearances26
50Recoveries51
Discipline
14Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves6
1Big saves3
13Goal kicks7
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsMotherwell to win (DNB) 51% · 2.05 @ Betsson
1X2Motherwell to win 35% · 3.10 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.73 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.18 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.12 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2St Mirren to win 37% · 3.00 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.50
St. Mirren
3.29
Draw
2.67
Motherwell
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
St. Mirren or Draw
1.32
St. Mirren or Motherwell
1.45
Draw or Motherwell
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes
2.06
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.20
YES
1.30
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.35
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.37
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.65
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50
1.86
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.54
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.75
St. Mirren
1.98
Motherwell
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.39
Over 7.50
2.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.71
Over 8.50
2.03
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.09
Over 9.50
1.64
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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