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David Gray
Hibernian
Heart of Midlothian
Hibernian
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Heart of Midlothian
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
391209 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.4%
-21.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.7%
+14.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.9%
+7.8 vs price
Half time
6430 EUR · live
Away
1.19 · implied 84.0%
83.4%
-0.6 vs price
Draw
7.0 · implied 14.3%
11.0%
-3.2 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
5.5%
+4.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
66310 EUR · live
Over
1.26 · implied 79.4%
57.1%
-22.2 vs price
Under
4.8 · implied 20.8%
42.9%
+22.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9743 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
88.1%
-9.0 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
11.9%
+7.4 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
13'
⚽
J. Wilson · assist J. McPake0–1
29'
🔁
J. Iredale ◂ J. Obita
43'
⚽
L. Mendy · assist B. Spittal0–2
Half-time · 0–2
45'
J. Iredale · Argument
46'
🔁
M. C. Chaiwa ◂ J. Devaney
46'
🔁
A. Mayor ◂ C. Wright
51'
⚽
A. Mayor · assist J. Mulligan1–2
62'
J. Iredale · Foul
66'
⚽
J. McPake · assist J. McCart1–3
71'
🔁
T. Magnusson ◂ B. Spittal
72'
🔁
J. Williams ◂ J. Wilson
73'
🔁
A. Šuto ◂ M. Boyle
78'
🔁
S. Kerjota ◂ C. Braga
83'
🔁
T. Klidje ◂ N. Lowe
85'
G. Hanley · Foul
87'
🔁
H. Milne ◂ J. McCart
88'
🔁
S. S. Guendouz ◂ C. Miller
Full-time · 1–3
Coaches
David GrayWouter Vrancken 
Recent form
HibernianWADundee FC2-1
LHKAA Gent2-3
DAKAA Gent0-0
DAKF Shkëndija0-0
WARangers2-1
Heart of MidlothianWHSt. Johnstone2-1
DASK Rapid Wien2-2
DHSK Rapid Wien2-2
DHBenfica1-1
WHDundee United4-0
Where to watch
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
MAGENTA | 1HD
ESPN 2 Africa
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
Sport TV5
ESPN 2 Africa
Arena Sport 1x2 SRB
Telekanal Futbol
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
ESPN 2 Africa
Match facts
Kickoff
03 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
Hibernian
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Heart of Midlothian
1
R. Sallinger
6.4
6
J. Kerr
7.4
4
G. Hanley
6.0
15
J. Iredale
5.9
↑ 29'
25
F. Passlack
6.4
8
J. Mulligan
7.4
3
A. Mayor
8.0
↑ 46'
17
J. McGrath
7.5
22
A. Šuto
6.6
↑ 73'
14
M. C. Chaiwa
6.5
↑ 46'
18
T. Klidje
6.5
↑ 83'
1
B. Reus
7.0
23
J. Altena
7.7
6
O. McEntee
7.0
17
S. Findlay
6.7
18
H. Milne
6.6
↑ 87'
19
S. S. Guendouz
↑ 88'
78
L. Mendy
7.6
22
T. Magnusson
6.7
↑ 71'
15
J. McPake
8.4
9
J. Williams
6.4
↑ 72'
29
S. Kerjota
6.5
↑ 78'
Substitutes
13GJ. Smith
21DJ. Obita↓ 29'6.3
23MC. Wright↓ 46'6.4
24MJ. Devaney↓ 46'6.2
47MA. Abdulai
27MK. Megwa
11MJ. Newell
10FM. Boyle↓ 73'6.9
9FN. Lowe↓ 83'5.6
Coach: David Gray
Substitutes
30GR. Fulton
5DJ. McCart↓ 87'6.7
16MB. Spittal↓ 71'7.1
7MC. Miller↓ 88'6.7
21FJ. Wilson↓ 72'7.4
10FC. Braga↓ 78'6.6
11FP. L. Kabore
74FR. Mato
77FA. Ba-Sy
Coach: Wouter Vrancken
Top stats
50%Possession50%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.82
17Total shots12
4Shots on target5
1Big chances0
7Corners8
Shots
7Shots off target3
6Blocked shots4
12Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed0
-1.04Goals prevented-0.19
Attack
32Touches in box22
60Final third entries45
1Offsides1
9Free kicks16
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
376Passes377
300Accurate passes301
24/60 (40%)Long balls31/64 (48%)
3/20 (15%)Crosses5/19 (26%)
22Throw-ins16
Duels
50Duels50
40/82 (49%)Ground duels42/82 (51%)
25/47 (53%)Aerial duels22/47 (47%)
10/20 (50%)Dribbles10/23 (43%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
22Tackles15
68Tackles won47
3Interceptions6
30Clearances43
41Recoveries40
Discipline
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
1Big saves0
5Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.38 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.75 @ Bet365
1X2Hearts to win 35% · 3.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.65 @ Unibet
Who winsHibernian to win (DNB) 61% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 3.90 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.92 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hibernian to win 37% · 2.70 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.70 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.40
Hibernian
3.49
Draw
2.75
Heart of Midlothian
Double Chanceconsensus
1.42
Hibernian or Draw
1.28
Hibernian or Heart of Midlothian
1.51
Draw or Heart of Midlothian
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.30
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.95
YES
1.20
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.65
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.74
Hibernian
2.00
Heart of Midlothian
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.61
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.69
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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